SelectionSunday
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Only 2 weeks until Selection Sunday. …
This week we’ll do things a little differently. I’ll break down my Field of 68 projection into 7 sub-categories: (1) 1-bid-conferences; (2) tournament locks; (3) teams in the field needing 1 more regular season win to become a lock; (4); teams in the field needing 2 more regular season wins to become a lock; (5) teams squarely on the bubble/in the field; (6) teams squarely on the bubble/out of the field; and finally (7) longshots hanging by a string.
Current NET ranking is noted in parentheses.
FIELD OF 68 PROJECTION (through games played February 26)
PROJECTED 1-BID CONFERENCES (current leader/highest remaining conference tournament seed) (23)
1 America East: Vermont (123)
2 ASUN: Kennesaw State (120)
3 Atlantic 10: VCU (68)
4 Big Sky: Eastern Washington (118)
5 Big South: UNC-Asheville (140)
6 Big West: UC-Irvine (95)
7 Colonial: Hofstra (86)
8 Conference USA: FAU (19)
9 Horizon: Youngstown State (114)
10 Ivy: Yale (66)
11 Metro Atlantic: Iona (58)
12 MAC: Toledo (85)
13 MEAC: Howard (235)
14 Missouri Valley: Bradley (56)
15 NEC: Fairleigh Dickinson (307)
16 OVC: Morehead State (221)
17 Patriot: Colgate (99)
18 SoCon: Furman (88)
19 Southland: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (194)
20 SWAC: Alcorn State (248)
21 Summit: Oral Roberts (44)
22 Sun Belt: Southern Miss (83)
23 WAC: Utah Valley (82)
An * denotes the automatic qualifier in a multiple-bid conference.
TOURNAMENT LOCKS (27)
1 *Houston (1)
2 *Alabama (2)
3 Tennessee (3)
4 *UCLA (4)
5 *Purdue (5)
6 *Kansas (6)
7 *Saint Mary’s (7)
8 UConn (8)
9 Gonzaga (9)
10 Texas (10)
11 Arizona (11)
12 Baylor (12)
13 *Marquette (13)
14 Arkansas (14)
15 *San Diego State (15)
16 Creighton (16)
17 Kansas State (17)
18 Indiana (18)
19 Kentucky (20)
20 Maryland (21)
21 TCU (22)
22 Duke (24)
23 Xavier (25)
24 Virginia (28)
25 Miami (35)
26 Northwestern (41)
27 *Pitt (53)
IN THE FIELD/WIN 1 TO BECOME A LOCK (10)
1 Iowa State (23)
2 Texas A&M (27)
3 Nevada (30)
4 Rutgers (32)
5 Michigan State (33)
6 Illinois (34)
7 Providence (37)
8 Iowa (43)
9 USC (45)
10 Missouri (49)
IN THE FIELD/WIN 2 TO BECOME A LOCK (2)
1 Boise State (29)
2 Memphis (38)
SQUARELY ON THE BUBBLE/IN THE FIELD (6) – this gets us to 68 teams in the field.
1 West Virginia (26) -- LAST 4 IN
2 Auburn (36) -- LAST 4 IN
3 Mississippi State (39)
4 NC State (42)
5 Michigan (55) – LAST TEAM IN
6 Arizona State (61) -- LAST 4 IN
SQUARELY ON THE BUBBLE/OUT OF THE FIELD (7)
1 Utah State (31)
2 Oklahoma State (46) – FIRST TEAM OUT
3 North Carolina (47)
4 College of Charleston (51) -- FIRST 4 OUT
5 Penn State (59)
6 Clemson (60) -- FIRST 4 OUT
7 Wisconsin (72) -- FIRST 4 OUT
LONGSHOTS HANGING BY A STRING (5)
1 New Mexico (48)
2 North Texas (50)
3 Oregon (52)
4 Texas Tech (54)
5 Wake Forest (84)
_________________________
Last 4 In: West Virginia (26), Auburn (36), Michigan (55), Arizona State (61)
First 4 Out: Oklahoma State (46), College of Charleston (51), Clemson (60), Wisconsin (72)
Non-Power 6 At-Large Bids (4): Gonzaga (9), Boise State (29), Nevada (30), Memphis (38)
First 4 Automatic Qualifiers: Morehead State (221), Howard (235), Alcorn State (248), Fairleigh Dickinson (307)
___________________________
In With the New (3): Arizona State, Bradley, Furman
Out With the Old (3): Drake, Samford, Wisconsin
NEXT PROJECTION: Sunday evening, March 5
This week we’ll do things a little differently. I’ll break down my Field of 68 projection into 7 sub-categories: (1) 1-bid-conferences; (2) tournament locks; (3) teams in the field needing 1 more regular season win to become a lock; (4); teams in the field needing 2 more regular season wins to become a lock; (5) teams squarely on the bubble/in the field; (6) teams squarely on the bubble/out of the field; and finally (7) longshots hanging by a string.
