SelectionSunday
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Tommie Talk and the NET/Torvik Gospel
St. Thomas (17-5, 9-10 ATS)
NET: Tommies stay at #114
Torvik (T-Rank): Tommies stay at #118
(all rankings NET, all times Central)
Monday Summit League Results/Highlights
None
Tuesday Summit League Slate
No games
Tuesday Reach the Summit Selections (23-7, 76.7%, 0 exactas)
No games
Current Top 5 (NDSU/UST/UND/SDSU/USD) Head-to-Head
Let's keep tabs on how the current top five teams are faring head-to-head. The league's regular season champion(s) likely finishes with the best record in this group.
Head-to-Head
1. North Dakota State (3-0)
2. St. Thomas (4-1)
3. North Dakota (2-1)
4. South Dakota State (0-3)
5. South Dakota (0-4)
Summit League Leader (North Dakota State) Resume Snapshot
NET: #117
Torvik (T-Rank): #115
Record vs. DI Opponents: 15-5, 8-0 Summit
True Road Record: 7-4
Projected NCAA Tournament Seed: #14
Strength of Record: #105
Wins Above Bubble: #110
Overall SOS: #356
Non-Conference SOS: #345
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 0-0
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 0-0
Record/Winning % vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 4-4 (50%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 1 (@ #276 UTEP)
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 0-0
Dribbles & Scribbles
-- Let's say conservatively St. Thomas finishes 12-4 in the Summit League. That would send UST to the Summit League Tournament with a 23-8 overall record. The Tommies would need two wins in Sioux Falls to surpass last season's Division I-era best 24 wins. Worth noting because the Toms have elevated their win total in each of their Division I seasons: 10 (2021-22), 19 (2022-23), 20 (2023-24), and 24 (2024-25).
-- Summit League leader North Dakota State's overall strength of schedule (SOS) ranks #356 of 365 DI teams. St. Thomas' overall SOS sits at #318. Denver currently has the toughest SOS among Summit League teams at #117.
-- Undefeated #1 Arizona's 86-83 escape at #12 BYU last night was a great way to start the week. Not sure I've seen a better all-around backcourt than the Wildcats' Jaden Bradley and Brayden Burries. That was just the beginning of this week's insane slate of stellar matchups. Tonight, we've got #5 and undefeated Nebraska @ #3 Michigan.
-- There are no head-to-head bubble matchups tonight, but we have a couple Bubblicious teams with an opportunity to put major bullet points on their NCAA Tournament resumes. #35 Indiana (0-6 vs. Quad 1 opponents) hosts rival/#10 Purdue, while #68 Mizzou visits #22 Alabama. Let's see if the Crimson Tide can go 0-2 with G-leaguer and student-athlete Charles Bediako on their roster.
-- Bubblicious teams on upset alert tonight? Let's go with Virginia Tech (-8.5) at home vs. Georgia Tech and New Mexico (-4.5) @ UNLV.
Monday Bubblicious Results (bubble teams underlined)
#37 Ohio State 84, Penn State 78
Tuesday Bubblicious Tracker
Richmond @ #54 VCU, 6 (CBSSN)
Georgia Tech @ #53 Virginia Tech, 7 (ACCN)
#68 Mizzou @ Alabama, 7 (SECN)
Purdue @ #35 Indiana, 8 (NBCSN/Peacock)
#61 Creighton @ Marquette, 8:30 (TNT/TRUTV)
#43 New Mexico @ UNLV, 10 (CBSSN)
Bubblicious Snapshots (#41, #50, #52, #68)
A daily look at the bubble and watching it evolve & shrink leading up to Selection Sunday:
#41 (Wisconsin) NCAA Tournament Resume (best NET# left out of 2025 field)
NET: #41
Torvik (T-Rank): #35
Record vs. DI Opponents: 14-6, 6-3 Big Ten
True Road Record: 3-1
Strength of Record: #38
Wins Above Bubble: #40
Overall SOS: #41
Non-Conference SOS: #166
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 1-5 (16.7%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 6-6 (50%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 7-6 (53.8%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 0
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 2-6 (wins @ #3 Michigan, #42 UCLA)
#50 (Butler) NCAA Tournament Resume (mythical Bubble cutline)
NET: #50
Torvik (T-Rank): #52
Record vs. DI Opponents: 13-7, 4-5 Big East
True Road Record: 1-4
Strength of Record: #58
Wins Above Bubble: #57
Overall SOS: #53
Non-Conference SOS: #134
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 2-4 (33.3%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 4-7 (36.4%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 8-7 (53.3%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 0
