No way is UL a "total must-win," they're the #3 team in the country! Of course we'll need to finish higher than Michigan or IL, that's a given. We're only a couple of games into the season...there are many scenarios that could play out come March that could get us in.2. For the Gophers, this means that the game against Louisville is a total must-win. If the Gophers don't beat the Ville, they won't have a non-conference victory as good as either Michigan or Illinois. If Minnesota loses to Louisville and want to get to the NCAA tournament, they are going to have to finish clearly ahead of either the Wolverines or Illini.