WNIT 2019

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http://www.startribune.com/get-ready-for-a-long-gophers-tournament-run-in-the-wnit/507354392/

Youngblood looks up omniranking's ratings for the WNIT

http://omnirankings.com/wcb/Macro/WNIT Probabilities.htm

The site tabbed West Virginia with the team most likely to win the WNIT, giving the Mountaineers a 96.68 percent chance of winning in the first round, a 71.75 percent chance of reaching the final 16, a 50 percent chance of reaching the quarterfinals and, ultimately, a 15.89 percent chance of winning it all.

The Gophers have a 12.7 percent chance of winning the title, and have a 45 percent chance of reaching the quarterfinals, a 30.5 percent chance of getting to the semifinals and a 20.3 percent chance of reaching the final.
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Looks like OSU is going to lose to Morehead St :eek:
 

At dinner tonight a friend asked what seed the Gophers were in this tournament. I couldn't recall seeing one anywhere. I looked at the brackets on the WNIT site and didn't see any either. Was there any kind of seeding?
 

Shades said:
Looks like OSU is going to lose to Morehead St :eek:
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Done in by three pointers.

https://www.landgrantholyland.com/2...tate-wnit-first-round-womens-basketball-recap
It was a back and forth contest at Value City Arena, but in the end, the Ohio State Buckeyes fell to the Morehead State Eagles, 71-61, in first round action of the Women’s NIT. It’s a tough loss for the Buckeyes, as their season will now come to an end.

Aliyah Jeune led the Eagles in both scoring and rebounding. Her 20-point effort (with a 6-of-11 mark from three-point range) and nine rebounds were a big reason for the second half rally against the Buckeyes. Darianne Seward had the second-most points for the visitors, pouring in 17 points. She led the Eagles in the assist category with five.

While they were 2-of-11 from downtown in the first half, Morehead State turned it on late in the game. Across the third and fourth quarters, the Eagles were 7-of-14 from beyond the arc. Ohio State struggled to find their shot from distance, and ended the game 5-of-18 from deep.

Dorka Juhasz led the Buckeyes with 15 points and 10 rebounds. She also made a team-leading six field goals before exiting the game late in the fourth quarter with an injury.

...

Quarter four began with Grande making a layup, and cutting the deficit to a point. However, three-pointers from Jeune and Calvert bloated the deficit to seven. After a pair of Crooms free throws, the Bucks got within five. But, once again, the Eagles fell in love, and made, another three. This time, it was Crystal Simmons-Cozar. This three was the first make for Simmons-Cozar on the night, and the Eagle’s eighth of the game. The whole dynamic of the game changed during the fourth quarter, as at the media break, MSU led 59-49.

Things went from bad to worse for OSU, as Juhasz went down with an injury with 4:08 left in regulation. Juhasz had a double-double in the game, scoring 15 and rebounding 10.

With Juhasz out, the Buckeyes chipped away at MSU’s lead, and got it down to five after a pair of Grande free throws. However, Jeune knocked down another three, sealing the game with just a touch over two minutes left.

Ohio State ends the season at 14-15, losing the last two games after having at least a double-digit lead.
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Ignatius L Hoops said:
http://www.startribune.com/get-ready-for-a-long-gophers-tournament-run-in-the-wnit/507354392/

Youngblood looks up omniranking's ratings for the WNIT

http://omnirankings.com/wcb/Macro/WNIT Probabilities.htm
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Interestingly, Omnirankings (which made the WNIT predictions reported in the Strib by Kent Youngblood) also used its predictive mathematical model to make a pre-selection prediction of which teams would make the NCAA tournament. See http://omnirankings.com/wcb/Macro/NCAA Selection.htm in which it gives a conference-by-conference list of teams that it thought would make it to the Big Dance. Well, obviously the model used by Omnirankings is not just a simple RPI-based model, and also clearly not a "by hand" human-made list, since it has the Gophers as being invited to the Big Dance. Not only that, It has them listed in the 3rd-place position within the Big Ten - with invitees in the following ranked order: Iowa, Maryland, Minnesota, Rutgers, Michigan and Michigan State. Omnirankings had Indiana as first team out. It got both Indiana and Minnesota wrong - with Indiana actually in and Minnesota actually out.

What should we take this to mean?

Well, Omnirankings is not a human, but if it were, then we might suspect that it too (like us) had aspirations for the Gophers this season that just did not come to pass (perhaps because of the losing streak starting with the Illinois loss, culminating with the last loss to Indiana). But Omnirankings is not a human. It is just an impartial mathematical model that goes by the statistics. I have no idea about the details of that model, but I'd say that for-sure it must be tilted more towards the NET (Men's replacement for RPI) end of the spectrum, and definitely not much like the RPI end of the spectrum, where our cupcake SoS added to the RPI bleeding. Nevertheless, whatever methodology it uses, the Gophers may take it as a pat on the back, that at least one respected ranking system (that is definitely more valid-as-a-basketball-quality-measure than any purely RPI-based model such as RealTimeRPI's Gamer) thought that the Lady Gophers were (in actuality, not just in some pre-season poll) the third-best team in the Big Ten.

