Gopher07
Captain of Awesome
- Joined
- Nov 20, 2008
- Messages
- 9,008
- Reaction score
- 16
- Points
- 38
Sorry for the delay this week - I was either drinking away last Saturday or wrapped up in my day job. You can decide which one you want to believe.
Surprisingly the loss didn't tank our rest of season predictions that much. We were predicted to lose pretty handily to every team except Illinois ... and that's still the case. The thing that stings the most is that our next best chance for a win was last Saturday and we couldn't get it done.
There will have to be a big, big upset for the Gophers to get to a bowl game this year. We have not beat a team ranked above 90th, and have lost to two conference opponents ranked in the 40s by an average of 25 ppg. We also played #3 to within six but that is looking like a huge, huge outlier at this point and not the norm. The rest of the way, our opponents (sans the Illini) will be ranked in or near the top 20.
I'm using three lines this year - the GOLDEN_MEAN spreads, the PREDICTOR spreads, and the RECENT spreads, found here.
Last week's post can be found here.
vs #3 TCU L
@ #90 Colorado State W
vs #133 Kent State W
vs #96 Ohio W
@ #45 Northwestern L
@ #105 Purdue W
vs #40 Nebraska L
vs #13 Michigan (+13.5, +21, +12)
@ #5 Ohio State (+23, +23, +23.5)
@ #14 Iowa (+20, +21, +19)
vs #57 Illinois (+1, +7, -1.5)
vs #21 Wisconsin (+10, +13, +10)
Predicted Record [based on an average of the three models] 4-8 (1-7)
Likely wins (>6 point difference [average] in favor of Minnesota): [none]
Likely toss-ups (within 6 points [average]): vs Illinois
Likely losses (>6 point difference [average] in favor of opponent): vs Michigan, @ Ohio State, @ Iowa, vs Wisconsin
Surprisingly the loss didn't tank our rest of season predictions that much. We were predicted to lose pretty handily to every team except Illinois ... and that's still the case. The thing that stings the most is that our next best chance for a win was last Saturday and we couldn't get it done.
There will have to be a big, big upset for the Gophers to get to a bowl game this year. We have not beat a team ranked above 90th, and have lost to two conference opponents ranked in the 40s by an average of 25 ppg. We also played #3 to within six but that is looking like a huge, huge outlier at this point and not the norm. The rest of the way, our opponents (sans the Illini) will be ranked in or near the top 20.
I'm using three lines this year - the GOLDEN_MEAN spreads, the PREDICTOR spreads, and the RECENT spreads, found here.
Last week's post can be found here.
vs #3 TCU L
@ #90 Colorado State W
vs #133 Kent State W
vs #96 Ohio W
@ #45 Northwestern L
@ #105 Purdue W
vs #40 Nebraska L
vs #13 Michigan (+13.5, +21, +12)
@ #5 Ohio State (+23, +23, +23.5)
@ #14 Iowa (+20, +21, +19)
vs #57 Illinois (+1, +7, -1.5)
vs #21 Wisconsin (+10, +13, +10)
Predicted Record [based on an average of the three models] 4-8 (1-7)
Likely wins (>6 point difference [average] in favor of Minnesota): [none]
Likely toss-ups (within 6 points [average]): vs Illinois
Likely losses (>6 point difference [average] in favor of opponent): vs Michigan, @ Ohio State, @ Iowa, vs Wisconsin
