Undoubtedly, there is a strong positive correlation between long-tenures and success, but what we don’t know, from the data you cite, is the role played by early patience in reaching those tenures. It’s my understanding that it took several years for Coach K to establish the Duke Program, as we know it now, and that before he did, there were numerous calls to fire him. Nor do we know how many of the substantial majority of Power 6 schools, with coaches who have less than 10 years tenure, have failed to reach the 10-year level because they have repeatedly and unwisely recycled their coach. Obviously, if it is clear that a coach is unlikely to be successful, the best course is to make a change as early as possible. And ordinarily, I would agree that 6 seasons is more than enough to make that determination. But there are reasons why I believe that is not true in Pitino’s case. In the first place, I don’t think he was ready to take on a Power 6 program at the time he was hired, if for no other reason than he had only one year of head coaching experience at the time. I think that made it very difficult for him to recruit initially, and a number of his early recruits simply were not up to standard. But I have found him to be articulate, poised, principled and a quick learner. I think he is growing into his job and that he has a very substantial upside. I think this would have been much clearer had he not lost 4 of his top 6 rotation players a year ago. But, with this in mind, I believe the trajectory of this program is going in the right direction, and that’s ultimately the judgment that needs to be made. I am very impressed with last year’s recruiting class; and, with today’s contract extension, Pitino has a much better chance of building on that class. I would have hated to see the investment we have made in him thus far thrown away by replacing him now. There will be time enough for that if things take a downward turn.