Post-Week 13 Field of 12 Projection: Rough weekend for SEC CFP contenders helps Indiana remain in field despite 38-15 loss to Ohio State

[SelectionSunday]

Indiana & Tennessee say thank you Alabama, Ole Miss, and Texas A&M for spitting the bit on the penultimate weekend of college football's regular season. The SEC drops to 3 teams (for now), opening the door for a multiple-bid ACC. I begrudgingly added Miami to the field as my "last team in", and hard charging Arizona State is the Big XII's new automatic bid placeholder.

Looking for a team that could come out of nowhere and get into position for a surprising at-large bid if things fall right next weekend? Try the winner of Saturday's South Carolina (8-3) @ Clemson (9-2) game.

FIELD Of 12 PROJECTION (through November 24) -- * denotes automatic qualifier
ACC (2): *SMU (10-1), Miami (10-1)

Big Ten (4): *Oregon (11-0,) Ohio State (10-1), Penn State (10-1), Indiana (10-1)

Big XII (1): *Arizona State (9-2)

Independent (1): Notre Dame (10-1)

Mountain West (1): *Boise State (10-1)

SEC (3): *Texas (10-1), Georgia (9-2), Tennessee (9-2)

Last 2 At-Large: #10 Indiana, #11 Miami

Still in the Hunt (10): Alabama (8-3), Army (9-1), BYU (9-2), Clemson (9-2), Colorado (8-3), Iowa State (9-2), Ole Miss (8-3), South Carolina (8-3), Texas A&M (8-3), Tulane (9-2)

Movin' In (3): Arizona State, Miami, Tennessee

Movin' Out (3): Alabama, BYU, Ole Miss

THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYOFF
First Round (Dec. 20 & 21)
#9 Tennessee @ #8 Notre Dame
#12 *Arizona State @ #5 Ohio State

#10 Indiana @ #7 Georgia
#11 Miami @ #6 Penn State

Quarterfinals
#1 *Oregon vs. #8 Notre Dame/#9 Tennessee winner (Rose Bowl/Jan. 1)
#4 *SMU vs. #5 Ohio State/#12 Arizona State winner (Peach Bowl/Jan. 1)

#2 *Texas vs. #7 Georgia/#10 Indiana winner (Sugar Bowl/Jan. 1)
#3 *Boise State vs. #6 Penn State/#11 Miami winner (Fiesta Bowl/Dec. 31)

Semifinals
Orange Bowl (Jan. 9)
Cotton Bowl (Jan. 10)

National Championship (Jan. 20) -- Atlanta, GA

Power 5 Head to Head Standings (through Nov. 24) -- Notre Dame (Independent), Oregon State (Pac 12), and Washington State (Pac 12) included

1. Notre Dame (7-0)
2. Washington State (2-1)
3. Oregon State (2-2)
4. SEC (10-6)
5. Big Ten (7-10)
6. ACC (9-14)
7. Big XII (7-11)

Week 14 Power 5 Head to Head
Notre Dame @ USC
Georgia Tech @ Georgia
South Carolina @ Clemson
Louisville @ Kentucky
Florida @ Florida State

CFP Impact Games
Memphis @ Tulane
Oregon State @ #3 Boise State
Oklahoma State @ Colorado
Mississippi State @ Ole Miss
Georgia Tech @ #7 Georgia
Washington @ #1 Oregon
Purdue @ #10 Indiana
#8 Notre Dame @ USC
Houston @ BYU
#12 Arizona State @ Arizona
Kansas State @ Iowa State
Michigan @ #5 Ohio State
#9 Tennessee @ Vanderbilt
South Carolina @ Clemson
Maryland @ #6 Penn State
Auburn @ Alabama
#11 Miami @ Syracuse
Cal @ #4 SMU
#2 Texas @ Texas A&M

 

[upnorthkid]

I have the exact same bracket as you.

Of the teams, think Oregon and OSU are absolute locks. Likely PSU as well. Texas also a lock. Rest have to win weekend to be certain though still a chance for many even with a loss

 

[PMWinSTP]

Would love to see Georgia Tech hang a third loss on Georgia.

 

[Sparlimb]

Indiana is in. Lots of SEC teams out. BYU, Boise, who the eff knows.

 

[Tech Machine]

Not looking to start something, how is Boise St. a 4 seed and
Ohio State a 5. If they did meet I’m thinking double digit odds in favor of OSU.
Incidentally Boise’s highest recruiting ranking last 5 years is 62, lowest is 67.

 

[Some guy]

Would love to see Georgia Tech hang a third loss on Georgia.

Don’t be surprised if fleck ever leaves to hear GT QB coach floated as a potential HC here by local media

 

[Some guy]

Not looking to start something, how is Boise St. a 4 seed and
Ohio State a 5. If they did meet I’m thinking double digit odds in favor of OSU.
Incidentally Boise’s highest recruiting ranking last 5 years is 62, lowest is 67.

You need to win a conference championship to get a bye and they are projecting Oregon to be the big ten champ in the ranking

I know people hate that, but I personally love that

 

[HitMeAgainIAmStillMoving]

Don’t be surprised if fleck ever leaves to hear GT QB coach floated as a potential HC here by local media

I am surprised that you would think that is surprising.

 

[Some guy]

I am surprised that you would think that is surprising.

I wouldn’t. I just predicted it