Over-under on Big Ten wins

SelectionSunday

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A friend just offered me a bet with 3.5 as the over-under for Gophers conference wins. He wants the under. I said I'd only take the over if the number was 3.

Thoughts? Is the Gophers winning 4 a risky bet?
 

I wouldn't touch that over. This team has no identity right now
 

Agree. I'd do it if 3 got me a push, but just can do it with 3 losing the bet.

Best shot at 4 is Rutgers twice, @ Penn State, and 1 other home win? Even that's risky to assume that the worst Gophers team since Monson will win 2 road games?
 

Agree. I'd do it if 3 got me a push, but just can do it with 3 losing the bet.

Best shot at 4 is Rutgers twice, @ Penn State, and 1 other home win? Even that's risky to assume that the worst Gophers team since Monson will win 2 road games?

This team is markedly worse than any of Dan's teams. In nearly every aspect.
 

This team is markedly worse than any of Dan's teams. In nearly every aspect.

Unless the ship gets righted, it certainly has a chance to be the worst Gopher team in the 24 years I've had season tickets. Thought we'd struggle this season, but not "6-6 struggle" in non-conference play, with significant stretches of lax effort. That's the most troubling thing.
 


Unless the ship gets righted, it certainly has a chance to be the worst Gopher team in the 24 years I've had season tickets. Thought we'd struggle this season, but not "6-6 struggle" in non-conference play, with significant stretches of lax effort. That's the most troubling thing.

So many aspects are just downright bad. One or two things? OK.

This looks disastrous to me.

Shoddy defense and rebounding coupled with no better than marginal offense.
 

Unless the ship gets righted, it certainly has a chance to be the worst Gopher team in the 24 years I've had season tickets. Thought we'd struggle this season, but not "6-6 struggle" in non-conference play, with significant stretches of lax effort. That's the most troubling thing.

I was thinking it could be the worst Gopher team in my lifetime (I'm 50). Monson's 2003-2004 team (12-18, 3-13 BT) was absolutely dreadful and seemed to provide no hope for the future. They did make the tourney the next year, however. Clem's first team was 9-19, 2-16 in the conference. Worse record, but at least there was young talent. They went 4-14 in the conference the following year before reaching the Sweet Sixteen in the third year.

This team will challenge those records. Let's hope for similar turnaround the following seasons.
 

I certainly haven't seen anything this non-conference season to think they're going to win more three conference games.
 

Statistically - according to the Sagarin ratings, and based on the season so far - they should beat Rutgers twice. Anything else would be at least a mild upset. We don't get Penn State or Nebraska at home, which would be essentially toss-ups. The next most winnable game would be Illinois at home. And of course there's no guarantee we won't get upset by Rutgers at least once. Just because of the schedule factors, I'd take the under.
 



We're not good. But I don't think teams 5-14 in the B1G are that great. So there will only be 4-6 games that we have no chance at winning. That leaves 12-14 games where if the 3's are falling, we can win (since we have no other offensive identity). Further, outside of SDSU, we have played to the level of our competition. That's not a complement against USD and Milwaukee. But if we hung with Temple, TT, Clemson and OSU, we can hang with Indiana, Penn State, Wisconsin, etc. It's not unreasonable that we can win 4-5.
 




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