Good morning guys. Zambam, good question on the double in the post. I think Sampson is strong enough for what the team needs and actually has really good passing instincts in the post. He does need to get stronger, but you’re going to have some turnovers in the post when they send the double regardless. (Did you see that Ohio State-Mich State game and how awful Sullinger looked when doubled hard, and he’s a Nat’l Player of the Year candidate?) (And there are some games when the entire Minny team was just awful, like the Iowa game zone debacle and the first half of the Mich State game in Lansing.) The post double is like stacking the box in football, but it opens up other options, and you have to go to it consistently and take a broader view than a couple turnovers in the course of a game. If you look at Sampson’s stats, they tell you he shoots a good percentage and has a positive assist to turnover ratio. Couple those two with his length to see over the top and overall good passing vision, and it says pound the post until they double, then have your gameplan set for kickouts to good shooters and secondary passes.
One way you beat the double is spacing and ball movement, surrounding your ball side post with at least one good shooter and spreading the off block offensive player so the blind side defender can’t sneak the back side steal (I’ve seen that happen to Sampson and that’s not on him). On the other hand, the pinch down double that is visible to Sampson requires him to see and react, and he’s gotten caught there which is pretty typical for any team to have a couple wobbles. But this team ignores that post option too much; I’m not saying the post should be the only option, just suggesting it should be resulting in 10-15 shots/game, not 5, which would result in more people involved in your offense, your best post much more engaged in the game, better balance and better outcomes.
There is also plenty the coaching staff could do to take pressure off the double, like:
*how about a simple down screen on the block for Sampson, then a cross screen at the elbow, for a curl at the foul line and wide open 15-17 ft jumper, with Rodney cutting to the rack on the off-side with a back screen as an Option B lob or bounce pass if Sampson doesn’t have the jumper? He’s one of the best shooters on the team and I’ve never seen one shooting screen ever run for him. A big man defender could never trail those screens closely enough, and Sampson would simply shoot over a switching guard. If you have a player like him, you can’t just put him on the floor and expect good things to happen magically, you’ve got to structure some plays around him, and that doesn’t seem to happen much.
*If the defense is showing a double, I’d speed up Sampson in practice to go quickly if he put the ball on the ground. You try to teach big men patience in the post, and he has it, but sometimes he just needs a very quick spin move or drop step right. The scouting report on him has been pretty straightforward: he will kill you with a left shoulder hook (or even right) so sit hard on his left and overplay it (generally that means overplay middle), crowd and push him the moment he crosses the top of the key, and come hard and fast with a double if he dribbles. There are multiple counters to this, and actually, Sampson seems to be doing more of them lately, including drop steps, quick spin and goes, but he just doesn’t get a lot of touches to continue developing those moves in game situations. It’s clear Gary Williams (the national championship Md coach now on the B1G channel; yes, another IU connection, his team beat us for the championship in 02) loves Sampson, and can’t stop raving about his “unstoppable” post moves -- so much so I’m convinced he’s on the Minny payroll! So my only point is that Sampson is a good post option that should be used more, whether single or double covered, because this team’s subpar half-court offense needs that additional dynamic.
I’m off to coach but will be DVR’ing the game and watching later. Good luck you guys, will be interesting for sure! If you can run off the next winnable 3 games, including against my Hoosiers, and beat fellow bubble team Northwestern in the tourney, and maybe a second win, I think you have a good shot at the dance at 21-12 or 22-12.