In one year, yes there's luck. In four years? No. Ben's put himself in a corner for next season with his awful year one, awful year two and mediocre year 3. So he has no room for bad luck in year 4. That's on him.If you don't think luck has anything to do with it at a normal school like Minnesota...you ought to have your head examined. Normal schools aren't going to win big when 2 starters go pro early. Timing involves luck. Most schools can only ask that their coach give them a chance. It's not a guaranteed science.
What is your standard for next year? If 2-3 starters leave it's "poor Ben you can't judge him on year 4. He's starting over. He needs at least 6 years"?