First Place

Who ends up in Indy

  • Minnesota

    Votes: 46 65.7%
  • Wisconsin

    Votes: 11 15.7%
  • Iowa

    Votes: 11 15.7%
  • Nebraska

    Votes: 2 2.9%

  • Total voters
    70

RogueGopher

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Once again, the Golden Gophers head into November at the top of the West division. This time tied with Wisconsin, Iowa, and Nebraska.

How will this all play out?
 






We win out (minus Ohio State) and we win the West, right?

That won’t be easy, but it’s doable. Let’s be the last team to win the West.

Edit: Or do we need Iowa to lose again?
 


We win out (minus Ohio State) and we win the West, right?

That won’t be easy, but it’s doable. Let’s be the last team to win the West.

Edit: Or do we need Iowa to lose again?
Iowa, Nebraska, and Northwestern all need to lose one more time.
 






Odds are one of Wisconsin, Iowa, and Nebraska will go 3-1 in the remaining games so it's probably going to take 3-1 with a loss to Ohio State to win it. Excluding OSU the remaining 3 games are somewhere around tossups so roughly a 1 in 8 chance. Not great but with how tough our schedule is this year and especially after the Northwestern loss I'll take it.

On paper Iowa should be the most likely, but with how much they rely on their defense and special teams to play lights out and make up for their lack of offense, any of their remaining opponents is just a couple of good plays away from beating them.
 






I think that Minnesota gets housed by OSU, but this is the first time that OSU has had a glaring weakness in awhile, and it's their run game, and Fleck likes to play Tressell-ball. It would be slightly less absurd if Minnesota figures out a way to do it this year than it has been for awhile.
 

Does it get altered if there is a three way tie?

Yep. If that happens, chances are it would come down to records against each other.


The following procedure will determine the representative from each division in the event of a tie:
  1. If two teams are tied, the winner of the game between the two tied teams shall be the representative.
  2. If three or more teams are tied, steps 1 through 8 will be followed until a determination is made. If only two teams remain tied after any step (or sub-step), the winner of the game between the two tied teams shall be the representative. If three or more teams remain tied after any step, move to next step in tiebreaker with remaining tied teams.
1. The records of the three (or more) tied teams will be compared based on winning percentage in games between the tied teams.
(a) Example: East 1 is 2-0 in games between the tied teams with wins over East 2 and 3 - East 1 would be the representative.
2. The records of the three (or more) tied teams will be compared based on winning percentage within their division.
3. The records of the three (or more) teams will be compared against the next highest placed teams in their division in order of finish (4, 5, 6, and 7).

..... https://bigten.org/news/2011/8/10/Big_Ten_Conference_Football_Divisional_Tiebreaker.aspx
 

We can’t lose to ILL next week

Need to win games that we’re supposed to win but we have a great tendency to find ways to disappoint ourselves when we need the wins the most.

ILL won’t be easy as what their record shows.
 

Once again, the Golden Gophers head into November at the top of the West division. This time tied with Wisconsin, Iowa, and Nebraska.

How will this all play out?
The Wisconsin game could be for all the marbles, even if the Gophers lose to Ohio State. But when have we heard that before?
 

Don’t look now but Nebby is right there at 5-3 also. Getting them early in the season rather than later looks like it was a good thing.
 


Odds are one of Wisconsin, Iowa, and Nebraska will go 3-1 in the remaining games so it's probably going to take 3-1 with a loss to Ohio State to win it. Excluding OSU the remaining 3 games are somewhere around tossups so roughly a 1 in 8 chance. Not great but with how tough our schedule is this year and especially after the Northwestern loss I'll take it.

On paper Iowa should be the most likely, but with how much they rely on their defense and special teams to play lights out and make up for their lack of offense, any of their remaining opponents is just a couple of good plays away from beating them.
If we want to WIN a the division, then let’s go WIN 3 out of 4 - if we can’t do that, we don’t deserve it.
 

Ideally, Wisc will beat Neb in Madison second to last week and then Neb will beat Iowa in Lincoln the last week. With that result known, Minn Wisc will decide the West title for real, right on the outcome of that game.
 

A 5-4 division champ, while unlikely, isn’t out of the question.
 

If we go 3-1 with our only loss to OSU we would have all the tiebreakers, right?
 









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