Other teams that Omnirankings predicted to be in the Big Dance but that the Committee left out were: Virginia Tech (in the tail of the ACC curve at 8th place within ACC), West Virginia (which it had as 4th place in the Big 12), Arizona and Utah (in the tail of the PAC-12 curve at 7th and 8th place within PAC-12). Three out of four of the latter are potential competitors in the WNIT. In fact, as Kent reported, West Virginia is rated (by Omnirankings) as having the highest probability of winning the WNIT. It was reported earlier in this thread that Utah refused the WNIT offer since "Because of injury they are down to seven players and need the rest."
 

EaganGopher22 said:
At dinner tonight a friend asked what seed the Gophers were in this tournament. I couldn't recall seeing one anywhere. I looked at the brackets on the WNIT site and didn't see any either. Was there any kind of seeding?
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The WNIT doesn't appear (as far as I can tell, at least) to make or use any type of formal ranking system. But it must have some unpublished idea of what it thinks are the better teams on a pair-wise basis. Because games are played as home games for one of the contestants in each game, it will tend to give the team that it thinks is better the opportunity to host. Also, for the first round especially, it looks to me that they tend to group teams geographically - no doubt so that teams don't need to travel too great a distance to play.

However, if you'd like some idea of where the Gophers fit within some kind of ranking system, the Omnirankings that Kent Youngblook used are probably as good as any. Their current top 7 are as follows ...

Top Winner Chances (for WNIT)
West Virginia 17.16%
Arizona 14.70%
Minnesota 11.38%
Virginia Tech 9.54%
Northwestern 8.40%
TCU 7.94%
Saint Mary's 4.71%

That web site is dynamic (so that the original estimates are already replaced with revised estimates, and the probabilities of winning for those teams that already won a game are ex-post-facto updated to 100% probability of winning). Because of that, the current probabilities listed will not match what Youngblood reported earlier. In fact, the Gophers chances have been reduced slightly, even though they didn't play yet (as I write this) - due to the fact that other teams who did play, did in fact win/lose as predicted.

Anyway, you can consider the Gophers to be approximately 3rd ranked among the 64. Or, equivalently (in NCAA ranking terminology) 1st ranked within our Section.
 
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Any word on where game 2 will be yet?

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Cincinnati, trailing 56-48 at the end of the third, rallied to defeat Butler 72-65. Sam Rodgers scored 23 for the Bearcats while former Iowa Hawkeye, Whitney Jennings knocked down 25 for the Bulldogs.
 



Eight teams remain:

Cincinnati plays at TCU at 1:00 PM Sunday

Ohio plays at Northwestern at 6:00 PM Saturday

Wyoming plays at Arizona at 4 PM Sunday

Georgetown plays at James Madison at 1:00 PM Sunday
 

Northwestern outscores Ohio 20-9 in the fourth quarter topping the Bobcats 61-58 in Evanston.
 

https://nusports.com/news/2019/4/3/...ampionship-after-wire-to-wire-win-at-jmu.aspx

After defeating James Madison in Harrisonburg 74-69, Northwestern awaits the winner of TCU/Arizona for the WNIT championship.

Northwestern continued its dazzling postseason run with a 74-69 wire-to-wire win at James Madison in the WNIT semifinals on Wednesday night at the Convocation Center.

The Wildcats have advanced the furthest in any postseason tournament in program history and advanced to the semifinal round of a national tournament for the first time in head coach Joe McKeown's career.

Northwestern improved its record to 22-14 and has won 22 games in the season for just the seventh time in program history, with the most recent occurrence in 2015 when it totaled 23 wins.

The #B1GCats will face the winner of TCU/Arizona at a site to be determined on Saturday at 2 p.m. CT.

All five starters scored in double-digits in a balanced offensive effort. Sophomore guard Lindsey Pulliam led the way with 16 points, followed by junior Abi Scheid, who dropped 14 on 4-6 shooting from three-point range.
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This experience will help the Cats next year. They have some valuable contributors returning.
 

Wildcat versus Wildcat: it will be Northwestern at Arizona in Tucson on Sunday after Arizona knocked off TCU 59-53.
On a night where 10,135 fans packed the stands of McKale Center, Arizona (23-13) beat out TCU (24-11) by a score of 59-53 for a spot in the WNIT Championship. Wednesday night's crowd was the largest in Arizona history as well as the third largest crowd in any Pac-12 game this season.

Aari McDonald led the way in scoring once again for Arizona as she poured in 19 points to go along with nine rebounds, four assists and four steals. Dominique McBryde was clutch down the stretch from the line as she scored 13 points with six rebounds and three steals.

Sam Thomas did what she does on the defensive end as she hauled in six rebounds and blocked four shots to go with her nine points.

As a team, Arizona suffocated the TCU offense as the Horned Frogs shot 27% from the field. Turnovers were a huge factor in the game as the Wildcats forced 15 turnovers and created 19 points off them.

...

Next up for Arizona will be Northwestern in the WNIT Championship on Saturday, April 6 at noon MST in McKale Center.
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Ignatius L Hoops said:
Wildcat versus Wildcat: it will be Northwestern at Arizona in Tucson on Sunday after Arizona knocked off TCU 59-53.
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Although OmniRankings has not updated its WNIT data for the semifinals, it apparently (at least approximately) thinks Northwestern’s chances of winning the WNIT final are about 42%. Arizona’s chances are about 58%. The chances of Wildcats winning are 100%.
 

Likely to be lost in all the men's and women's final four activity.....Arizona beats Northwestern to win the WNIT championship today 56-42.
 

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