Game Preview: Gophers at Ohio State 2/20/13

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Game Preview: Gophers at Ohio State 2/20/13
02/19/2013, 10:40am CST
By J.B. Bauer
Deshaun Thomas averages 20 points per game for the Buckeyes

The Minnesota Golden Gophers (18-8, 6-7) travel to Columbus to take on the #18/18 Ohio State Buckeyes (18-7, 8-5). Under Thad Matta the Bucks are 131-2 at home against unranked opponents. The game can be seen at 6pm CT on the Big Ten Network.

http://www.gopherhole.com/news_article/show/227866?referrer_id=388419

The Gophers took an early 21-5 lead Sunday in Iowa City before everything fell apart. The Hawkeyes would outscore Minnesota 67-30 from there and cruise to victory.

This may be one of those times when a game away from Williams Arena is welcomed by the coaches and players of the Minnesota Gophers. There has been a significant build in negativity among the Minnesota fan base after Sunday’s loss to Iowa and getting away could have its benefits.

Then again, the Buckeyes are 150-14 at home in the Thad Matta era.

Like Minnesota, Ohio State has lost three of four games and is coming off an ugly 71-49 loss at Wisconsin.

On paper, a Gopher win wouldn’t be a monumental upset, but it appears unlikely at best.

LAST MEETING
Like this season, these teams play each other just once. A year ago in Minneapolis the Buckeyes won 78-68 on the strength of a combined 47 points and 16 rebounds from William Buford and Jared Sullinger.

Both Buford (eligibility exhausted) and Sullinger (NBA draft, Celtics) are gone, but most everyone else is back this year.

That includes junior point guard Aaron Craft who stole the ball a personal and team season-high 6 times. The Buckeyes registered 10 steals and the Minnesota trio of Andre Hollins, Austin Hollins and Rodney Williams were charged with 10 of the team’s 14 turnovers.

Offensive star Deshaun Thomas added 12 for the Bucks.

Rodney Williams turned in a good performance for the Gophers with 21 points and 9 rebounds. Julian Welch added 11 points, 5 rebounds and a season-high 9 assists.

Craft and Thomas figure to play leading roles for Ohio State on Wednesday. For Minnesota the answer to the question of who will step up is unknown. Rodney Williams continues to nurse a bad shoulder and may not start, while Julian Welch hasn’t had much of an opportunity this year to repeat what was a very good 2011-12 campaign.

SHOOTING
In Big Ten play the teams have had similar shooting results. Ohio State holds a slight edge in eFG% (49.6% to 49.0%) thanks to a 1.5% advantage in 2FG%.

Neither team shoots a ton of 3-pointers, but Deshaun Thomas (55/143 for 38.5% on the season) and Lenzelle Smith (36/92 for 39.1%) are capable of knocking them down for the Buckeyes.

Aaron Craft’s shooting has been poor relative to his first two seasons and is a reason for Ohio State not being quite as good as some projected. Craft’s eFG% of 43.9% is down considerably from the 54.3% he shot during his first two seasons in Columbus.

Deshaun Thomas takes nearly a third of Ohio State’s shots when he is on the floor. A major issue has been finding a consistent number two scorer, but the Buckeyes have a number of kids who can put up double figures on any given night.

Minnesota’s 2-point field goal shooting has been consistent over the past four games. The problem is that it’s been consistently low, an average of 42.3%. They’ll likely need to be a lot better shooting the ball in order to pull off an upset Wednesday.

TURNOVERS
The Buckeyes should have an advantage in net turnovers with Aaron Craft (3.6% steal percentage) and Shannon Scott (5.0% steal percentage) likely to create several turnovers.

Against Iowa the Gophers turned the ball over 17 times and had their highest turnover percentage of the entire Big Ten season.

REBOUNDING
Minnesota continues to enjoy frequent advantages on the offensive boards this year, but they’ve run into trouble against some teams. That includes Wisconsin.

The poor rebounding performances against the Badgers are important to note because the Buckeyes have a similar profile: weak offensive rebounding, but very strong defensive rebounding.

