SelectionSunday
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Tommie Talk and the NET/Torvik Gospel
St. Thomas (13-4, 6-8 ATS)
NET: Tommies move up 4 spots to #117.
Torvik (T-Rank): Tommies move up 2 spots to #106.
(all rankings are NET)
Thursday Summit League Results
#137 North Dakota State 97, @ #327 Kansas City 73
@ #177 South Dakota State 87, #232 Denver 79
@ #271 Omaha 90, #302 North Dakota 79
Friday Summit League Slate
No games
Friday Reach the Summit Selections (9-3, 75%)
No games
Tracking Expected Top 5 (DU, NDSU, Omaha, SDSU, UST) Head-to-Head
Will a team outside this group supplant one of the expected top five?
1. South Dakota State (2-0)
2. St. Thomas (1-0)
3. North Dakota State (0-0)
4. Omaha (0-1)
5. Denver (0-2)
Summit League Leader (North Dakota State) Resume Snapshot
Record vs. DI Opponents: 10-5, 3-0 Summit
NET: #137
Torvik (T-Rank): #121
Strength of Record: #148
Wins Above Bubble: #173
True Road Record: 4-4
Overall SOS: #358
Non-Conference SOS: #348
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 0-0
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 0-1 (0%)
Record/Winning % vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 3-4 (42.9%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 1 (@ #268 UTEP)
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 0-1
Dribbles & Scribbles
-- The Big Ten has some garbage at the bottom, Maryland, Oregon, Penn State, and Rutgers. (Northwestern hasn’t won a conference game, but there’s potential there)
And all of the former Pac 12 schools have either grossly underperformed (Oregon, UCLA) or been nothing outside of ordinary (USC, Washington).
-- The Missouri Valley has a very solid top five, #55 Belmont, #63 Illinois State, #75 Illinois State, #86 Northern Iowa, and #116 Bradley. The Valley only will get one NCAA bid, but any one of these five could cause a headache in the 1st round of the NCAA Tournament. Semifinal Saturday at Arch Madness should be fire.
-- Ohio State has been teetering just above the bubble but notched another road win last night in Eugene. All road wins are gold. The #37 Buckeyes are 3-0 on the road in the Big Ten, 0-2 in Columbus. Go figure.
-- I gravitate toward watching games broadcast by CBS Sports Network (CBSSN) even if at the time it’s not the best game on TV. CBSSN (and CBS) are professionally done broadcasts both in-game and in studio, without all the narrative-driven ESPN garbage (gushing about NBA rules & college players free agency), spearheaded by the likes of diarrhea-of-the-mouth talking heads Jay Bilas and Jay Williams.
Thursday Bubble Impact Results (teams with NET# = bubble team)
@ Gonzaga 89, #56 Santa Clara 77
#37 Ohio State 72, @ Oregon 62
Daily Bubble Snapshots (#41, #50, #52, #68)
A daily look at the bubble, with the purpose of watching it evolve up to Selection Sunday. ...
#41 (Creighton) NCAA Tournament Resume (best at-large NET# left out of 2025 field)
Record vs. DI Opponents: 10-6, 4-1 Big East
True Road Record: 2-3
NET: #41
Torvik (T-Rank): #41
Strength of Record: #51
Wins Above Bubble: #45
Overall SOS: #9
Non-Conference SOS: #29
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 1-5 (16.7%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 3-6 (33.3%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 5-6 (45.5%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 0
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 2-5 (wins over #29 Villanova, #191 Utah Tech)
#50 (Butler) NCAA Tournament Resume (mythical Bubble cutline)
Record vs. DI Opponents: 10-6, 1-4 Big East
True Road Record: 0-3
NET: #50
Torvik (T-Rank): #48
Strength of Record: #65
Wins Above Bubble: #61
Overall SOS: #22
Non-Conference SOS: #129
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 1-4 (20%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 3-6 (33.3%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 5-6 (45.5%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 0
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 2-5 (wins over #19 Virginia, #128 Wright State)
#52 (Yale) NCAA Tournament Resume (worst at-large NET# to make 2025 field)
Record vs. DI Opponents: 10-2, 1-0 Ivy
True Road Record: 4-1
NET: #52
Torvik (T-Rank): #89
Strength of Record: #48
Wins Above Bubble: #52
Overall SOS: #250
Non-Conference SOS: #235
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 0-1 (0%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 1-1 (50%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 5-1 (83.3%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 1 (#162 Rhode Island)
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 1-0 (win over #208 Vermont)
#68 (Wake Forest) NCAA Tournament Resume (if the field was best 68 NET)
Record vs. DI Opponents: 10-6, 1-2 ACC
True Road Record: 0-1
NET: #68
Torvik (T-Rank): #55
Strength of Record: #68
Wins Above Bubble: #71
Overall SOS: #40
Non-Conference SOS: #90
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 0-4 (0%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 2-6 (25%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 3-6 (33.3%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 0
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 2-5 (wins over #59 Virginia Tech, #104 Memphis)
Jan. 9 Games to Watch
Miami-Ohio @ Toledo, 5 (CBSSN)
Merrimack @ Siena, 6 (ESPN+)
USC @ Minnesota, 7:30 (BTN)
Jan. 9 Pick to Click (38-25, 60.3%, W-1)
Miami-Ohio +1.5 @ Toledo
Jan. 9 Outright +7 or More ‘Dog (11-52, 17.5%, L-1 streak)
Rider (+7.5) outright @ Fairfield
Deep Thoughts, by Buzz Studley
Despite its gaudy record and analytics numbers, #6 Gonzaga doesn't strike me as elite, just don't look as dangerous as usual. Not a second-weekend team, will be a surprise 2nd round NCAA Tournament exit.
