My point with McNeil was just to state that 5 years is so long from now that his first recruit will have already graduated (hopefully). The 2017-2018 basketball season will be Pitino's 5th year coaching at the U. Tim Brewster was fired during year 4. Tubby was fired after year 6. I'm not predicting anything about Pitino's tenure, just stating that we will all have a very good idea about the state of the Gopher basketball program under him by year 5.
Historically- you get a pretty good clue on a coach by the third year. I think it will be that way with Pitino. This year I am looking mainly at the brand of basketball, how hard they play, and how they improve over the course of the year. This fall I am looking at the recruited class- which will be perhaps 5 guys. Those two things will say a lot.