Agreed. I don't think our out of conference success is due to scouting, it's because the Big 10 plays defense.
Tubby does coach a pretty solid D and is a good defensive coach. This helps us in the non conference with teams who aren't used to seeing defense like it.
Tubby is an average offensive coach, this doesn't hurt us too much in the non conference because teams don't really play defense that well.
The confidence issue I put in the coach though too, I don't think the offense is as terrible as many make it seem (it's not great, don't get me wrong), but the guys just don't seem quick or confident running it. They pass up open shots, open drives, open passes, etc. Tubby's job is to have them playing confident and fluid. That hasn't happened this year.
In the Big 10. Everyone plays defense so his defensive strength isn't as apparent. In the big 10, that defense exposes his offensive mediocrity.
If the Gophers can make the tournament, I think they are fully capable of winning some games due to the above and that's what matters. If tubby went 9-9 every year in conference, but made the sweet 16 or elite 8 every year. I'd be pretty ecstatic with that. I don't care if we get blown out in those 9 conference losses or he calls guys out after every game. Those "lessons" all pan out to an elite 8 and you are fine by me Tubby.
He needs to prove he can make the tourney with full health and make that sweet 16. That's my standard for this year.