Michigan by 12.5

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MNVCGUY said:
I could be wrong but I think we have been employing the very unconventional 4-7 defense all season. We do use LB's from time to time in order to give the DB's a break but for the most part we are playing without any LB's. Don't knock it though it seems to be working, at least on the passing side of things.
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Good stuff there. Love this analysis! And hard pressed to argue with it!
 

Line has moved to Michigan -12/-11.5 in some places.
 

This line is a bit different, it really seems like Vegas wants a lot of action on Michigan. I would think most betters would be licking their chops to bet Michigan. I thought for sure this would settle in around 15-16, I can't believe it's going down in places.

Michigan is a pretty good running team and they are going up against a team that has looked lost at times stopping the run. The only way to stop Michigan's offense (IMO) is with really solid LBer play and I think our LBers have struggled all year. You can't look at what Notre Dame and Michigan State did to Michigan and think that has any translation to this game.

IMO, for us to keep it close, it has to be a shoot out. A don't like our chances in a shoot out without our starting LT and our best WR.

I hope I'm wrong, but if I wasn't a Gopher fan, I'd be salivating over that line. It's a trap (casual fan reading into Michigan offense vs. Notre Dame and MSU and too much into Nelson vs. Purdue).
 

Bob_Loblaw said:
This line is a bit different, it really seems like Vegas wants a lot of action on Michigan. I would think most betters would be licking their chops to bet Michigan. I thought for sure this would settle in around 15-16, I can't believe it's going down in places.

If I wasn't a Gopher fan, I'd be salivating over that line. It's a trap (casual fan reading into Michigan offense vs. Notre Dame and MSU and too much into Nelson vs. Purdue).
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I think it is a safety line because they are unsure about Robinson's health.
 

Michigan should win by several TDs as they will be running a lot and we are suspect there. That they are not in the top 25 shows how foolishly the won/lost record counts rather than the level of competition. They have lost to two of the best in the nation and a third team that should be ranked higher than it is. To win, we'd need a 1953 Giel-led upset, when a ranked Michigan team was completely outplayed in Memorial.
 




Great Plains Gopher said:
Michigan should win by several TDs as they will be running a lot and we are suspect there. That they are not in the top 25 shows how foolishly the won/lost record counts rather than the level of competition. They have lost to two of the best in the nation and a third team that should be ranked higher than it is. To win, we'd need a 1953 Giel-led upset, when a ranked Michigan team was completely outplayed in Memorial.
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They have lost to some very good teams, but they also have not beaten anybody too incredible yet. Wins against Air Force, Mass, Purdue, and Illinois don't count for much, and the MSU team is not that great.
 




Breakin' The Plane said:
I don't get it. I'm as optimistic as the next guy, but the Gophers are beat up at pretty much every position. I could see it if Robinson was out, but nobody seems to think that's going to be the case.
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Totally agree. I am really surprised this line is moving down not up, especially since all indications are Robinson is going to play. Still a double digit underdog at home but line is definitly smaller than most of us expected it to be.
 

My Nephew has been saying gophers are going to beat Michigan all season

Probably because it is the one game he get's to go to this year. In an unscientific poll I think the Vegas oddsmakers sense his optimism Aaron for the Gophers because the kid is a whiz with numbers.
Gophers win by 3 tomorrow.
 






Line has dropped to 9.5
 

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