I think a 11 win team is a lockIt's not a random thread at all to bump. I am completely breaking my arm patting myself on the back and totally admit it.
I think you're right about the money not being substantially different. I would be lying if I said I understood the financials. It seems more about territory accumulation then actually working the revenue in/shared.
Also, this was where I first recall you brining up the 3-unbeaten (which I while a still correctly thought money would trump it), you did open my eyes as to how messy it can be, especially supersized.
I also agree about the adjusting of goals to the Playoff birth rather than Conference Championship. Getting a Bye as a result of winning it would be nice, but more important to just get in.
In an 18 team (or larger) Big 10 will a Top 4 or 5 finish be enough to get in? No idea.
10 win probably 70-30 in depending on year
9 win probably 90-10 out depending on year