Current NET ranking is noted in parentheses.
FIELD OF 68 PROJECTION (through games played February 26)
PROJECTED 1-BID CONFERENCES (current leader/highest remaining conference tournament seed) (23)
1 America East: Vermont (123)
2 ASUN: Kennesaw State (120)
3 Atlantic 10: VCU (68)
4 Big Sky: Eastern Washington (118)
5 Big South: UNC-Asheville (140)
6 Big West: UC-Irvine (95)
7 Colonial: Hofstra (86)
8 Conference USA: FAU (19)
9 Horizon: Youngstown State (114)
10 Ivy: Yale (66)
11 Metro Atlantic: Iona (58)
12 MAC: Toledo (85)
13 MEAC: Howard (235)
14 Missouri Valley: Bradley (56)
15 NEC: Fairleigh Dickinson (307)
16 OVC: Morehead State (221)
17 Patriot: Colgate (99)
18 SoCon: Furman (88)
19 Southland: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (194)
20 SWAC: Alcorn State (248)
21 Summit: Oral Roberts (44)
22 Sun Belt: Southern Miss (83)
23 WAC: Utah Valley (82)
An * denotes the automatic qualifier in a multiple-bid conference.
TOURNAMENT LOCKS (27)
1 *Houston (1)
2 *Alabama (2)
3 Tennessee (3)
4 *UCLA (4)
5 *Purdue (5)
6 *Kansas (6)
7 *Saint Mary’s (7)
8 UConn (8)
9 Gonzaga (9)
10 Texas (10)
11 Arizona (11)
12 Baylor (12)
13 *Marquette (13)
14 Arkansas (14)
15 *San Diego State (15)
16 Creighton (16)
17 Kansas State (17)
18 Indiana (18)
19 Kentucky (20)
20 Maryland (21)
21 TCU (22)
22 Duke (24)
23 Xavier (25)
24 Virginia (28)
25 Miami (35)
26 Northwestern (41)
27 *Pitt (53)
IN THE FIELD/WIN 1 TO BECOME A LOCK (10)
1 Iowa State (23)
2 Texas A&M (27)
3 Nevada (30)
4 Rutgers (32)
5 Michigan State (33)
6 Illinois (34)
7 Providence (37)
8 Iowa (43)
9 USC (45)
10 Missouri (49)
IN THE FIELD/WIN 2 TO BECOME A LOCK (2)
1 Boise State (29)
2 Memphis (38)
SQUARELY ON THE BUBBLE/IN THE FIELD (6) – this gets us to 68 teams in the field.
1 West Virginia (26) -- LAST 4 IN
2 Auburn (36) -- LAST 4 IN
3 Mississippi State (39)
4 NC State (42)
5 Michigan (55) – LAST TEAM IN
6 Arizona State (61) -- LAST 4 IN
SQUARELY ON THE BUBBLE/OUT OF THE FIELD (7)
1 Utah State (31)
2 Oklahoma State (46) – FIRST TEAM OUT
3 North Carolina (47)
4 College of Charleston (51) -- FIRST 4 OUT
5 Penn State (59)
6 Clemson (60) -- FIRST 4 OUT
7 Wisconsin (72) -- FIRST 4 OUT
LONGSHOTS HANGING BY A STRING (5)
1 New Mexico (48)
2 North Texas (50)
3 Oregon (52)
4 Texas Tech (54)
5 Wake Forest (84)
_________________________
Last 4 In: West Virginia (26), Auburn (36), Michigan (55), Arizona State (61)
First 4 Out: Oklahoma State (46), College of Charleston (51), Clemson (60), Wisconsin (72)
Non-Power 6 At-Large Bids (4): Gonzaga (9), Boise State (29), Nevada (30), Memphis (38)
First 4 Automatic Qualifiers: Morehead State (221), Howard (235), Alcorn State (248), Fairleigh Dickinson (307)
___________________________
In With the New (3): Arizona State, Bradley, Furman
Out With the Old (3): Drake, Samford, Wisconsin
NEXT PROJECTION: Sunday evening, March 5
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