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 2-4 (wins vs. #14 Virginia, #132 Wright State)
#52 (Akron) NCAA Tournament Resume (worst at-large NET# to make 2025 field)
NET: #52
Torvik (T-Rank): #58
Record vs. DI Opponents: 14-4, 7-1 MAC
True Road Record: 4-2
Strength of Record: #69
Wins Above Bubble: #65
Overall SOS: #200
Non-Conference SOS: #206
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 0-2 (0%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 1-4 (20%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 4-4 (50%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 0
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 0-3
#68 (Missouri) NCAA Tournament Resume (if the field was best 68 NET)
NET: #68
Torvik (T-Rank): #64
Record vs. DI Opponents: 14-6, 4-3 SEC
True Road Record: 2-4
Strength of Record: #44
Wins Above Bubble: #46
Overall SOS: #64
Non-Conference SOS: #209
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 3-3 (50%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 4-6 (40%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 5-6 (45.5%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 0
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 4-3 (wins over #16 Florida, #28 Auburn, @ #29 Kentucky, #254 Bethune-Cookman)
Other Games to Watch
Michigan State @ Rutgers, 5:30 (FS1)
Nebraska @ Michigan, 6 (NBCSN/Peacock)
Syracuse @ NC State, 6 (ESPNU)
George Washington @ Saint Louis, 7 (ESPN+)
Kentucky @ Vanderbilt, 8 (ESPN)
UMass @ Miami-Ohio, 8 (ESPNU)
Tuesday Pick to Click (49-32, 60.5%, L-1 streak)
Michigan State -14.5 @ Rutgers
Tuesday Outright +7 or More ‘Dog (16-65, 19.8%, L-5 streak)
Rhode Island (+8.5) outright @ Dayton
Deep Thoughts, by Buzz Studley
Louisville head coach Pat Kelsey has never won a NCAA Tournament game (Winthrop, College of Charleston, Louisville), and I don't think that's changing in March. The Cardinals look like a prime candidate to be upset in the first round.
St. Thomas (17-5, 9-10 ATS)
NET: Tommies stay at #114
Torvik (T-Rank): Tommies stay at #118
(all rankings NET, all times Central)
Monday Summit League Results/Highlights
None
Tuesday Summit League Slate
No games
Tuesday Reach the Summit Selections (23-7, 76.7%, 0 exactas)
No games
Current Top 5 (NDSU/UST/UND/SDSU/USD) Head-to-Head
Let's keep tabs on how the current top five teams are faring head-to-head. The league's regular season champion(s) likely finishes with the best record in this group.
Head-to-Head
1. North Dakota State (3-0)
2. St. Thomas (4-1)
3. North Dakota (2-1)
4. South Dakota State (0-3)
5. South Dakota (0-4)
Summit League Leader (North Dakota State) Resume Snapshot
NET: #117
Torvik (T-Rank): #115
Record vs. DI Opponents: 15-5, 8-0 Summit
True Road Record: 7-4
Projected NCAA Tournament Seed: #14
Strength of Record: #105
Wins Above Bubble: #110
Overall SOS: #356
Non-Conference SOS: #345
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 0-0
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 0-0
Record/Winning % vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 4-4 (50%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 1 (@ #276 UTEP)
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 0-0
Dribbles & Scribbles
-- Let's say conservatively St. Thomas finishes 12-4 in the Summit League. That would send UST to the Summit League Tournament with a 23-8 overall record. The Tommies would need two wins in Sioux Falls to surpass last season's Division I-era best 24 wins. Worth noting because the Toms have elevated their win total in each of their Division I seasons: 10 (2021-22), 19 (2022-23), 20 (2023-24), and 24 (2024-25).
-- Summit League leader North Dakota State's overall strength of schedule (SOS) ranks #356 of 365 DI teams. St. Thomas' overall SOS sits at #318. Denver currently has the toughest SOS among Summit League teams at #117.
-- Undefeated #1 Arizona's 86-83 escape at #12 BYU last night was a great way to start the week. Not sure I've seen a better all-around backcourt than the Wildcats' Jaden Bradley and Brayden Burries. That was just the beginning of this week's insane slate of stellar matchups. Tonight, we've got #5 and undefeated Nebraska @ #3 Michigan.