St. Thomas (13-4, 6-8 ATS)
NET: Tommies move up 4 spots to #117.
Torvik (T-Rank): Tommies move up 2 spots to #106.
(all rankings are NET)
Thursday Summit League Results
#137 North Dakota State 97, @ #327 Kansas City 73
@ #177 South Dakota State 87, #232 Denver 79
@ #271 Omaha 90, #302 North Dakota 79
Friday Summit League Slate
No games
Friday Reach the Summit Selections (9-3, 75%)
No games
Tracking Expected Top 5 (DU, NDSU, Omaha, SDSU, UST) Head-to-Head
Will a team outside this group supplant one of the expected top five?
1. South Dakota State (2-0)
2. St. Thomas (1-0)
3. North Dakota State (0-0)
4. Omaha (0-1)
5. Denver (0-2)
Summit League Leader (North Dakota State) Resume Snapshot
Record vs. DI Opponents: 10-5, 3-0 Summit
NET: #137
Torvik (T-Rank): #121
Strength of Record: #148
Wins Above Bubble: #173
True Road Record: 4-4
Overall SOS: #358
Non-Conference SOS: #348
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 0-0
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 0-1 (0%)
Record/Winning % vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 3-4 (42.9%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 1 (@ #268 UTEP)
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 0-1
Dribbles & Scribbles
-- The Big Ten has some garbage at the bottom, Maryland, Oregon, Penn State, and Rutgers. (Northwestern hasn’t won a conference game, but there’s potential there)
And all of the former Pac 12 schools have either grossly underperformed (Oregon, UCLA) or been nothing outside of ordinary (USC, Washington).
-- The Missouri Valley has a very solid top five, #55 Belmont, #63 Illinois State, #75 Illinois State, #86 Northern Iowa, and #116 Bradley. The Valley only will get one NCAA bid, but any one of these five could cause a headache in the 1st round of the NCAA Tournament. Semifinal Saturday at Arch Madness should be fire.
-- Ohio State has been teetering just above the bubble but notched another road win last night in Eugene. All road wins are gold. The #37 Buckeyes are 3-0 on the road in the Big Ten, 0-2 in Columbus. Go figure.
-- I gravitate toward watching games broadcast by CBS Sports Network (CBSSN) even if at the time it’s not the best game on TV. CBSSN (and CBS) are professionally done broadcasts both in-game and in studio, without all the narrative-driven ESPN garbage (gushing about NBA rules & college players free agency), spearheaded by the likes of diarrhea-of-the-mouth talking heads Jay Bilas and Jay Williams.
Thursday Bubble Impact Results (teams with NET# = bubble team)
@ Gonzaga 89, #56 Santa Clara 77
#37 Ohio State 72, @ Oregon 62
Daily Bubble Snapshots (#41, #50, #52, #68)
A daily look at the bubble, with the purpose of watching it evolve up to Selection Sunday. ...
#41 (Creighton) NCAA Tournament Resume (best at-large NET# left out of 2025 field)
Record vs. DI Opponents: 10-6, 4-1 Big East
True Road Record: 2-3
NET: #41
Torvik (T-Rank): #41
Strength of Record: #51
Wins Above Bubble: #45
Overall SOS: #9
Non-Conference SOS: #29
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 1-5 (16.7%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 3-6 (33.3%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 5-6 (45.5%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 0
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 2-5 (wins over #29 Villanova, #191 Utah Tech)
#50 (Butler) NCAA Tournament Resume (mythical Bubble cutline)
Record vs. DI Opponents: 10-6, 1-4 Big East
True Road Record: 0-3
NET: #50
Torvik (T-Rank): #48
Strength of Record: #65
Wins Above Bubble: #61
Overall SOS: #22
Non-Conference SOS: #129
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 1-4 (20%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 3-6 (33.3%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 5-6 (45.5%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 0
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 2-5 (wins over #19 Virginia, #128 Wright State)
#52 (Yale) NCAA Tournament Resume (worst at-large NET# to make 2025 field)
Record vs. DI Opponents: 10-2, 1-0 Ivy
True Road Record: 4-1
NET: #52
Torvik (T-Rank): #89
Strength of Record: #48
Wins Above Bubble: #52
Overall SOS: #250
Non-Conference SOS: #235
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 0-1 (0%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 1-1 (50%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 5-1 (83.3%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 1 (#162 Rhode Island)
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 1-0 (win over #208 Vermont)
#68 (Wake Forest) NCAA Tournament Resume (if the field was best 68 NET)
Record vs. DI Opponents: 10-6, 1-2 ACC
True Road Record: 0-1
NET: #68
Torvik (T-Rank): #55
Strength of Record: #68
Wins Above Bubble: #71
Overall SOS: #40
Non-Conference SOS: #90
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 0-4 (0%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 2-6 (25%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 3-6 (33.3%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 0
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 2-5 (wins over #59 Virginia Tech, #104 Memphis)
Jan. 9 Games to Watch
Miami-Ohio @ Toledo, 5 (CBSSN)
Merrimack @ Siena, 6 (ESPN+)
USC @ Minnesota, 7:30 (BTN)
Jan. 9 Pick to Click (38-25, 60.3%, W-1)
Miami-Ohio +1.5 @ Toledo
Jan. 9 Outright +7 or More ‘Dog (11-52, 17.5%, L-1 streak)
Rider (+7.5) outright @ Fairfield
Deep Thoughts, by Buzz Studley
Despite its gaudy record and analytics numbers, #6 Gonzaga doesn't strike me as elite, just don't look as dangerous as usual. Not a second-weekend team, will be a surprise 2nd round NCAA Tournament exit.
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