Bowl Projections 11/11

Gopher07

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Latest from around the country:

Phil Steele: TaxSlayer Bowl vs. Auburn
Sporting News: TaxSlayer Bowl vs. Missouri
CBS: TaxSlayer Bowl vs. Missouri
BTN: Holiday Bowl vs. USC
CFN: Music City Bowl vs. Tennessee
 

Those would all be great games. In all honesty.......I'd prefer not to play Missouri. After Indiana beat them.....it just kind of takes away some of the intrigue. Auburn, USC, or Tennessee though? Yes, please!
 

I'd rather not play Auburn. I want to win a bowl game. We can play with USC, Missouri, or Tennessee.
 


I wouldn't look forward to playing Auburn. Not sure that would be a great matchup. Would be happy playing the other three or Florida like I saw in another projection.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 


Playing against Auburn would be the most interesting IMO. They played for the NC last season. Of all the teams, I consider Auburn to be the only one of elite caliber this year.
 

Good point. I'm down to USC and Tennessee then.

I like them both:

USC - Payback
Tennessee - Much like where we are...two programs with storied histories, both on the rise.

Both have great bands, history, and loyal following.
 

Tennessee in the Music City Bowl would be like playing a Home game for them. Although the same could be said for a lot of bowl games in the south. The games are much closer in proximity to the SEC/ACC teams.
 

sbnation has Minn vs Florida in the Taxslayer bowl. The thing I don't understand about their projections is Maryland vs South Carolina in the Outback?? Kind of a head scratcher to me. Maybe I am way off base with the rankings of the bowl games.


http://www.sbnation.com/college-foo...ons-2014-college-football-playoff-predictions

btw if you make it to the comments section in this link, there is plenty of chatter about Minnesota/TCU/Baylor and who would get in playoff with better wins or worse losses.
 



The thing I don't understand about their projections is Maryland vs South Carolina in the Outback?? Kind of a head scratcher to me. Maybe I am way off base with the rankings of the bowl games.

Yeah, that one is just a swing-and-miss by the author. Maryland has a path to the Outback Bowl, but South Carolina will need a road win against either Florida or Clemson just to become bowl eligible. Outback is probably going to have the SEC East runner-up or Texas A&M.
 

http://www.foxsports.com/college-fo...-tcu-college-football-playoff-111114#livefyre

Stewart Mandel projects Minnesota vs. Florida in the Outback Bowl

Has Wisconsin vs. Arizona in Holiday. Even if Gophers did lose out, I could see that simply because Wisconsin has been to Florida quite a bit lately & San Diego wouldn't be a bad alternative.

Honestly, whether it be Tampa, San Diego, Jacksonville/Nashville, or San Francisco, I'd be excited for any of those. Same with the matchups. Would like to not play Missouri though.
 

Those would all be great games. In all honesty.......I'd prefer not to play Missouri. After Indiana beat them.....it just kind of takes away some of the intrigue. Auburn, USC, or Tennessee though? Yes, please!

It's hard to believe now that Indiana beat Missouri. IU's defense actually got a little better this year, but losing Sudfeld after Robertson transferred has turned them into the worst team in the conference in my opinion.
 

It's hard to believe now that Indiana beat Missouri. IU's defense actually got a little better this year, but losing Sudfeld after Robertson transferred has turned them into the worst team in the conference in my opinion.

No kidding. Since Sudfeld went down in the MSU game, Indiana has passed for 134 yards. That's 15 quarters of football .... 134 yards. It's hard to fathom how unbelievably terrible that is. Even when we were bemoaning our awful start to the year passing the football, we went for 392 yards in the first 15 quarters.
 



How upset will we be once Michigan and PSU both win another game and get a better bowl than we do? Man - I really wish bowls didn't have a choice and everything was cut and dry. We'll probably end up in Texas again.
 

How upset will we be once Michigan and PSU both win another game and get a better bowl than we do? Man - I really wish bowls didn't have a choice and everything was cut and dry. We'll probably end up in Texas again.

