Michigan by 12.5

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This game is too important for Michigan to sit Denard if he can play at all. With the loss last weekend they no longer control their own destiny and need as many wins as they can get.
 


I'll take the 12.5, with or without Denard. Am feelin' somethin' special for Saturday.
 



SelectionSunday said:
I'll take the 12.5, with or without Denard. Am feelin' somethin' special for Saturday.
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Betting based on a feeling like that is a good way to end up broke. This is a bit of a trap game for the Gophers, coming off a good win, feeling good about themselves looking at a Michigan team with some injury issues to their star player, that just got beat.....

That Michigan defense has been very good this year and the offense is explosive. They may have 3 losses but all three of them are against good/great competition. Not saying we can't beat or hang with them but people shouldn't be shocked if Nelson really struggles on Saturday to move the ball against this defesne. Plus these guys will run the ball a ton so we will find out if Claeys and the defense has figured anything out in terms of stopping the run.
 

I'm calling Gopher upset. Kill is due for his first signature win.
 

SelectionSunday said:
I'll take the 12.5, with or without Denard. Am feelin' somethin' special for Saturday.
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SS, I originally Predicted the Score with Michigan winning. After some thought, I edited my Prediction to Gophers winning, and this was before any knowledge of Denard being questionable or not. I have this gut feeling, and trust me, it is a "big" gut feeling, that good things is gonna happen, therefore...........

GO GOPHERS!!!
 

MNVCGUY said:
Betting based on a feeling like that is a good way to end up broke. This is a bit of a trap game for the Gophers, coming off a good win, feeling good about themselves looking at a Michigan team with some injury issues to their star player, that just got beat.....

That Michigan defense has been very good this year and the offense is explosive. They may have 3 losses but all three of them are against good/great competition. Not saying we can't beat or hang with them but people shouldn't be shocked if Nelson really struggles on Saturday to move the ball against this defesne. Plus these guys will run the ball a ton so we will find out if Claeys and the defense has figured anything out in terms of stopping the run.
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Their offense was explosive last year. This year, not so much.
 



I don't think we are anywhere near the point where any game in the B1G can be considered a trap game! We are BARELY at the point where a non-conf could be considered a trap game.

The fact that "trap game" is being used with the Gophs is a step in the right direction!:clap:
 


Maybe he means Trap Game from a betting perspective (taking the Gophers plus 12.5). To me that sounds like a good bet, but it may be a trap.
 




My friends, there are LOTS of terms that can be used to describe Sports Books. "Kind" is not one of them.
 

SelectionSunday said:
I'll take the 12.5, with or without Denard. Am feelin' somethin' special for Saturday.
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I wouldn't touch it either way. Not that I would ever bet on sports. Michigan is pretty enigmatic, they looked horrible last week except for a pretty good defense. They have only lost to the #1 and #2 teams in the country, as well as the probable B1G champion Nebraska. But their offense has had inconsistent scoring problems even with Denard at the helm. They could seriously lose 2-3 more games as I don't think they are as good as many think, but they could also win out just based on their defense and the one-man Denard show if he stays healthy. Hence, Mich could easily win by 2 TDs on Saturday or could lose by 10.
 

Iceland12 said:
My friends, there are LOTS of terms that can be used to describe Sports Books. "Kind" is not one of them.
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Oh I agree, these guys are obviously in it to make money, I do think the line is low and we will see some decent action on Michigan as a result of this. If I had to guess I bet the line will settle around ~18 points, it is still an away game but our run defense just hasn't been good this year.
 

westcoastgopher11 said:
Oh I agree, these guys are obviously in it to make money, I do think the line is low and we will see some decent action on Michigan as a result of this. If I had to guess I bet the line will settle around ~18 points, it is still an away game but our run defense just hasn't been good this year.
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All true. Maybe the books are hedging their bets concerning Michigan's QB situation. Robinson certainly isn't a good Passer. Their back-up and this can't be emphasized enough, just looked awful. MIAC level at best. The Gopher D by the way, always seems to try and shut down the Pass first and foremost doesn't it? Wonder if that changes on Saturday.
 


Gopher Bandanna Guy said:
I agree, with the caveat that I'm guessing Denard won't play the entire game if Michigan gets a decent lead, as they may rest him, allowing a bit of a window for the Gophers to cut into that lead.
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BS...they will rest him because the Gophers will have a big lead!!!

