reminds me of a coach I used to know. after every game (usually a loss) he had the same speech: "If you take away those 2 or 3 big plays from the other team, we were right in the game."
only, it doesn't work like that. the game is the game - good plays and bad.
I continue to hold the same opinion on the Gophers. They could potentially beat any team left on their schedule - BUT they could also potentially lose to any team left on the schedule. the margin of victory or defeat for this team is very slim. a turnover - a penalty at the wrong time - a blown assignment - can all turn a game from a win to a loss very quickly.