Field of 68 Projection (March 10, 2014)

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Keep in mind, unless a bubble team wins their conference tourney, everyone is going to lose again.. so RPI's are fluid. A RPI of 50 can get us in the dance.. when factored with other things..

Bottom line, the resume of every school we are competing with is flawed. At a minimum, win thursday and hope for other bubble teams to exit quickly. Win friday and I don't think it matters what others do.. we're in...
 

SS, are either Gonzaga or BYU even close enough to the bubble where a loss tonight may put them out or are we better off having them both win and making sure a 3rd team from that league doesn't get in and steal a bid?
 



JimmyJamesMD said:
2 wins, including a win over Wisconsin would have to be a boost to both rpi and SOS, placing us right around the RPI: 30 SOS: 2 from last year.
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When you compare our good wins this year to last year, they're pretty similar. Wisconsin, Ohio State, Iowa this year, Wisconsin, Michigan State, Indiana last year. I guess they might be a little better last year, but 20 RPI spots seems like a lot
 

mcal24 said:
When you compare our good wins this year to last year, they're pretty similar. Wisconsin, Ohio State, Iowa this year, Wisconsin, Michigan State, Indiana last year. I guess they might be a little better last year, but 20 RPI spots seems like a lot
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The road win over Illinois last year was huge. A road win over a top 40 opponent who is also in the dance. Equivalent this year might be if we'd won at Nebraska. (Though they probably wouldn't be in yet).
 

WanderingGopher said:
Did our RPI drop after beating Penn State? Last time I looked earlier in the week, we were in the mid-40's.

I'm starting to hate RPI. Can be very misleading in that it seems to take no account of WHEN you played somebody. I can only assume our RPI is dropping partly because our prior opponents are not winning games right now. Richmond is nosediving without Cedric Lindsay, but they were a top-40ish team most of the year and we should be getting credit for a good road win for that game.
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The RPI number in the 40's is just a number based on positioning, the actual RPI probably went up but not as much as others went up so the RPI position drops a little.

Here's a link to ESPN's list of the RPI's, in their calculation Minnesota is in postion 49 with an RPI of .5804.

http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/rpi

The calculating software would have to be pretty sophisticated to take into consideration who was playing at a given time in the season, I'm sure it doesn't do that and if it tried to do it I'm sure it wouldn't be accurate.
 

mcal24 said:
When you compare our good wins this year to last year, they're pretty similar. Wisconsin, Ohio State, Iowa this year, Wisconsin, Michigan State, Indiana last year. I guess they might be a little better last year, but 20 RPI spots seems like a lot
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Could be we didn't have as many bad losses last year
 




Goldy Gopher said:
SS, are either Gonzaga or BYU even close enough to the bubble where a loss tonight may put them out or are we better off having them both win and making sure a 3rd team from that league doesn't get in and steal a bid?
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The latter. I want there to be no chance the WCC gets 3 teams.
 

mcal24 said:
When you compare our good wins this year to last year, they're pretty similar. Wisconsin, Ohio State, Iowa this year, Wisconsin, Michigan State, Indiana last year. I guess they might be a little better last year, but 20 RPI spots seems like a lot
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The B1G was way stronger last year plus they won at Florida State, at USC, at Illinois, plus in neutral site games against Stanford and Memphis. This years team has three road wins all year, at Richmond, at Northwestern and at Purdue. The road wins last year were WAY more impressive.
 





SS - Is this week kind of like your Christmas week?

I picture you waking up this morning (the Monday of SS week) and sitting up at the side of your bed. Grabbing the photo of Joe Lunardi on your nightstand. Looking him deeply in the eyes, and saying to yourself, "This is why I train".
 

BarnBoy said:
SS - Is this week kind of like your Christmas week?

I picture you waking up this morning (the Monday of SS week) and sitting up at the side of your bed. Grabbing the photo of Joe Lunardi on your nightstand. Looking him deeply in the eyes, and saying to yourself, "This is why I train".
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I wouldn't change a thing about this post. :clap:
 

BarnBoy said:
SS - Is this week kind of like your Christmas week?

