I think average could take hold, which would actually be worst case scenario in Ann Arbor. I suppose it will depend on the staff he hires-this isn't Penny with the AAU background/connections, this is an NBA assistant who left Michigan 25 years ago. He also doesn't have the base like Memphis to recruit from, and he's got a behemoth in the same state to recruit against, with OSU perhaps coming out it's recent slumber. Maybe he'll have some inroads with the Chicago prep scene, which is notoriously shady (and is the territory often tread by the likes of Bill Self and John Calipari).
So. . .what if he's average and middling? Does a former legend get pushed out, to the certain media excoriation from the likes of Rose and Webber? Do they ride it out while the rest of the Big Ten, especially in Michigan's backyard, move past them? I don't think he's a Mullin or Drexler hire, but I'm skeptical about it being a slam dunk hire.