Gophers five point favorites against Rutgers

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fmlizard said:
That seems generous to the Gophers. Especially since Cal got waxed by a mid-major and Rutgers beat the Gophers last year.
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I'm surprised by it too. I was thinking maybe favored by a point or two at the most.
 

I have a feeling last year is being repeatedly beaten over the team's head this week. They played like it was gonna be a gimmie and choked. I don't think we're going to see any lapses in effort this week
 

Rutgers opponents have been more impressive. Beat Ohio, possibly best MAC team.

Both teams coming off disappointing losses.

Morning game with likely stale atmosphere.

5 seems like a lot.
 




Line will probably shift but chances are it was set there in order to encourage bets for Rutgers. They always have a reason.

That said, us being a favorite at home is not surprising. I get the general negativity but we are coming off a bye week and playing at home against a decent but not spectacular Rutgers team.
 

Surprising to me. But Vegas typically knows more than we do. Sure.....Rutgers offense looked pretty impressive against Iowa.....but their defense was equally bad if not worse.
 

MNVCGUY said:
Line will probably shift but chances are it was set there in order to encourage bets for Rutgers. They always have a reason.

That said, us being a favorite at home is not surprising. I get the general negativity but we are coming off a bye week and playing at home against a decent but not spectacular Rutgers team.
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Rutgers looked really good last week. They're a little bit better than decent IMO.
 





fmlizard said:
That seems generous to the Gophers. Especially since Cal got waxed by a mid-major and Rutgers beat the Gophers last year.
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To your point, Cal lost 34-0 against San Diego State last week! Cal QB threw 2 interceptions. Maybe we just made their QB look like a Heisman contender? We almost had a Koi pick six off him. He threw one to SDSU. Both his picks were not fluky and were with him standing in the pocket.


I think we got scared with all the unorthodox plays he made when we should have chalked it up partly to luck and him playing with fire. He's a young, gun slinger that still needs to learn some lessons. We should have blitzed more hoping to force some mistakes.

Buffalo just lost to Troy and barely beat Kent State, maybe the worst team in FBS. There is no point mentioning Northwestern State.

Our previous opponents haven't aged well. This game is likely a toss up.
 

SeaBee_Gopher said:
To your point, Cal lost 34-0 against San Diego State last week! Cal QB threw 2 interceptions. Maybe we just made their QB look like a Heisman contender? We almost had a Koi pick six off him. He threw one to SDSU. Both his picks were not fluky and were with him standing in the pocket.


I think we got scared with all the unorthodox plays he made when we should have chalked it up partly to luck and him playing with fire. He's a young, gun slinger that still needs to learn some lessons. We should have blitzed more hoping to force some mistakes.

Buffalo just lost to Troy and barely beat Kent State, maybe the worst team in FBS. There is no point mentioning Northwestern State.

Our previous opponents haven't aged well. This game is likely a toss up.
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Koi muffing a punt on the 5 yard line was arguably the worst play of the game and doomed our chances. Love the kid but we were in it until that.

Ian Strong from Rutgers looked great last year. We need to not let him have 65 yard plays against us and shutting down Antwan Raymond's run is imperative this year too. Ja'Shon Benjamin also. They had 3x the rushing yards against us in 2024.
 

SeaBee_Gopher said:
To your point, Cal lost 34-0 against San Diego State last week! Cal QB threw 2 interceptions. Maybe we just made their QB look like a Heisman contender? We almost had a Koi pick six off him. He threw one to SDSU. Both his picks were not fluky and were with him standing in the pocket.


I think we got scared with all the unorthodox plays he made when we should have chalked it up partly to luck and him playing with fire. He's a young, gun slinger that still needs to learn some lessons. We should have blitzed more hoping to force some mistakes.

Buffalo just lost to Troy and barely beat Kent State, maybe the worst team in FBS. There is no point mentioning Northwestern State.

Our previous opponents haven't aged well. This game is likely a toss up.
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Cal's QB did look pretty average when the Gophers rushed more than 3 guys.
 

SeaBee_Gopher said:
To your point, Cal lost 34-0 against San Diego State last week! Cal QB threw 2 interceptions. Maybe we just made their QB look like a Heisman contender? We almost had a Koi pick six off him. He threw one to SDSU. Both his picks were not fluky and were with him standing in the pocket.


I think we got scared with all the unorthodox plays he made when we should have chalked it up partly to luck and him playing with fire. He's a young, gun slinger that still needs to learn some lessons. We should have blitzed more hoping to force some mistakes.

Buffalo just lost to Troy and barely beat Kent State, maybe the worst team in FBS. There is no point mentioning Northwestern State.

Our previous opponents haven't aged well. This game is likely a toss up.
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That also has WAY less bearing on this game than people believe in my opinion.
 


GophersInIowa said:
I'm surprised by it too. I was thinking maybe favored by a point or two at the most.
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Initially, the spread was about a 2.5 point Gopher advantage. I'm not sure what happened to more than double that number but I did notice multiple Rutgers defenders leaving the field during the Iowa game. Rutgers' defense wasn't so good in the first place and presumably may be weaker if some starters are unavailable for the MN game.
 





dbrad29 said:
Rutgers looked really good last week. They're a little bit better than decent IMO.
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Rutgers looked really good for part of the first half last week. Iowa shut them down for most of the second with the exception of one TD drive.

We will have to play well to beat them but if we do this is a very winnable game.
 

MNVCGUY said:
Rutgers looked really good for part of the first half last week. Iowa shut them down for most of the second with the exception of one TD drive.

We will have to play well to beat them but if we do this is a very winnable game.
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We also have to look at the other side of the ball. Rutgers' defense is giving up 6.5 yards per offensive play, second worst in the Big Ten to UCLA. I watched the entirety of the Iowa game and I recall multiple Rutgers' defenders leaving the game with injuries so they also may be weakened by attrition for our game.

Despite the Cal debacle, Minnesota's defense is still second in the league yielding only 3.7 yards per offensive play (surely that will go up in league play). Unfortunately, our rushing defense appears much stronger than our passing defense so far but it's our passing defense that will be tested most by the Scarlet Knights. Last year the Gophers' passing defense was better than the rushing defense.
 

Maybe in Jersey the intel on who will be available for Rutgers is pretty solid.
 

fmlizard said:
That seems generous to the Gophers. Especially since Cal got waxed by a mid-major and Rutgers beat the Gophers last year.
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I couldn’t agree more. We have shown nothing that we can beat a similar team by a TD. Probably a field goal plus a 3 point home field advantage.
 

yall need to go take a peek at the Sagarin ratings, which is a huge source of Vegas making lines.

We're 2.5pts better there and at home, hence the 5.5 line. their job is to get it close and not "miss"
wildly.

the fact it opened 3.5 and went to 5.5 means the sharps dumped money on us early (probably looking at Sagarin value would be my guess).
 

+5 is a gift. I’ll be hammering Rutgers. Mighty Cal and their superstar Qb were shutout by a weak San Diego State team 34-0 🤣🤣. Buffalo looks to be weak also. Gophers are not that good this year folks. Hopefully Perich doesn’t find a way to screw us against Rutgers too 🤮🤮
 

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