The Athletic: Is Arch Manning college football’s first flop? Why his slow start feels unprecedented

BleedGopher

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Per Will:

Watching the seemingly endless rotation of Arch Manning Warby Parker advertisements this past weekend felt a little like watching a political ad after an election in which your candidate has lost.

The ads all seemed to be beamed from a more hopeful past when we were much more innocent, more naïve and definitely more deluded. It was a little like seeing someone wearing an ATLANTA FALCONS SUPER BOWL LI T-shirt.



Many people are having a bad year in college football, but Arch Manning is having one of the worst. The Texas quarterback has gone from preseason Heisman Trophy favorite and projected No. 1 NFL Draft pick to a man synonymous with failure. It has reached the point that when his helmet came off late in Texas’ loss to Florida on Saturday and his backup Matthew Caldwell (who had a 13 to 8 TD/INT ratio for Troy last year) was forced to come in and throw a pass, it nearly sparked a quarterback controversy.

Manning has done so many ads that you probably don’t even remember the one he did for those Google cars that drive themselves. He remains the most high-profile player in college football despite being the public face of one of the most disappointing teams in the sport, a team that started the season ranked No. 1 in the polls (largely because of the hype for Manning) and now is outside the Top 25 entirely after losing to Florida.

Arch has claimed in the past to be hesitant to take so many paid advertisements — which might be the most ridiculous thing I’ve ever heard someone named “Manning” say — but if this keeps going, perhaps he can add one of those Progressive commercials in which backups like Tommy DeVito and Teddy Bridgewater show up to save normal people from banal but awkward situations.

Much of this is not entirely fair to Arch Manning, who, while certainly having his struggles so far, has shown occasional flashes of brilliance, is dealing with a wobbly offensive line and, we should probably try to remember, remains only 21 years old. (When I was 21 I was mostly hiding from gas stations where I’d bounced checks.) I don’t want to overdo it with a pity party here — his name is Arch Manning, I suspect his life is going to work out just fine — but I do wonder if it might behoove us to give a 21-year-old a little bit of grace and some room to grow. He does, after all, have two more seasons of college eligibility left after 2025 if he wants to use them.

But one thing is clear, and it’s something we’ve never really seen in college football but should probably start getting used to: Arch Manning, so far, is a flop.

We, as a society, love flops. There is nothing like a flop, because a flop flatters us. It justifies our suspicions that most of the world is just hype, that it’s full of hot gas, and that only we, the skeptical, cock-eyed, world-weary observers, are the ones wise enough to see through it. Flops remind us that the people in charge of our culture often know a lot less than they think they do.


Go Gophers!!
 



Seems like this a year of big names flopping

Manning and Allar the tops amongst them.

The media made manning into a way bigger bust than his talent ever should’ve made him but Sark should take a massive blame. His mechanics are still trash and should’ve been beaten out of him the last 2 years
 

Why would this be first?

Highly recruited players don't pan out all the time ...
Arch may end up being the first high profile flop in this new era where players can be in ads and what not....but yeah....tons of high profile/can't miss prospects have flopped far worse than Arch has to this point. They just flew more under the radar because their last name wasn't Manning. :)
 


 

Arch may end up being the first high profile flop in this new era where players can be in ads and what not....but yeah....tons of high profile/can't miss prospects have flopped far worse than Arch has to this point. They just flew more under the radar because their last name wasn't Manning. :)
First guy ... doing weird glasses adverts.
 

This article is from August 30 2025. I’m sure Paul Finebaum is singing a different tune now. If not he has no clue.
 

Check out Uncle Peyton's numbers from his first year. It's not apples to apples, but even if his last name is Manning, he needs time to grow.

He didn't play much for two years. I certainly expect that Drake will be a different quarterback next year after going through this season, but he didn't have the white-hot spotlight on him. Arch has handled this all with humility and grace. If he never pans out, he'll be just fine, I'm sure, but I think there is a long way to go before you can call him a bust. As someone else mentioned, it can be hard to be a good QB when you're running for your life all the time.
 



This article is from August 30 2025. I’m sure Paul Finebaum is singing a different tune now. If not he has no clue.
He has changed his opinion. But it's just an example of the ridiculousness of it all. The guy had played very little in previous seasons but was already being compared to one of the best college football players of all time? The hype was over the top to begin with.
 

Reminds me of all the local hoopla surrounding Roselle Richardson when he first arrived in the Twin Cities.
 

Not a flop, but because of name, there is extra scrutiny.

Deion's kid was not a college flop.
Tim Brewster's kids were possibly flops.
Jeff Jones was a flop
 

The offseason Hype Train was a bit too much. If his name wasn't Manning, nobody would care. There was reason Grandpa Archie said there was little chance he would be in the 2026 NFL draft. Give him time to learn and develop and he will very likely be fine. Imagine the pub/hype if he decides to transfer after this season. ESPN will name him the GREATEST TRANSFER prospect since Cam Newton, only this time the cash payments will be legal.

I was more surprised by the preseason hype that would consider a Sarkisian coached team could ever be ranked #1. He was very mediocre at Washington and USC before getting fired for being a drunk. He capitalized on the Nick Saban coach rehab school and got surprisingly hired by Texas. I think he's one of the most over-rated coaches (next to Big Game James Franklin). Sark's offensive system and lack of an OL is going to get Arch killed.
 



Not a flop, but because of name, there is extra scrutiny.

Deion's kid was not a college flop.
Tim Brewster's kids were possibly flops.
Jeff Jones was a flop

Clint Brewster a "possible flop"????

Jeff Jones we will never know, as he turned out to be a knucke-head and never saw the field.

you are missing GH favorite HEYO Carpenter as biggest flop
 




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