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BilldGopher

BilldGopher

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Looks like conditions in I-O-W-A City may have been a not-so-dry-run for the Gophers-Ducks contest this coming Friday night:

1762702487710.png
Probably more drizzle than buckets in the mid-40s and light winds. Definitely conditions Ducks No. 6 could thrive in.

The moon will be waning crescent at 28.6% illuminated disc behind the clouds when it rises around 2 AM or so. Not a factor for this one. Looking ahead, fortunately we'll be back to waxing gibbous when Sconnie comes to town at the end of the month.
 
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3rd straight game in the rain for the Ducks. Not even averaging 20 the last two. Gophers will cover easily.
 



UpAndUnder43 said:
30 is a lot in major college football. Not sure the gophers play major college football though.
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I think Oregon defense is pretty good.
Gophers won’t score 15.

So, to me, the question is do you think Oregon scores 34


I will predict Oregon 34 Minnesota 10. But at least 3 of minnesotas points are garbage time.

Oregon cover!

But I don’t sports gamble.
 


BilldGopher said:
Looks like conditions in I-O-W-A City may have been a not-so-dry-run for the Gophers-Ducks contest this coming Friday night:

View attachment 40013
Probably more drizzle than buckets in the mid-40s and light winds. Definitely conditions Ducks No. 6 could thrive in.

The moon will be waning crescent at 28.6% illuminated disc behind the clouds when it rises around 2 AM or so. Not a factor for this one. Looking ahead, fortunately we'll be back to waxing gibbous when Sconnie comes to town at the end of the month.
Click to expand...

I was going to say November weather in PNW west of the Cascades = 100% chance of rain but looking at your helpful graphic it may just be more of a wet balls situation.
 






Looking a little drier for Friday.

Assuming "Ducks gonna Ducks" regardless of the conditions, less wet is probably better for the Gophers for this one.
1762873080390.png
 

BilldGopher said:
Looks like conditions in I-O-W-A City may have been a not-so-dry-run for the Gophers-Ducks contest this coming Friday night:

View attachment 40013
Probably more drizzle than buckets in the mid-40s and light winds. Definitely conditions Ducks No. 6 could thrive in.

The moon will be waning crescent at 28.6% illuminated disc behind the clouds when it rises around 2 AM or so. Not a factor for this one. Looking ahead, fortunately we'll be back to waxing gibbous when Sconnie comes to town at the end of the month.
Click to expand...
What you mean "we"? You might be back to waxing gibbous, but I find the though unappealing and will take a pass.
 

minnyrules11 said:
3rd straight game in the rain for the Ducks. Not even averaging 20 the last two. Gophers will cover easily.
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Have you seen the Gophers' run defense ... and the Ducks run game? Iowa and I hate to say Wisconsin both have been playing very good defense lately. If we can slow the Ducks' run game, we might well cover. Big if ...
 



Gophergrandpa said:
Have you seen the Gophers' run defense ... and the Ducks run game? Iowa and I hate to say Wisconsin both have been playing very good defense lately. If we can slow the Ducks' run game, we might well cover. Big if ...
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The Gophers have the 5th best run defense in the conference so it's not that far fetched they can slow Oregon down.
 

BilldGopher said:
Thanks GW. Have the GFS and ECMWF models converged enough yet to make that a comfortable prediction?
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The GFS is still drier but I haven't liked the GFS in a long time. I hate predicting west coast weather especially in the valleys. Rain/mist seemingly appears out of nowhere sometimes.

The heaviest rain should be Thursday but another disturbance likely moves in Friday. If there's a storm in the area, which there will be, I will bet on it being wet.
 

Gophergrandpa said:
Have you seen the Gophers' run defense ... and the Ducks run game? Iowa and I hate to say Wisconsin both have been playing very good defense lately. If we can slow the Ducks' run game, we might well cover. Big if ...
Click to expand...
Fair enough. Hope with two weeks to prepare the run defense can limit the Ducks. Or they can come out flat and the Ducks win by 30+.
 

GopherWeatherGuy said:
The Gophers have the 5th best run defense in the conference so it's not that far fetched they can slow Oregon down.
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You are right. The Gophs have had several decent rush defense games. We held Iowa to 133 yards rushing (and lost 41-3, WTF?). I am still having flashbacks to the Purdue game (253 rushing yards allowed for a 6.33 yard average per carry) and the recent MSU game (MSU's running backs gained 209 yards on 28 carries for a 7.46 yard average per carry). Against MSU, the number of times we sacked the FR QB for losses masked, statistcially, what an easy time the MSU RBs had against our defense.

Oregon will present perhaps the best OL, and certainly the fastest, shiftiest RBs, the Gophs have seen this year. Love to see our D hold the line. It will take assignment discipline, coordination and good one-on-one tackling. The Gophers defense doesn't/can't practice against anyone with the speed and shiftiness of the Oregon RBs. We have nobody on the roster like them. This leads, I believe, to what in games appears to be poor angles, sloppy tackling technique. The Gophs need to be prepared to tackle backs with speed and shiftiness they've never played or practiced against. Tough assignment. Go Gophers!
 
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GopherWeatherGuy said:
The Gophers have the 5th best run defense in the conference so it's not that far fetched they can slow Oregon down.
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Agree. My concern is can the offense sustain drives so the defense does get gassed in the second half because it's on the field for too much time.
 

minnyrules11 said:
Fair enough. Hope with two weeks to prepare the run defense can limit the Ducks. Or they can come out flat and the Ducks win by 30+.
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Fleck & Co seem to do well most of the time coming off a bye going into a big game like this...hope that is the case here and they can at least keep it semi close in the first half.
 

Weather should be low 50s, damp and dark. Sunset is around 4:45pm with 6PM kickoff. So not bad weather for this time of year.
 

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