Gopher07
Captain of Awesome
- Joined
- Nov 20, 2008
- Messages
- 9,008
- Reaction score
- 15
- Points
- 38
Been a really rough go of it from a turnover perspective. We're putting the ball in opponents hands too much and not getting enough of them to counterbalance.
Through four games:
2015: -2 turnover differential (-0.5 per game)
2014: +3 (+0.75/game) - ended the season with +0.7 per game
2013: +3 (+0.75/game) - ended the season with +0.3 per game
Turnovers aren't the whole story, but they're obviously super important. As Bill Connolly from Football Study Hall puts it:
Over the course of a 12-game season, a team that averages -0.5 turnover margin per game would win 5 games (all other things being equal, which is a ridiculous statement in this context I know), while a team that averages +0.7 margin per game would win 8 games (what we did last year).
Can we turn around the turnover story this Saturday? It could go a long way toward making things a lot more respectable. Get turnovers, don't turn the ball over ... big keys if we want to win on Saturday, especially because we haven't shown that consistency yet this year.
Through four games:
2015: -2 turnover differential (-0.5 per game)
2014: +3 (+0.75/game) - ended the season with +0.7 per game
2013: +3 (+0.75/game) - ended the season with +0.3 per game
Turnovers aren't the whole story, but they're obviously super important. As Bill Connolly from Football Study Hall puts it:
Let's say your team is talented enough to win around 6 games. For every 0.5 in turnover margin that they are able to achieve, you can expect around 1.25 extra wins.
Over the course of a 12-game season, a team that averages -0.5 turnover margin per game would win 5 games (all other things being equal, which is a ridiculous statement in this context I know), while a team that averages +0.7 margin per game would win 8 games (what we did last year).
Can we turn around the turnover story this Saturday? It could go a long way toward making things a lot more respectable. Get turnovers, don't turn the ball over ... big keys if we want to win on Saturday, especially because we haven't shown that consistency yet this year.