The Athletic: Where do bowls fit in CFP expansion? Is CFB turning into NFL lite? Our experts weigh in

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This article is a week or so old, but interesting read:

Is Playoff expansion better or worse for bowls?​

Matt C. is excited for Playoff expansion, but as for the bowls?: “For the love of God, please get rid of the bowls. If one has to stay, make it the Rose Bowl to host the championship every year. Otherwise, punt those ugly blazer-wearing parasitic vultures to the curb permanently.”

Ian Dettloff probably would agree: “Bowl games are the most overrated part of college football.”

But bowl games aren’t unanimously disgraced. Elliott Locklair sees the neutral-site competitions as a pillar of the game: “More Playoff games will continue the devaluation of the bowls. … Bowl games will continue to fade away as will the traditions of families who love college football with its traditions. Can you tell I’m an old curmudgeon?”

Excited fan Arthur Mansbach thinks expansion is a positive for bowls: “This was the only way to save the top bowls. Last year, for the first time, players sat out the Rose Bowl. This had been unthinkable.”

Nate suggests a reworking: “Bowls being moved to Labor Day weekend to open the season! Non-bowl-eligible teams playing each other (selected by a governing body) the week prior to that at home locations, giving fans an extra week of college football. Can you imagine the Labor Day bowl week? That would be insanely fun and fans would travel! If you are a Playoff team in the prior season, simply make a rule that your following-the-season’s bowl game will not be a rematch of someone you played in the Playoff. It’ll likely just be a different team that made the Playoff. Oh yeah, our big bowls (Orange, Rose, etc.) are still in December and incorporated into the Playoff.”

Here’s what our writers had to say:

Nicole Auerbach, national writer: The 12-team model as currently constructed is still a hybrid, with on-campus games — finally! — and then the rest of the games at bowl sites. It’s an interesting dynamic when you think of the role bowls had back in 2012 when the CFP was first formed to now. They’ve diminished in importance. They’ve added to travel costs expected of fans for teams that regularly make the CFP. A better system would be one where the CFP puts on the games itself instead of trying to incorporate the various bowls into its playoff system by contracting them out to run its events. Alas, that’s not what was approved. What I am curious to see is what happens once we get a taste of on-campus games. I’m pretty confident that once we see the electricity and the atmosphere, we’re going to want more of them and fewer neutral-site games. Could the bowls’ role diminish even further?

Stewart Mandel, senior columnist: The model as proposed is the best thing that could have possibly happened to the New Year’s Six bowls. Right now they’re caught in this purgatory where they’re only relevant once every three years; the other two, you’re liable to see the best players opt-out like Kenneth Walker and Kenny Pickett in last year’s Peach Bowl. Attendance for the Fiesta/Orange/Sugar Bowls in their non-semifinal years has been on a continual decline. Now they’ll be quarterfinal or semifinal hosts every year. … Now, you could argue that it’s devastating to all the bowls below those six; with the CFP as everyone’s goal now, the Citrus, Outback, etc., will be viewed like the NIT. I’d counter that’s already the case.

David Ubben, national writer: It’s definitely better for the New Year’s Six bowls which can have a big game each year, but games that aren’t involved in the title race are going to struggle, unless programs not used to reaching bowls are playing in them. They’re going to feel very meaningless and we’ll see way more opt-outs. If people care, I suspect TV ratings will remain static. So in previous years, if programs were happy to reach that bowl, they’ll still be happy to reach it. If they would have been disappointed, that disappointment will only grow and spawn more apathy to lower-level games.


Ari Wasserman, national writer: The sport has shifted to Playoff-focused discourse. Since the Playoff began in 2014, the bowls not included in the national championship race have lost their luster. Now add in the fact that USC and UCLA aren’t even going to be in the Pac-12 anymore, and the Rose Bowl, the Big Ten’s dream of playing out West in January, took a huge hit. There will be more opt-outs and more “meaningless” bowls in this new system, sure, but people still love having football on in their house and they’ll continue to watch.

