2025 Bowl Projection Tracker

Detroit, here we come. We will not win another game this year. We look so much slower and pussier than every team we are playing that is at least decent. The top half of the Mac could be this this year. We are lucky we played some terrible Big ten teens. The Nebraska win is going to be the Pinnacle of this year.
Save this freakout for the game thread. Lord
 




Updated percentages based on results of 11am games.

PlayoffCitrusReliaquestVegasMusic CityPinstripeRateSportsLeft Out
Michigan15.91%
67.37%​
15.48%1.24%0.00%
Iowa25.24%40.13%24.38%10.19%0.06%
Minnesota2.66%0.00%0.32%42.23%0.00%39.05%14.64%1.10%
Illinois64.44%23.87%0.34%11.35%0.00%0.00%
Nebraska29.97%10.17%19.02%23.24%0.00%17.60%0.00%
Northwestern0.15%1.17%28.29%28.32%20.83%21.24%
Rutgers4.08%0.00%0.00%16.62%
Maryland0.00%0.00%0.84%2.41%6.14%
Penn State0.59%35.95%7.73%11.47%
None0.00%0.00%3.76%33.56%
 


Well after the afternoon games, Maryland is officially eliminated. No team will be left out of bowls now.

For those wondering how any scenario could have Minnesota going to Citrus, the following would have to occur:
Minnesota beats Wisconsin
Michigan beats Ohio State and goes to playoff
Penn State beats Nebraska
Iowa beats Nebraska
Illinois beats Northwestern

In that unlikely event I believe Illinois/Iowa will split the Reliaquest/Vegas destinations and MN might get the nod over Nebraska and Northwestern. Could be wrong. Only 3.25% chance we find out anyway.

PlayoffCitrusReliaquestVegasMusic CityPinstripeRateSportsLeft Out
Michigan19.40%
70.63%​
0.00%9.97%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Iowa0.00%27.65%41.13%0.00%26.34%4.87%0.00%
Minnesota3.25%0.00%0.00%41.82%0.00%42.18%12.75%
Illinois0.00%61.73%26.17%0.34%11.76%0.00%0.00%
Nebraska26.12%10.62%21.43%24.64%0.00%17.19%0.00%
Northwestern0.00%0.00%1.30%28.44%29.35%21.66%19.26%
Rutgers0.00%0.00%0.00%4.77%0.00%0.00%15.83%
Maryland0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Penn State0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%32.54%9.51%13.69%
None0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%4.59%38.47%
 

After the night games here are the percentages. This will likely get readjusted tomorrow as the FPI continues to update. For instance, I'm guessing that Gophers will no longer have a 53.5% chance of beating Badgers. But for now...here are the numbers.

PlayoffCitrusReliaquestVegasMusic CityPinstripeRateSports
Michigan80.60%
0.00%​
0.00%​
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Iowa0.00%60.42%14.10%0.00%25.49%0.00%0.00%
Minnesota4.63%0.00%0.00%47.69%0.00%29.04%18.65%
Illinois0.00%6.13%70.07%1.70%22.10%0.00%0.00%
Nebraska14.77%33.45%11.22%20.38%0.00%20.18%0.00%
Northwestern0.00%0.00%4.62%23.79%10.45%30.29%30.86%
Rutgers0.00%0.00%0.00%6.44%0.00%0.00%14.16%
Maryland0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Penn State0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%41.97%20.49%16.94%
None0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
19.40%​
 
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12 teams will be eligible for a bowl from the B1G. Winner of Rutgers and PSU becomes the 12th

3 to playoff and 9 to bowls.
 




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