Go Gophers!!!
 

Gopher Bandanna Guy said:
I agree, with the caveat that I'm guessing Denard won't play the entire game if Michigan gets a decent lead, as they may rest him, allowing a bit of a window for the Gophers to cut into that lead.
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I guess the books think Robinson is going to play. As much as I like the 12.5 points, I really like UNDER 46 1/2. This could be a 24-13 kind of slopfest.
 

nokomismod said:
Maybe he means Trap Game from a betting perspective (taking the Gophers plus 12.5). To me that sounds like a good bet, but it may be a trap.
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Definitely referring to the trap game from a betting standpoint, picking the Gophers to do well based on the win against Purdue and Michigan's loss to Nebraska.

Not a traditional trap game in the team sense but I do worry about our inability to handle prosperity which is something that has plagued this program a long time. Not that 1 Big Ten win is anyones definition of prosperity but the team has to be riding a little high right now with the blowout of Purdue, the freshman QB having a great game, and things going right in general for a change. Then the players look at a 3 loss Michigan team coming off a loss in which their backup QB looked inept and as crazy as it sounds overconfidence starts to seep in (can see it happening with the fanbase also).

They have their flaws but this is still a very dangerous Michign team and it features a defense that has held Notre Dame, Purdue, Illinois, and Michigan State all under 14 points so far this season. I would love nothing more than to see us win this one and bring home the jug but it is going to take a great game from the offense, defense and kicking units to get it done.
 

Some of you guys are crazy.

Gophers lost to Iowa by 18.
Gophers lost to Wisconsin by 25.

This Michigan team is better than both of them and the toughest game of the season so far.

I want Minnesota to win, anybody can beat anybody, and the fact that we're at home will help but 12.5 is a pretty kind point spread for our upset-minded Gophers.
 

wels0081 said:
Some of you guys are crazy.

Gophers lost to Iowa by 18.
Gophers lost to Wisconsin by 25.

This Michigan team is better than both of them and the toughest game of the season so far.

I want Minnesota to win, anybody can beat anybody, and the fact that we're at home will help but 12.5 is a pretty kind point spread for our upset-minded Gophers.
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Disagree that Michigan is better than Wisconsin and for sure disagree that Michigan at home is a tougher game than Wisconsin on the road.
 


wels0081 said:
Some of you guys are crazy.

Gophers lost to Iowa by 18.
Gophers lost to Wisconsin by 25.

This Michigan team is better than both of them and the toughest game of the season so far.

I want Minnesota to win, anybody can beat anybody, and the fact that we're at home will help but 12.5 is a pretty kind point spread for our upset-minded Gophers.
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Both away games. Teams play much different at home.
 

Iceland12 said:
All true. Maybe the books are hedging their bets concerning Michigan's QB situation. Robinson certainly isn't a good Passer. Their back-up and this can't be emphasized enough, just looked awful. MIAC level at best. The Gopher D by the way, always seems to try and shut down the Pass first and foremost doesn't it? Wonder if that changes on Saturday.
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Certainly not in the Wisconsin game. We played a lot of man-to-man with one or sometimes no safety deep.
 


highwayman said:
Vegas doesn't set a "kind line". They set one to make money. They believe that a Michigan offense that hasn't scored a TD since October 13 will have some trouble with the Minnesota defense. I guess we'll see how it pans out.
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Vegas is looking to get action on their line and 12.5 is going to get it. Do you think that the line will be under two TDs by gameday? Methinks not.
 

GophersInIowa said:
Certainly not in the Wisconsin game. We played a lot of man-to-man with one or sometimes no safety deep.
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In the 1st Half to be sure, but in the 2nd Half didn't the Gophers play without any Linebackers? :banghead: :eek:
 

Iceland12 said:
In the 1st Half to be sure, but in the 2nd Half didn't the Gophers play without any Linebackers? :banghead: :eek:
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I could be wrong but I think we have been employing the very unconventional 4-7 defense all season. We do use LB's from time to time in order to give the DB's a break but for the most part we are playing without any LB's. Don't knock it though it seems to be working, at least on the passing side of things.
 

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