Wisconsin Game Line Predictions?

[Mick Turition]

I'm guessing Gophers -1.5

 

[DarrenTheGreek]

Wisconsin -4 Is my guess

 

[Com_Cool]

Gophers +3

 

[Dano564]

Badgers -2.

 

[BeerFueledFF]

Gophers -1.5 is what I think it should be

 

[MNVCGUY]

I really hope they make us home underdogs again....worked out pretty good last time.

 

[Ogee Ogilthorpe]

Hard to say.

Wisconsin is a whopping 2-2 on the road this year, their most impressive road showing was a 2-TD win over a Nebraska team that's likely not going to be bowl eligible.

Gophers -2 would be my guess

 

[PitinoFan]

Wisconsin -2

 

[MGGopher]

Wisconsin -2

This feels about right to me as well. I think FPI and Sagarin like Wisconsin a lot more than MN. Factor in the home field advantage, and you've likely got Wisc as a slight favorite. Maybe shouldn't be, but that doesn't matter.

 

[Yah-E]

We'll probably be dogs again, but hey BRING IT!

 

[huntster17]

Whisky -3 and they will lose by 13

 

[Gophers7NatTitlesBadgers0]

Will PJ be pissed if the team is a home dog for this game?

 

[cncmin]

I say MN -3 (including home factor).

 

[Gold Vision]

UW -2 would be my guess.

 

[Panthadad2]

Fadgers -2.5.

 

[Bring back the Axe]

Gophers by 3 or 4. I hope they are dogs though

 

[Panthadad2]

Fadgers -2.5.

Adding commentary to the above. This is about where Sagarin and Massey would predict and it seems like Vegas follows these consistently. However, I think those ratings use full season results and the Gophs now look nothing like they did in nonconference play (Wisconsin has played worse in conference play). I'm guessing that's why the Gophs have beat the spread in 7 of 8 Big Ten games. This game is a toss up.

 

[MplsGopher]

Keep in mind that spreads aren't -- at least initially -- based off what they think the actual game spread will be.

They're based off what they think the betting public *thinks* the spread will be.

 

[Pompous Elitist]

IE influenced by Sagarin and others.

 

[OldBob53]

I have a question: what, for example, does Gophers - 1.5 or Badgers -2.5 mean? Does a minus (-) mean the other team is favored by that point margin?

 

[matt]

I have a question: what, for example, does Gophers - 1.5 or Badgers -2.5 mean? Does a minus (-) mean the other team is favored by that point margin?

A minus means that team is favored. For example, if the line is Gophers -3, that means the spread is that the Gophers will WIN by a field goal. This is the exact same spread as Badgers +3, just worded differently. If the score ends up exactly on the spread, the bet is a push and you would get your money back but win no money if you took Gophers -3 or Badgers +3. For this reason, the spread often ends in .5. That way there cannot be a push.

 

[MplsGopher]

I have a question: what, for example, does Gophers - 1.5 or Badgers -2.5 mean? Does a minus (-) mean the other team is favored by that point margin?

It's just a way to make betting on the game more interesting (or even worthwhile) than betting on a team to outright win.

Gophers -X means you'd be placing a bet on the Gophers winning the game if they hypothetically started at -X points instead of zero. Is how I think about it.

 

[swingman]

sp+ has badgers 1.3 better on neutral...