Scott Dochterman, Iowa writer: The Big Ten adding USC and UCLA permanently changed the bowl dynamic. The Rose Bowl was a mythical destination for Midwestern football fans, and the Big Ten protected it as an institution. Now that most Big Ten teams will play in that stadium once every three or four years, the Rose Bowl becomes just a Playoff location. The bowl system will never recover from this.

Chris Vannini, national writer: The NY6 bowls are already in purgatory if they’re not a CFP game. Ohio State players opting out of a Rose Bowl was something I never thought I’d see. An expanded playoff will help these bowls by turning them into CFP games. But the middle- and low-tier bowl games will be fine because they’re simply TV content now, and ESPN needs inventory. From Dec. 27 to Jan. 1 last year, nine of the 20 most-watched television programs were bowl games. People who say there are too many bowl games don’t understand that most people love them, no matter who is playing.

G. Allan Taylor, Florida writer: The bowls will become even more NIT-like once the on-campus sites — currently slated for first-round games — become a fixture of the quarterfinals too. We can’t expect even the most passionate fans to travel to four postseason neutral-site games, which is a possibility for teams that reach the title game. As Florida athletic director Scott Stricklin told me recently: “My guess is, as the years go by, I wouldn’t be surprised if we add another round or two of campus sites,” he said. “My guess is we’re going to find out quickly that it’s a pretty special experience, and we’re going to want to have more of those. That is going to be an all-time type event on that campus.”

CFB will turn into CBB … or an NFL minor league … or the G-League … or …​

An anonymous respondent who would prefer a return to the BCS system and is angry about CFP expansion wrote: “It’s becoming the NFL or any other American sport. It’s still entertaining, but why bother paying as much attention to regular season if teams with three losses can win a national championship.”

Brad D. shares the anger and wants a return to polls: “Playoff expansion is just another drumbeat (albeit a large one) on the march toward the NFL-ization of college football. College football will of course survive, but it will be so completely different and lose all of its awesome quirkiness and regional identity. I’m obviously in the minority in this, but I mourn for it.”

Ryan H., an excited fan, thinks this “NFL-ization” might not be so bad: “There will be teams that win a championship that aren’t considered ‘the best team in college football. And that’s a good thing. This happens in the NFL all the time and it’s better for the long-term future of the sport.”

Although common, the NFL wasn’t the only comparison. Richie, who vouches for a Playoff of more than 16 teams, suggests a mimic of college basketball: “Let’s have December Madness! 64 teams to determine a true gridiron champion.”

Greg, an excited CFB fan, points to the FCS’s 24-team Playoff bracket: “FCS has done playoffs for years. Use that model.”

Here’s what our writers had to say:

Audrey Snyder, Penn State writer: What has the NFL gotten wrong about the playoffs? Truly, it’s the best format and it’s must-watch television. For the “I won’t watch this because it’s not the sport I grew up on and it’s ruining college football” crowd, go ahead and don’t watch. If you care enough you’ll be watching and what you’ll see is a super entertaining postseason that’s taken way too long to get here.

Justin Williams, Cincinnati writer: Expansion probably helps to stave off college football becoming Diet NFL or a so-called Super League no one actually wants. Conference realignment has unfortunately sucked some soul out of the sport as far as most fans are concerned, but the 12-team Playoff model will still keep some in-season rivalries alive, and may even reignite a few now that nonconference losses won’t be as disqualifying to Playoff entry. It also amplifies the importance of league title races — even if the conference lineups look a little different — which is a huge part of what made college football special and distinct for so long.

Ubben: The only way I see it becoming the minor leagues of the NFL is if players become employees and then no longer have any academic obligations. If they’re employees, it’s fair to ask if they should. And then players begin to have an increasingly tenuous relationship with the institutions they represent. Will fans care? Some say they will. I believe stadiums at places that care about college football will still be full and fans will tune in. Nobody is lined up outside the history building on Tuesday morning cheering players on the way into class.

Wasserman: Is it not NFL-lite already? Yes, there is the huge elephant in the room about whether or not players should be directly compensated by the schools or grab a piece of that sweet pot of television gold, but what is the focus of a recruitable athlete coming out of high school? It’s all about making it to the league. Prospects are most swayed by which programs will develop them into an NFL player. Some say NIL is changing the game in that regard, and maybe it is, but there is no question that college football hasn’t been the movie “Rudy” for a long, long time. It has always been financially driven, it is just now in our faces more as the sport has dramatically evolved in the past two years. This is minor league NFL and there is a congestion of prime talent at the schools that tend to win the most and develop the most.