I picture you waking up this morning (the Monday of SS week) and sitting up at the side of your bed. Grabbing the photo of Joe Lunardi on your nightstand. Looking him deeply in the eyes, and saying to yourself, "This is why I train".
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I don't swing that way ("not that there's anything wrong with that," as Seinfeld would say), but yes, this is one of my favorite weeks of the calendar year. I respect Lunardi but what scares me is, I think he's a big nerd, so I guess that makes me one, too!

I must confess. On Selection Sunday morning after my work is done and I've posted it here, I feel like Santa Claus must feel on Christmas Day. I start twiddling my thumbs and asking myself, OK, what do I do now?
 

SelectionSunday said:
I don't swing that way ("not that there's anything wrong with that," as Seinfeld would say), but yes, this is one of my favorite weeks of the calendar year. I respect Lunardi but what scares me is, I think he's a big nerd, so I guess that makes me one, too.
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No, that's this guy.

56414.jpg
 

Deadspin was pitching this site today: http://www.unf.edu/~jcoleman/dance.htm

This is created by some analytics folks at North Florida. They were perfect 2 years ago and had 1 wrong last year.

Upshot is last four in are: Pitt, OSU, Georgetown, SMU.

Last four out are Tennessee, Minnesota, St. Johns, Arkansas - with Tennessee being very close and a small drop to MN and large drop after that.
 

mom8pop said:
Deadspin was pitching this site today: http://www.unf.edu/~jcoleman/dance.htm

This is created by some analytics folks at North Florida. They were perfect 2 years ago and had 1 wrong last year.

Upshot is last four in are: Pitt, OSU, Georgetown, SMU.

Last four out are Tennessee, Minnesota, St. Johns, Arkansas - with Tennessee being very close and a small drop to MN and large drop after that.
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Looks like they think there will be 4 bid stealers. Perhaps an average number?
There aren't any bid stealers, yet, right?
 

mom8pop said:
Deadspin was pitching this site today: http://www.unf.edu/~jcoleman/dance.htm

This is created by some analytics folks at North Florida. They were perfect 2 years ago and had 1 wrong last year.

Upshot is last four in are: Pitt, OSU, Georgetown, SMU.

Last four out are Tennessee, Minnesota, St. Johns, Arkansas - with Tennessee being very close and a small drop to MN and large drop after that.
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I was perfect last year along with many others on bracketmatrix. It's not impossible.
 


mom8pop said:
Deadspin was pitching this site today: http://www.unf.edu/~jcoleman/dance.htm

This is created by some analytics folks at North Florida. They were perfect 2 years ago and had 1 wrong last year.

Upshot is last four in are: Pitt, OSU, Georgetown, SMU.

Last four out are Tennessee, Minnesota, St. Johns, Arkansas - with Tennessee being very close and a small drop to MN and large drop after that.
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Basically saying it's four teams for the last two spots.

Georgetown - Wednesday vs DePaul
SMU - Thursday vs Houston
Tennessee - Friday vs Arkansas(projected)
Minnesota - Thursday vs PSU
 


Ope3 said:
The big difference was the 2 wins (Memphis & Stanford) - 1 loss (Duke) in Atlantis provided great RPI benefits. This years team played in Maui and didn't even get 3 games against D1 teams and had 2 losses (Syracuse & Arkansas).
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Well summarized. Maui did hurt. Richmond's slide has hurt. Iowa's slide has hurt.
 


Are we a 1 seed in the NIT if we don't make the dance?
 



XMan said:
Ha funny and so true.
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Most of the time I want to punch this guy.... I can see why Kendall Gill couldn't restrain himself from wanting to whoop his a$$.

I will say though that his takes are usually pretty good and he isn't afraid of sharing opinions that aren't the most popular.... but he comes off as soooooo pompous.
 

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