Gopher07
Captain of Awesome
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Week three can be found here: http://www.forums.gopherhole.com/boards/showthread.php?32158-Tracking-the-Sagarin-predictions-Week-3
Sagarin's ratings can be found here: http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt11.htm
I take [home team rating + 3.08 (home field advantage)] - [away team rating] to show spreads.
Minnesota, #97, 63.22 PREDICTOR rating. Results/predicted lines in parentheses.
@ USC (L, 17-19)
vs NMSU (L, 21-28)
vs Miami (OH) (W, 29-23)
vs NDSU (L, 24-37)
@ Michigan (+23)
@ Purdue (+9)
vs Nebraska (+14)
vs Iowa (+11)
@ Michigan St (+21)
vs Wisconsin (+24)
@ Northwestern (+5)
vs Illinois (+13)
Final record: 1-11 (0-8).
Good chance to win (>6 spread favoring Gophers):
Close wins (0-6 spread favoring Gophers):
Close losses (0-6 spread favoring opponent): Northwestern
Good chance to lose (>6 spread favoring opponent): Michigan, Purdue, Nebraska, Iowa, Michigan State, Wisconsin, Illinois
Very ouch.
Sagarin's ratings can be found here: http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt11.htm
I take [home team rating + 3.08 (home field advantage)] - [away team rating] to show spreads.
Minnesota, #97, 63.22 PREDICTOR rating. Results/predicted lines in parentheses.
@ USC (L, 17-19)
vs NMSU (L, 21-28)
vs Miami (OH) (W, 29-23)
vs NDSU (L, 24-37)
@ Michigan (+23)
@ Purdue (+9)
vs Nebraska (+14)
vs Iowa (+11)
@ Michigan St (+21)
vs Wisconsin (+24)
@ Northwestern (+5)
vs Illinois (+13)
Final record: 1-11 (0-8).
Good chance to win (>6 spread favoring Gophers):
Close wins (0-6 spread favoring Gophers):
Close losses (0-6 spread favoring opponent): Northwestern
Good chance to lose (>6 spread favoring opponent): Michigan, Purdue, Nebraska, Iowa, Michigan State, Wisconsin, Illinois
Very ouch.