Early line: Nebraska -5.5

Donate To GopherHole


Sounds about right. If The OH-IO State game provided some preparation fodder for Purdue, then similarly the Purdue game certainly provided more fodder for preparation.
 












Will Nebraska run the ball or will they do what Purdue did and get cute passing it. Raiola will throw a couple balls each game that we need to take.

Raiola and Lindsey have thrown the same number of passes 188. Both are 3-1 TD/Int Ratio.
1760367150198.png
 

MaxyJR1 said:
Will Nebraska run the ball or will they do what Purdue did and get cute passing it. Raiola will throw a couple balls each game that we need to take.

Raiola and Lindsey have thrown the same number of passes 188. Both are 3-1 TD/Int Ratio.
View attachment 39478
Click to expand...
According to these stats Raiola is a much better QB. 7 more TDs, 13% better CMP%, 300+ more YDS, 37 pt better rating. TD-INT ratio doesn't mean a whole lot here.

One thing Raiola has is twice as many sacks. We need to lay on the pressure and force the kid to make mistakes.
 



MaxyJR1 said:
Will Nebraska run the ball or will they do what Purdue did and get cute passing it. Raiola will throw a couple balls each game that we need to take.

Raiola and Lindsey have thrown the same number of passes 188. Both are 3-1 TD/Int Ratio.
View attachment 39478
Click to expand...
I think that is going to be the key to the game. If Nebraska insists on throwing the ball a lot, I think that favors the Gophers.
 


ChromeDome said:
According to these stats Raiola is a much better QB. 7 more TDs, 13% better CMP%, 300+ more YDS, 37 pt better rating. TD-INT ratio doesn't mean a whole lot here.

One thing Raiola has is twice as many sacks. We need to lay on the pressure and force the kid to make mistakes.
Click to expand...
Fair comparison with same amount of attempts. I’d guess Dylan is supported by a better running game.
 

mcrow47 said:
I think that is going to be the key to the game. If Nebraska insists on throwing the ball a lot, I think that favors the Gophers.
Click to expand...
On paper, the Nebraska point spread seems more than warranted.

Nebraska's running back, Minneapolis's own Emmett Johnson, is one of the more productive backs in the B1G in rushing stats, but Nebraska's got nothing other than Emmett. Nebraska is averaging 140 yards per game rushing (mostly Emmett), one of the lower averages in the B1G. The Gophers, however, are averaging a pretty low 112 yards rushing per game (aided greatly by Northwestern State stats)--but in our four P4 games, the Gophers are averaging a truly putrid 47 yards rushing per game.

Nebraska is averaging 310 yards passing per game versus the Gophers 228. Raiola's stat line in B1G conference play is 66-94 (70.2%) 762 yards, 8 Tis, 5 INTs, 155.8 rating. Raiola stats are better on the road than at home; but he has been sacked a lot. Drake's conference game stats are 67-112 (59.8%), 650 yards, 5 TDs, I Int, 121.5 rating.

Nebraska is scoring at an average of 41 points per game, the Gophers are at 27.3.
Nebraska is allowing 18.7 points per game, the Gophers are at 21.2.
Nebraska's average "spread" between points scored and allowed is 22.3; the Gophers is 6.1.

Digging a bit deeper, Nebraska's pass defense has been stellar, allowing only 118 yards per game; the Gophers have allowed 200.3 yards. Nebraska' weak point, if any, is its run defense, which has allowed 151.3 yards per game against the Gophers' 108 yards per game (though the Gophers just allowed a shocking 253 yards rushing in their latest game--bad trend line).

On paper, it looks like our relative strength, passing, against Nebraska's defensive strength; and our shocking weakness--the run game--against Nebraska's relative weakness. If the history of each team's early games repeats, this could be a very frustrating game for the Gophers. BUT, if this is the day the worm turns and the Gophers find a half-decent run game--not a great run game, just and average one--we could certainly make a game of it. Drake doesn't get sacked as often as Raiola; Drake doesn't throw as many interceptions as Raiola. If the Gophers run game could get going Friday night, meaning the Nebraska D would have to respect run fakes, we might see our receivers have a few more opportunities for non-contested catches (we currently suck badly at contested catches).

Despite the stat lines, the path to a victory is there. Huge moment for our OL and RBs. Our D has to win the turnover battle. Go Gophers!
 

You must log in or register to reply here.



Top Bottom