Being the better rebounding team in this game is very important for Minnesota.

FREE THROWS
Minnesota gets to the line often, but Ohio State doesn’t send their opponents there much. Minnesota’s offense struggles to put up points when opportunities in transition aren’t there and the Buckeyes are a good defensive team. Getting to the free throw line will be a key part of the Gophers offense if they are to come out the victor.

With Deshaun Thomas being so vital to the Ohio State scoring attack, foul trouble would be a big issue. However, Thomas rarely fouls and has been whistled for four only once this year.

OTHER NOTES

Five of Ohio State’s seven losses have been to teams currently in the AP Top 10. The other two were at Wisconsin (#19) and at Illinois (receiving votes - #29).

Deshaun Thomas (averaging 20.1 points per game) has been Ohio State’s high scorer in 20 of 25 games.

Thad Matta’s Buckeyes are 131-2 at home against unranked opponents.
 

IMO the 2 big keys for the Gophers are to limit Deshaun Thomas and how well can they deal with the ball pressure from Ohio State and mainly how effective Andre can be vs. Craft with the defensive pressure he will face from him. If the Gophers do well in these 2 areas I think there is a very realistic chance of pulling off a mild upset at Ohio State.
 

IMO the 2 big keys for the Gophers are to limit Deshaun Thomas and how well can they deal with the ball pressure from Ohio State and mainly how effective Andre can be vs. Craft with the defensive pressure he will face from him. If the Gophers do well in these 2 areas I think there is a very realistic chance of pulling off a mild upset at Ohio State.

Andre is going to have to work very hard for his points, craft is very good defensively, somebody is probably going to have to pick up the scoring load.

Winnable and puts them right back in it, a win might even pull them off the bubble.
 

Andre is going to have to work very hard for his points, craft is very good defensively, somebody is probably going to have to pick up the scoring load.

Winnable and puts them right back in it, a win might even pull them off the bubble.
They're not on the bubble right now.
 

If Ohio State doesn't play zone defense agaist us Thad Matta should be fired. With that being said Craft shouldn't be guarding Andre Hollins man to man much this game meaning Andre will just need to knock down open shots in the zone.
 


To be honest, I think they can run any defense on us and be effective. I think they pressure the guards (especially Craft) so much that our offense is going to be just as stale as our zone offense. A lot of perimeter passing that ultimately gets us nowhere. I guess it comes down to making shots...or to hoping our misses fall right into Mbakwe's hands for easy deuces.
 

They're not on the bubble right now.

Not sure why everyone believes an 8-10 record gets them in, they lose to Ohio State and they will be very likely be 6-9, that is on the bubble or outside looking in, unless you honestly believe they can win the final three games.
 

Not sure why everyone believes a 8-10 record gets them in, they lose to Ohio State and they will be very likely be 6-9, that is on the bubble or outside looking in, unless you honestly believe they can win the final three games.
It's because the bubble is so weak this year that the Gophers resume even at finishing 8-10 should and more than likely would get them in when comparing them to some of the other teams on the bubble right now.
 

Not sure why everyone believes an 8-10 record gets them in, they lose to Ohio State and they will be very likely be 6-9, that is on the bubble or outside looking in, unless you honestly believe they can win the final three games.

College basketball sucks this year that's why. I said that they aren't on the bubble at this moment in time. They could fall onto the bubble though.
 



PSU @Neb @PU should win the first two at Purdue is iffy. Than will probably play one of these three again in the first round before facing IU or Sparty in the big ten tourney. If we win three games will get in to the tourney, heck 7-11 and a conference tourney win and were probably heading to Dayton for a play in game
 

@ameliarayno: Smith said FR Wally Ellenson is back practicing and will be available to the #Gophers tomorrow.

Go Gophers!!
 

Not sure why everyone believes an 8-10 record gets them in, they lose to Ohio State and they will be very likely be 6-9, that is on the bubble or outside looking in, unless you honestly believe they can win the final three games.

I honestly believe they can win the final three games.
 









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