Spring Game Weather Watch

[zman]

Dude was in Iowa. WTF do you expect?

 

[CP Gopher]

There's a 50% chance of rain on Saturday, and any other day for that matter. It's either going to rain or it isn't.

 

[Schnauzer]

This late, late, late spring has been a problem for me and my usual cabin comings and goings. The big silver lining for me is it means I will be able to attend my first Gopher spring game ever. I have never attended it before because it typically falls on the same weekend I open the cabin. And on early spring years like last year when I could open it in March, I'm still not able to attend the spring game due to crappie fishing or other lake activities. I am the other way around in the fall and I have always gone to Gopher regular season home games instead of driving up north. But I do draw the line with the spring game. So, since there is still deep snow and 30+ inches of snow up there, I am planning on being at the spring game and given how rare this is... I'm thinking this may be the one and only spring game I will ever be able to attend.

 

[Jike Spingleton]

Looks like I'll be bringing warm weather with me from New Orleans. I accept thanks in the form of beer.

 

[Killjoy]

There's a 50% chance of rain on Saturday, and any other day for that matter. It's either going to rain or it isn't.

I would love to make a standing bet with you. You get $100 each day it rains and I get $100 each day it doesn't. As you said, it is 50%/50% chance. Makes sense to me.

 

[Cayman]

I knew a guy in Dubuque, IA who ran a weather forecasting service for radio stations. He told me once that, when he prepared a forecast, he was fairly confident in being accurate for a 24 to 48-hour period, but beyond 48 hours, he said no one could really say with any certainty what the weather was going to be like. So when people put out these 7 to 10-day forecasts, he used to just laugh. He said you could pull a forecast out of a hat and have an equal chance of being right. (of course, this was a few years ago, so the science and/or equipment has probably improved since then.)

Have fun at the game, everyone. (I have to freakin' go to Sioux Falls.........)

I took a class on weather last year at the U, I heard pretty much the same thing, that you can really only be confident in the accuracy of a forecast about 36-48 hours out, and that the 10 and 14 day forecasts are pretty much just throwing crap at a wall.

I believe the professor was a Wisconsin grad though, so take that for what it's worth.

 

[Killjoy]

I took a class on weather last year at the U, I heard pretty much the same thing, that you can really only be confident in the accuracy of a forecast about 36-48 hours out, and that the 10 and 14 day forecasts are pretty much just throwing crap at a wall.

I believe the professor was a Wisconsin grad though, so take that for what it's worth.

I remember when all the TV stations were getting Doppler equipment and telling everybody how it was going to improve their forecasting. The equipment now seems to be used more for explaining what happened or is happening than it is for forecasting.

 

[mnsportsgeek]

There's a 50% chance of rain on Saturday, and any other day for that matter. It's either going to rain or it isn't.

That's logic if I've ever heard it.

 

[cfb120]

There's a 50% chance of rain on Saturday, and any other day for that matter. It's either going to rain or it isn't.

I guess my chance of winning the Powerball tonight is a lot better than I thought. 50%, either I will or won't.

 

[Sumtimegophs]

Huh. Just two days ago:



I love how science shows us what the weather will be 10-20 years from now, but not a week from now.

Actually, "science" is predicting what our climate will be in 10-20 years, not the weather.

 

[TLHGO4]

I remember when all the TV stations were getting Doppler equipment and telling everybody how it was going to improve their forecasting. The equipment now seems to be used more for explaining what happened or is happening than it is for forecasting.

They forgot to mention it only improves their forecast for the next 15 minutes.