-- There are no head-to-head bubble matchups tonight, but we have a couple Bubblicious teams with an opportunity to put major bullet points on their NCAA Tournament resumes. #35 Indiana (0-6 vs. Quad 1 opponents) hosts rival/#10 Purdue, while #68 Mizzou visits #22 Alabama. Let's see if the Crimson Tide can go 0-2 with G-leaguer and student-athlete Charles Bediako on their roster.
-- Bubblicious teams on upset alert tonight? Let's go with Virginia Tech (-8.5) at home vs. Georgia Tech and New Mexico (-4.5) @ UNLV.
Monday Bubblicious Results (bubble teams underlined)
#37 Ohio State 84, Penn State 78
Tuesday Bubblicious Tracker
Richmond @ #54 VCU, 6 (CBSSN)
Georgia Tech @ #53 Virginia Tech, 7 (ACCN)
#68 Mizzou @ Alabama, 7 (SECN)
Purdue @ #35 Indiana, 8 (NBCSN/Peacock)
#61 Creighton @ Marquette, 8:30 (TNT/TRUTV)
#43 New Mexico @ UNLV, 10 (CBSSN)
Bubblicious Snapshots (#41, #50, #52, #68)
A daily look at the bubble and watching it evolve & shrink leading up to Selection Sunday:
#41 (Wisconsin) NCAA Tournament Resume (best NET# left out of 2025 field)
NET: #41
Torvik (T-Rank): #35
Record vs. DI Opponents: 14-6, 6-3 Big Ten
True Road Record: 3-1
Strength of Record: #38
Wins Above Bubble: #40
Overall SOS: #41
Non-Conference SOS: #166
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 1-5 (16.7%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 6-6 (50%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 7-6 (53.8%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 0
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 2-6 (wins @ #3 Michigan, #42 UCLA)
#50 (Butler) NCAA Tournament Resume (mythical Bubble cutline)
NET: #50
Torvik (T-Rank): #52
Record vs. DI Opponents: 13-7, 4-5 Big East
True Road Record: 1-4
Strength of Record: #58
Wins Above Bubble: #57
Overall SOS: #53
Non-Conference SOS: #134
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 2-4 (33.3%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 4-7 (36.4%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 8-7 (53.3%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 0
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 2-4 (wins vs. #14 Virginia, #132 Wright State)
#52 (Akron) NCAA Tournament Resume (worst at-large NET# to make 2025 field)
NET: #52
Torvik (T-Rank): #58
Record vs. DI Opponents: 14-4, 7-1 MAC
True Road Record: 4-2
Strength of Record: #69
Wins Above Bubble: #65
Overall SOS: #200
Non-Conference SOS: #206
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 0-2 (0%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 1-4 (20%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 4-4 (50%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 0
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 0-3
#68 (Missouri) NCAA Tournament Resume (if the field was best 68 NET)
NET: #68
Torvik (T-Rank): #64
Record vs. DI Opponents: 14-6, 4-3 SEC
True Road Record: 2-4
Strength of Record: #44
Wins Above Bubble: #46
Overall SOS: #64
Non-Conference SOS: #209
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 3-3 (50%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 4-6 (40%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 5-6 (45.5%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 0
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 4-3 (wins over #16 Florida, #28 Auburn, @ #29 Kentucky, #254 Bethune-Cookman)
Other Games to Watch
Michigan State @ Rutgers, 5:30 (FS1)
Nebraska @ Michigan, 6 (NBCSN/Peacock)
Syracuse @ NC State, 6 (ESPNU)
George Washington @ Saint Louis, 7 (ESPN+)
Kentucky @ Vanderbilt, 8 (ESPN)
UMass @ Miami-Ohio, 8 (ESPNU)
Tuesday Pick to Click (49-32, 60.5%, L-1 streak)
Michigan State -14.5 @ Rutgers
Tuesday Outright +7 or More ‘Dog (16-65, 19.8%, L-5 streak)
Rhode Island (+8.5) outright @ Dayton
Deep Thoughts, by Buzz Studley
Louisville head coach Pat Kelsey has never won a NCAA Tournament game (Winthrop, College of Charleston, Louisville), and I don't think that's changing in March. The Cardinals look like a prime candidate to be upset in the first round.