How many of those great NHL players that you list blossomed or improved as a player when they were under Lucia?
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As for development of those future NHL stars? Well, I don't think its so cut and dry.
Ryan Potulny went from 14 pts his freshman season to 41 his sophomore season to 63 his junior season.
Vanelli's best season was his Senior season, and it wasn't significant but he scored more each year of his 4 years at the U. 11-16-17-39. Danny Irmen's Sophmore season was a big step up from his frosh, 22 to 43 pts. And yes his pts went down his Junior year, but there were a lot of great players coming into the program each year that may have stolen some of his time on the ice or got him moved down a line or taken off the pp, or he may have gotten injured? I just looked up the raw numbers, so someone with a super great memory and is a defender of Lucia may have to fill in some of the blanks.
Goligoski went from 20 his frosh season to 39 his Sophomore season despite having to compete with Kessel and Wheeler, but leveled off and got 39 again his Junior season. Doesn't mean Lucia stumped his growth. Sometimes its the player's own fault, or like I mentioned earlier, hot freshmen coming in stealing their time on the ice or injuries, etc..
A couple guys from Goligoski's class inched along or went up and down, but all had their best year their Senior season. Maybe these are the kind of guys that people are thinking about, EK, MH, DP? My memory is not the best, I just wrote their initials down and don't want to guess and get their names wrong even though I think I'd get them right, but none of them were major contributors, 21, 21 & 19 their sr seasons. And these guys all had to deal with guys like Kessel, Wheeler, Okposo and Johnson all coming in the 2 classes after them. BG scored 9 pts his freshman season and 29 his sophomore season, then 31 and 29. Maybe PK, BW, KO & EJ all being gone by their senior season? I mean 4 frosh came in their Junior season and scored over 20 pts, including 2 with over 40, but their senior season, not a single Frosh got more than 19, EJ was gone, Okposo left after 18 games and JB got half of what he got his freshman season for some reason?
Kessel and Johnson of the next 2 classes only played one season, so we honestly can't say how Lucia did towards developing them, cept that Kessel scored more than any other Freshman for the 2 seasons before him and every season after up to Mike Reilly's frosh season. That, MR's last season, is where I quit my searching, maybe I'll go back and keep looking later.
Wheeler went from 23 to 38 to 35 to the NHL. Was his progression his sophomore year HIS doing and his regression his junior year Lucia's fault, or maybe it was the other way around, or maybe like I said earlier, an injury or something? Maybe I'll go back and do a pts/game analysis for a more accurate look at this.
That RS from Kessel and Wheelers incoming class plateaued in his sophomore season, but jumped from 24 to 46 his junior season. There was an injury redshirt in between those 2 seasons I'm assuming.
Leddy only played one season.
Haula went from 24 to 49 to 51 then the NHL
Bjugstad went from 20 to 42 to 36 then the NHL
NC went from 17 to 30 to 31
MA went from 10 to 22 to 7
Schmidt went from 1 to 41 to 32.
Now were their regressions in their junior seasons because of Lucia? Or...
guys from the class behind them going
SW going from 13 to 23
BM going from 13 to 19
TB going from 9 to 14
SA going from 8 to 16
CI going from 0 to 20
That's a 49 pt increase for that crew. Did those sophomores cut into the Juniors ice time? Juniors pts went down 27 pts?
So I see a trend here, Sophomores get better almost across the board and then a lot of them level off their Junior years. Maybe Lucia feels the younger players deserve to be given time and instruction whereas the Juniors should be able to get better on their own? A lot of these Juniors left after their Junior season, maybe they developed that short timers attitude and put in less effort knowing they already had the NHL future set in stone as long as they didn't get injured their junior seasons? Maybe letting upperclassmen dominate time on the ice doesn't allow the younger players the time and experience to improve?
Maybe the constant changing of the guard with hot new freshmen coming in every season made it difficult for the upperclassmen, as they saw younger teammates leave for the NHL already, but they were still there? Does that effect the mindset of that player?
Yes, that's a lot of maybes, and it might sound like I'm just making excuses for Lucia, but unless I see data suggesting players at the other blue blood programs are progressing and scoring more and more points their Jr and Sr seasons, then I won't believe its a Lucia only problem. Because there has to be a reason programs like Michigan, UND, Denver and BC all seem to struggle more than they used to.
When was the last time a team got to 3 straight FFs, WITH THE SAME COACH???
BC & UND in 2008, the year that was either the last year of blue blood dominance, or the first year of non blue blood ascendency with Notre Dame making the Title game. Maybe it was a little of both, because there hadn't been a non-blue blood in a Title game the entire decade before, but there were still 3 blue bloods in the FF that year including the Champs.
# of Title game appearances from 1998 to 2007 by non blue blood programs
ZERO
# of Title game appearances from 2008 to 2017 by non blue blood programs
TEN!!!