If Gophers are eligible on Dec 3, and assuming everything else plays out as expected, then Detroit will select them.
They don’t want Navy and they don’t want Jacksonville State. They want a Big Ten vs MAC matchup. (It is exactly the same thing as the previous version now, before they tried to make it Big Ten vs ACC for a time).
Short of the CFP/NY6 calculus scenarios coming true, I don’t see anything where that wouldn’t hold true.
That said, I could absolutely see the Hawaii bowl making a contingent selection for Navy over JSU or just plain saying they want to wait. I don’t think the NCAA can force them to select on Dec 3.
But that won’t affect us, one iota. As I said, Detroit doesn’t want Navy or JSU, so they’ll just pick Gophers directly on Dec 3.
Unless the NCAA decides to make our eligibility contingent on the Navy outcome, but that seems much more far fetched.