New Hampshire has been tough on FBS opponents, however, and some of those players are still on the team. From 2006-2009 UNH beat Ball State, Army, Marshall, and Northwestern. I still think this will be a tougher game than most expect.
This is misleading. New Hampshire beat no FBS teams in 2010 or 2011. So what you should say is that from 2006-2009 they beat those 4 teams. Also, the details matter. In each case, they were beating some very bad teams while performing at a high FCS level themselves in 3 of the 4 seasons:
- 2006: Northwestern finished 4-8. This was the season that Randy Walker died during the summer and that Fitz took over unexpectedly. Their wins came over a 1-11 Eastern Michigan team, a 2-10 Miami of Ohio team, a 2-10 Illinois team (one of those wins was also E. Mich), and (somehow) a 6-6 Iowa team. New Hampshire still had Chip Kelly and was 9-4 while making the FCS quarterfinals.
- 2007: Marshall finished 3-9, including wins over 2-10 UAB and 3-9 Rice. New Hampshire was only 7-5 this season.
- 2008: Army finished 3-9, including wins over 2-10 Tulane and 3-9 Eastern Michigan. New Hampshire was 10-3 while making it to the FCS quarterfinals
- The 2009 Ball State team that lost to NH was 2-10 overall (including a 2 pt win over winless Eastern Michigan and a 5 pt win over 5-7 Western Michigan). New Hampshire was 10-3, again with a trip to the FCS quarterfinals
- 2010: No FBS wins, New Hampshire is 8-5.
- 2011: No FBS wins, New Hampshire is 8-4.
This year's UNH team loses the biggest contributors from the 2011 squad. Losing to this team would be BAD. I'm not saying it can't happen (see NMSU last year, easily a worse loss than NDSU in terms of opponent quality) but folks have some legitimate reasons not to be super worried about it. Most of all, there are very few reasons put forth by UNH to be concerned that it will be a tougher game.