Dochterman: Whatever. NIL and an expanded CFP will keep the players more engaged and invested in college football. Instead of marginal players declaring for the NFL Draft too early, they’ll return to school because of NIL. Good players who might opt out of New Year’s Six bowls won’t walk away from a chance at a national title. Would Michigan State’s Kenneth Walker III or Pitt’s Kenny Pickett have bowed out of the Peach Bowl last year if it was part of the CFP? Hardly.

Matt Fortuna, national writer: (Whispers) It already is. And by the way, a bigger, NFL-style Playoff format hasn’t seemed to hurt FCS schools all that much, has it?


Go Gophers!!
 


It really only matters if your team makes the 12-team playoff anyway. The other bowls continue to be a vacation opportunity.
 

But the middle- and low-tier bowl games will be fine because they’re simply TV content now, and ESPN needs inventory. From Dec. 27 to Jan. 1 last year, nine of the 20 most-watched television programs were bowl games. People who say there are too many bowl games don’t understand that most people love them, no matter who is playing.

This. This is what I've been saying for a long time. Low level bowls exist largely for TV content over the holidays. It's cheap content and people do watch them.
 



Fucking hate the CFP. Bad for college football.
To quote from one of the writers above:

For the “I won’t watch this because it’s not the sport I grew up on and it’s ruining college football” crowd, go ahead and don’t watch.
 

Just putting this here because it was the first CFP thread I found. Don't want to start a new thread:

 

Matt Fortuna, national writer: And by the way, a bigger, NFL-style Playoff format hasn’t seemed to hurt FCS schools all that much, has it?
I thought this snarky comment deserved a rebuttal. The reason it didn't hurt FCS was because there wasn't much to hurt. Hardly anyone outside of the schools involved was watching FCS football on Saturdays. Whereas, big boy college football was watched with intensity from the 11am kickoff until the PAC 12 night games. Much, much more to lose when those games aren't as meaningful.
 

College football has been DUMB for a long time and we should keep it dumb because of tradition? Sports are supposed to be decided on the field of play. Can you imagine playing the NFL season and then voting to decide who's best?
 



I would still rather see 24 teams with two rounds on campuses and then Q's/Semi's/Finals using bowls/neutral sites.

Top 2 from the 5 major conferences
Champ from G5 schools
Top Rated teams after that
 

This. This is what I've been saying for a long time. Low level bowls exist largely for TV content over the holidays. It's cheap content and people do watch them.
They have been watched, but that won't necessarily be the case in the future.

If the CFP Playoffs are going on at the same time, more games involve .500 teams (or worse), and more players opt out then the lower tier bowls could get lost in the shuffle with ratings dwindling thus ultimately discarded.
 

I would still rather see 24 teams with two rounds on campuses and then Q's/Semi's/Finals using bowls/neutral sites.

Top 2 from the 5 major conferences
Champ from G5 schools
Top Rated teams after that
There's just not enough time to do that. Unless you go full "professional" and just give a middle finger to finals completely. Playing almost every weekend in December, like its part of the regular season.
 

There are only two ways to expand the college football calendar: further into August or further into January.

January is the most sports-saturated month already (and completely dominated by the NFL). Meanwhile August is total vacuum.
 



Don't get me wrong, I think the guys are asked to, and do, take as light of courseloads as they can during the Fall semester, then backfill with more in the Spring and Summer semesters to make it up.
 

Don't get me wrong, I think the guys are asked to, and do, take as light of courseloads as they can during the Fall semester, then backfill with more in the Spring and Summer semesters to make it up.
What's the workload for a 6th and 7th year guy?
 


There's just not enough time to do that. Unless you go full "professional" and just give a middle finger to finals completely. Playing almost every weekend in December, like its part of the regular season.
16 is probably more doable which cuts a week out.

