My thinking about Green Bay's beatability has a lot to do with the fact that their RPI is largely dependent on the (admiittedly huge) number of wins they racked up this season, mostly in league play, in the 11th-ranked RPI league in the country. Green Bay has not faced a team with an RPI better than 40 (ie Gopher territory) since December 6, when they did beat Dayton. I don't know a ton about teams in the Horizon, but I suspect the Gophers are a more potent offensive threat than the Phoenix have seen in a while -- or maybe all season (even including Mississippi State). On the other hand, the fact that the Phoenix are also capable of putting up a lot of points (88 in one game in the conference tourney) gives me pause, what with the Gophers' defensive woes.