The gophers don’t control their own destiny

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Here we are in July. If gophers go 9-0 in conference play there are 9 combos where there is a 3 way tie at 9-0


I see 4, 7, and 9 as the only 3 with a greater than 0% chance. And I’m low on Michigan State.

I believe there are 66 combos for the whole conference.

The 9 specific 3-way undefeated combinations involving Minnesota are:
  1. Minnesota / Oregon / Rutgers
  2. Minnesota / Oregon / Maryland
  3. Minnesota / Ohio State / Rutgers
  4. Minnesota / Ohio State / Michigan State
  5. Minnesota / Nebraska / USC
  6. Minnesota / Illinois / Rutgers
  7. Minnesota / Illinois / USC
  8. Minnesota / Maryland / Michigan State
  9. Minnesota / Michigan State / USC
 

Ohio state, Oregon, Penn state
Oregon, UsC, Penn State
Oregon, Indiana, Penn Staye
 





I am unsure what the point of this post is other than a probability puzzle.

1) Any team would have a chance of 1/512 of going 9-0 under a coin flip assumption.
2) a random pair avoids playing eachother in a given year of 8/17 ≈ 0.47 a random triple would be (8/17)³ ≈ 0.104
3) All possible triples in B1G would be C(18,3) = 816
4) Actual probabilities of any triple would be roughly 816 × 0.104 × (1/512)³ or about 6.3×10⁻⁷

All that to say, the probabilities of any of the outcomes you proposed are close to zero. At this point in the offseason, the Gophers going 10–2 and making the playoffs is the new manifest destiny.
 



GooningGopher said:
I am unsure what the point of this post is other than a probability puzzle.

1) Any team would have a chance of 1/512 of going 9-0 under a coin flip assumption.
2) a random pair avoids playing eachother in a given year of 8/17 ≈ 0.47 a random triple would be (8/17)³ ≈ 0.104
3) All possible triples in B1G would be C(18,3) = 816
4) Actual probabilities of any triple would be roughly 816 × 0.104 × (1/512)³ or about 6.3×10⁻⁷

All that to say, the probabilities of any of the outcomes you proposed are close to zero. At this point in the offseason, the Gophers going 10–2 and making the playoffs is the new manifest destiny.
Click to expand...
The heat got to the OP.
 




GooningGopher said:
I am unsure what the point of this post is other than a probability puzzle.

1) Any team would have a chance of 1/512 of going 9-0 under a coin flip assumption.
2) a random pair avoids playing eachother in a given year of 8/17 ≈ 0.47 a random triple would be (8/17)³ ≈ 0.104
3) All possible triples in B1G would be C(18,3) = 816
4) Actual probabilities of any triple would be roughly 816 × 0.104 × (1/512)³ or about 6.3×10⁻⁷

All that to say, the probabilities of any of the outcomes you proposed are close to zero. At this point in the offseason, the Gophers going 10–2 and making the playoffs is the new manifest destiny.
Click to expand...
You didn’t have to do all this theoretical math. There is an actual schedule
 


All sarcasm aside, is absurd that there is even an academic possibility that a B1G team could win every B1G game and still not be a B1G champion.
 




bleedsmaroonandgold said:
All sarcasm aside, is absurd that there is even an academic possibility that a B1G team could win every B1G game and still not be a B1G champion.
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But they all will make the playoff 😏

Things could get even more weird if they do away with conference championship games.
 


GooningGopher said:
But they all will make the playoff 😏

Things could get even more weird if they do away with conference championship games.
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It gets normal then because we would go back to co-champs like they existed from the beginning of the conference to the addition of Nebraska

A conference championship game has only been in existence 2011-2026
The conference has crowned a champion since 1892

A conference title game has been used for 11% of seasons completed to this point.
 


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