Have to look at the Macura recruitment from all angles. First, he was widely considered to be a strong Butler lean before Brad Stevens left for the Celtics. Then I believe it was reported that if Macura didn't commit to Xavier, it would have been Creighton and not Minnesota or Iowa State who got his commitment. That's a pretty significant trend of preferring the smaller school environment, and Macura mentioned in an interview that he was concerned about being pigeonholed as a shooter at Minnesota/Indiana as opposed to the smaller schools where he may have more opportunity/success as an all around player. Additionally, Pitinio was in on Vaughn(? to a degree), Whitehead, and Baldwin and probably had all 3 above Macura on his list. Obviously it's easy to say in hindsight that you put the full court press on Macura, but as of this Summer rumors were still strong that the best chance of any of the Big 3 coming to Minnesota was Rashad. I also think it's tough to take a wing in your first class who doesn't fit what you're trying to do defensively all that well, especially when the roster your inheriting is full of guys who don't fit either.
Hopefully JP does well at Xavier and Coach Pitino is able to land some big fish in the future, so the "what if's" can be minimized.