2024/25
Round of 16 on the Dec 13/14 weekend
Quarter Finals on Dec. 20/21
Semi Finals on Jan 1
Final on Jan 13
 



I would make the 2nd and 3rd round of the playoffs the NY6 bowls.

Then everything is preserved and you’re just adding an extra game that is hosted at the high seed. Start the season a week earlier to accommodate the extra game. Start it 2 weeks earlier and you can throw in an extra bye.

Everyone is happy. If you don’t preserve the prestige of NY6 then dump bowls entirely.
 

There's just not enough time to do that. Unless you go full "professional" and just give a middle finger to finals completely. Playing almost every weekend in December, like its part of the regular season.
I agree, I can see the southern schools not caring, but B1G and Notre Dame and some other ones wouldn't go for this, and I agree. After the first weekend in December, for the conf title games, you have to let these guys study for finals.
 

College football has been DUMB for a long time and we should keep it dumb because of tradition? Sports are supposed to be decided on the field of play. Can you imagine playing the NFL season and then voting to decide who's best?
I can imagine an NFL season where they promote the big rematch between the Bills and Chiefs and hype up how great the game in the playoffs was last year, etc. and then no one really caring because it doesn't matter if the Bills beat the Chiefs now of if the Chiefs beat the Bills now, what matters is winning in the playoffs.

Wait, we just had a scenario like that....

You say the game should be decided on the field of play and then mention a league that provides for multiple mulligans while still being in contention for the championship. Might wanna find a better example.
 

I can imagine an NFL season where they promote the big rematch between the Bills and Chiefs and hype up how great the game in the playoffs was last year, etc. and then no one really caring because it doesn't matter if the Bills beat the Chiefs now of if the Chiefs beat the Bills now, what matters is winning in the playoffs.

Wait, we just had a scenario like that....

You say the game should be decided on the field of play and then mention a league that provides for multiple mulligans while still being in contention for the championship. Might wanna find a better example.
Home field and tie-breaker is a big reason to win that game if both end up in a tie. Just like college you have to win the right games in the NFL.
 

I would make the 2nd and 3rd round of the playoffs the NY6 bowls.

Then everything is preserved and you’re just adding an extra game that is hosted at the high seed. Start the season a week earlier to accommodate the extra game. Start it 2 weeks earlier and you can throw in an extra bye.

Everyone is happy. If you don’t preserve the prestige of NY6 then dump bowls entirely.
I don't think starting before Labor Day weekend is appealing to TV/Streaming partners. Sure they will pay something, but in general viewership is really down.
 

Home field and tie-breaker is a big reason to win that game if both end up in a tie. Just like college you have to win the right games in the NFL.
Are you trying to imply that fans across the country will tune in for 3.5 hours to watch a game to see who ends up owning the tie-breaker that might not even be relevant come playoff time?
 

Are you trying to imply that fans across the country will tune in for 3.5 hours to watch a game to see who ends up owning the tie-breaker that might not even be relevant come playoff time?
It's more for the entertainment of the game than the ramifications of who wins. It's more like 3 hours and college is more like 4 so that is also a reason people tend to watch one over the other. (Also many fans don't even know how college football works.)

People also watch because of fantasy FB and gambling on games.

I watch college over NFL 9 times out of 10, but I know I'm in the minority.
 

I wish people who aren’t CFB fans would stop commenting on what CFB should and should not do.
 

It's more for the entertainment of the game than the ramifications of who wins.
The bolded is why I've been a die-hard college football fan for decades. I won't even watch a college basketball game until March madness, cuz that's when it counts. All games before that are just scrimmages to determine bracket seeding.
 

I don't think starting before Labor Day weekend is appealing to TV/Streaming partners. Sure they will pay something, but in general viewership is really down.
I guess the other option is to just do a 1 week bye between championship week and the start of playoffs. Then NY6 bowls are no longer played on/around new year's, which isn't ideal but not horirble.
 

Been to numerous bowls. It is opportunity to watch your team and have a good time out of town. Great for holiday TV. If it gets to the point where only post season is the CFP, it will be a shame. The CFP is a joke and after a few years of seeing the same teams, never the Gophers, it will get more boring. The CFP is boring now. Bowls are for the fans to see a variety of matchups.
 




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