Gophers open as 8 point favorites against Nebraska

swingman

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Connelly has cranked some SP+ numbers for 2023.

Minnesota with a 12.7 rating.
Nebraska with a 6.1 rating.
So, Minnesota by 6.6 on a neutral field.

Big dogs to Michigan and Ohio State, but using early SP+, likely favored in every other game except Iowa and UNC (maybe a 3-4 point dog in each, using a 3 point home field edge).

Stay healthy and 9-3 is the downside for this team.

25. Wisconsin14.3 (25)30.7 (46)16.4 (11)
26. Auburn13.7 (26)34.0 (34)20.3 (24)
27. Iowa13.5 (27)23.2 (81)9.8 (1)
28. North Carolina13.0 (28)39.4 (13)26.3 (62)
29. Arkansas13.0 (29)39.1 (15)26.1 (60)
30. Minnesota12.7 (30)27.9 (61)15.3 (7)
31. Oregon State12.3 (31)33.8 (35)21.5 (29)
32. Missouri12.1 (32)30.2 (47)18.1 (17)
33. South Carolina11.9 (33)38.1 (20)26.2 (61)
34. Oklahoma State10.8 (34)36.8 (24)26.0 (59)
35. Texas Tech10.6 (35)38.6 (17)28.0 (69)
36. Louisville10.3 (36)29.6 (52)19.3 (19)
37. Tulane9.9 (37)34.3 (32)24.4 (50)
38. Baylor9.8 (38)35.7 (31)25.9 (58)
39. UCF9.6 (39)32.8 (40)23.3 (41)
40. Pittsburgh9.4 (40)33.2 (37)23.8 (45)
41. Maryland9.3 (41)30.9 (44)21.5 (30)
42. Miami-FL8.9 (42)29.0 (55)20.1 (20)
43. Cincinnati7.6 (43)27.8 (62)20.2 (23)
44. Illinois6.6 (44)23.2 (82)16.6 (13)
45. Iowa State6.3 (45)25.1 (74)18.8 (18)
46. NC State6.1 (46)26.3 (67)20.2 (22)
47. Michigan State6.1 (47)30.2 (48)24.1 (47)
48. Nebraska6.1 (48)28.6 (58)22.5 (37)
49. Purdue5.6 (49)30.8 (45)25.3 (56)
50. West Virginia5.3 (50)34.2 (33)28.9 (74)
 
Last edited:

pk2

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Connelly has cranked some SP+ numbers for 2023.

Minnesota with a 12.7 rating.
Nebraska with a 6.1 rating.
So, Minnesota by 6.6 on a neutral field.

Big dogs to Michigan, but using early SP+, favored in every other game except Iowa and UNC (maybe a 3-4 point dog in each, using a 3 point home field edge).

Stay healthy and 9-3 is the downside for this team.

25. Wisconsin14.3 (25)30.7 (46)16.4 (11)
26. Auburn13.7 (26)34.0 (34)20.3 (24)
27. Iowa13.5 (27)23.2 (81)9.8 (1)
28. North Carolina13.0 (28)39.4 (13)26.3 (62)
29. Arkansas13.0 (29)39.1 (15)26.1 (60)
30. Minnesota12.7 (30)27.9 (61)15.3 (7)
31. Oregon State12.3 (31)33.8 (35)21.5 (29)
32. Missouri12.1 (32)30.2 (47)18.1 (17)
33. South Carolina11.9 (33)38.1 (20)26.2 (61)
34. Oklahoma State10.8 (34)36.8 (24)26.0 (59)
35. Texas Tech10.6 (35)38.6 (17)28.0 (69)
36. Louisville10.3 (36)29.6 (52)19.3 (19)
37. Tulane9.9 (37)34.3 (32)24.4 (50)
38. Baylor9.8 (38)35.7 (31)25.9 (58)
39. UCF9.6 (39)32.8 (40)23.3 (41)
40. Pittsburgh9.4 (40)33.2 (37)23.8 (45)
41. Maryland9.3 (41)30.9 (44)21.5 (30)
42. Miami-FL8.9 (42)29.0 (55)20.1 (20)
43. Cincinnati7.6 (43)27.8 (62)20.2 (23)
44. Illinois6.6 (44)23.2 (82)16.6 (13)
45. Iowa State6.3 (45)25.1 (74)18.8 (18)
46. NC State6.1 (46)26.3 (67)20.2 (22)
47. Michigan State6.1 (47)30.2 (48)24.1 (47)
48. Nebraska6.1 (48)28.6 (58)22.5 (37)
49. Purdue5.6 (49)30.8 (45)25.3 (56)
50. West Virginia5.3 (50)34.2 (33)28.9 (74)

I’m guessing the Gophers are big underdogs to OSU, as well.
 




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