You're right, I forgot about Christie. I was kind of thinking where this team would be this year without transfers but you're right, he does deserve credit for Christie.
As far as not being able to say for sure, I agree. My point was just that I have not seen any reason to believe Ben Johnson's skills would better translate to pre-portal world of college basketball. In fact, IMO, the limited information I have, my opinion is that he actually has fewer skills that would translate to that world of college basketball.
I strongly disagree. The overwhelming consensus following Ben's hire was that his ability to nurture and develop recruiting relationships with high school players would pay dividends locally and regionally. The entire hire was predicated on
slowly building a program from the ground up with recruiting improving each year as the relationships paid dividends.
Ben's first fully recruited class of Payne, Carrington and Ola-Joseph, in fact, showed some of that early promise. Once the full wrath of NIL and free transfers was unleashed, the key trait that Ben brought to the table- relationship building- was negated and the scramble to recruit one-year stop-gap transfers began.
1. Ben could no longer get to know guys over a period of time as the transfer portal as the window is so short. Strangely, he has done a little better than I expected here. He does not have an especially outgoing personality so I am actually surprised that he has closed the deal to attract any transfers here after a couple of phone calls and, possibly, a visit.
2. The recruitment of high school players has changed dramatically over the last few years across the country. Unless you are talking about one of the nation's elite high school players (and you have the NIL budget to chase them), college coaches would much rather take a known quantity as a transfer than reach for a high school player that may require some time to develop.
Surprisingly, I see some promise in the high school class Ben has signed for next year. I am not certain whether intentional or not but Ben seems to be pivoting back a bit to taking some chances on high school players and becoming more of a development program.
I personally think the key to the also-ran teams in the Power 4 or 5 conferences is to build some consistency and continuity with high school players and fill in at positions of need with transfers.
At this juncture, Coyle HAS to make a change to reengage the fans and save the program. Had Coyle done this experiment with an unheralded local coach 10 years ago- before the seismic shift in the NCAA landscape- I think that there would have been a much better shot at being successful. Ben does not have the personality to help raise NIL funds. Coyle has to make a hire whose skills are most effective under the current environment.