Lakeville Goldy
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- Sep 12, 2010
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I wish it were that simple.
9 wins LAST year is not good enough.
8 wins NEXT year is an unrealistic expectation.
Additionally, you have to keep in mind that PJ Fleck is dealing with implementing a new system. You shouldn't have high expectations for next year. However, here is where it gets tricky, the offense last year (with Johnson and Miller), should have hit the ground running. You should not have expected a learning curve.
For me, 9 wins last year wasn't enough for Claeys to keep his job based on other factors (decisions he made during games, his [at the time] poor recruiting class, his lack of leadership during the scandal, fan apathy, etc.). However, while I was disappointed with the offense, had Claeys been retained I absolutely would not have been calling for JJ's head. Had Claeys been retained, I wanted to see how his offense progressed. It absolutely wasn't what I wanted to see last year (play calling, efficiency, etc.) but I did understand he had limited time and ability to fully implement his scheme. Some certainly expected it to click faster based on similarities to the previous offense, but I'm not sure that is fair.
Again for me, 8 wins next year isn't a realistic basement level based on a lot of factors other than a new coach. One of the big issues next year is simply the players lost through graduation/transfer/expulsion vs. backups. Last year I had a better feeling for who was going to come in and play and based on what I had seen felt like they should be able to contribute (example, I felt pretty confident Wolitarsky would be the top receiver and be a reliable target). The only QB's we have coming back we've seen for a combined <3 games so regardless how they did, we have no idea what they'll be like next year (and whether either will actually win the job). I have no idea who will play center. We have a small handful of DB's returning (obviously that situation improved but still was hurt). We don't have a single WR that I have seen that I feel like can be a reliable target (hands of stone). Schedule is similar depending on whether MI State rebounds and whether MI can stay top tier losing 11 starters on defense (thought I heard that, could be wrong).
Frankly, I would have felt the same whether it was Claeys or Fleck based on the above, with the exception that they would have likely lost Rhoda and may have kept Moore which would have helped (not sure on that, even though he said Claeys was his reason). I think 8 wins is possible, but I don't think it's a disaster or disgrace or whatever if they win 6 or 7.