I just went through our conference schedule and I think we have a very legitimate shot at being 12-6 (I actually came up with 13-5, but might be being too optimistic w/ MSU at home). This is assuming we actually win the majority of the toss-up games, mostly hold down the fort at home, and win our winnable road games. I believe we can do that this year.
The real key is beating the other teams fighting for 3rd and 4th place (Oh St, UW, Illini) otherwise we'll be in 6th. One odd issue might be the start of the schedule and our propensity to getting in our own way; we could start of 0-2 (@UW, @ MSU) which isn't a big deal in the larger picture, but could be an emotional problem for the team.
I think it is in our best interest that we are not going to Assembly Hall this season, we struggle w/ Illinois SO much its gross. To be a real team in the top half, I think we have to beat OSU and Purdue at home. I have our losses as @UW, @MSU, @OSU, @Purdue, and the Illini at home. I am hoping we can finally nail MSU at home this season and even more strongly hoping we don't drop a silly game along the way ("silly" would include NW or Iowa at home). I went w/ 12-6 since we could beat Sparty at home and then drop a stinker. I honestly think we can split with Purdue, OSU, and UW.