I don't know how many times this needs to be said but they don't have a choice anymore. It's a tiered system with input by the B1G.
 

I don't know how many times this needs to be said but they don't have a choice anymore. It's a tiered system with input by the B1G.

I guess I missed that - good to know. Sorry for the apparently redundant fear. So now it'll be our own conference that screws us??
 


I guess I missed that - good to know. Sorry for the apparently redundant fear. So now it'll be our own conference that screws us??

If we can be one of the top 3 teams that doesn't go to a selection committee bowl then we'll be guaranteed outback bowl or higher.

What that basically means is hope for OSU to make the playoffs so the rest of us move up a spot. And we need to win one of Nebraska or Wisconsn. That would likely put us in the Outback bowl. The only thing we'd have to worry about is Maryland somehow sneaking in over us with the same record.

Otherwise, if OSU doesn't make the playoffs, we'll have to win the division to go to the Outback bowl and make that first tier 1.

The tier 2 bowls are all pretty much equal in terms of potential good match ups. But the tier 1 bowls are what will get people to travel (myself included).

So yes, it's entirely possible that beating Ohio State would hurt us when it comes to bowl selection time if we then lose our final 2 games. But I don't think many of us would care if it means that we beat OSU.
 

If we can be one of the top 3 teams that doesn't go to a selection committee bowl then we'll be guaranteed outback bowl or higher.

What that basically means is hope for OSU to make the playoffs so the rest of us move up a spot. And we need to win one of Nebraska or Wisconsn. That would likely put us in the Outback bowl. The only thing we'd have to worry about is Maryland somehow sneaking in over us with the same record.

Otherwise, if OSU doesn't make the playoffs, we'll have to win the division to go to the Outback bowl and make that first tier 1.

The tier 2 bowls are all pretty much equal in terms of potential good match ups. But the tier 1 bowls are what will get people to travel (myself included).

So yes, it's entirely possible that beating Ohio State would hurt us when it comes to bowl selection time if we then lose our final 2 games. But I don't think many of us would care if it means that we beat OSU.

I was hunting on the internet the last few days, but I cannot find any rule or policy that supports the bold statement. This is what I have heard a lot, but I cannot find it in black letter anywhere. If anyone has a rule citation or link to that, I would really appreciate it. Any description of the new tiered bowl selection process just seems to recite a lot of subjective standards, saying things like the conference will consider the quality of matchups and where teams have gone in the past.
 

What that basically means is hope for OSU to make the playoffs so the rest of us move up a spot. And we need to win one of Nebraska or Wisconsin. That would likely put us in the Outback bowl. The only thing we'd have to worry about is Maryland somehow sneaking in over us with the same record.

Otherwise, if OSU doesn't make the playoffs, we'll have to win the division to go to the Outback bowl and make that first tier 1.

OSU doesn't need to make the playoffs - they just need to be in one of the six selection committee games, along with another B1G team (which will be Michigan State, if they win out).

Even if we beat OSU, as long as the Buckeyes won out, they are guaranteed a spot in one of the 6 "major" bowls as B1G champs, so it wouldn't hurt our standing.
 

OSU doesn't need to make the playoffs - they just need to be in one of the six selection committee games, along with another B1G team (which will be Michigan State, if they win out).

Even if we beat OSU, as long as the Buckeyes won out, they are guaranteed a spot in one of the 6 "major" bowls as B1G champs, so it wouldn't hurt our standing.

But it's not guaranteed that both OSU and MSU will get into the major 6.
 

I don't know how many times this needs to be said but they don't have a choice anymore. It's a tiered system with input by the B1G.

I guess it needed to be said one more time. I am on this site every day and didn't know that, or chose* to not remember it.

*not always a choice
 

I guess it needed to be said one more time. I am on this site every day and didn't know that, or chose* to not remember it.

*not always a choice

Fair enough. Maybe time to get a broader perspective of football news? I like Forde and Mandell.
 


But it's not guaranteed that both OSU and MSU will get into the major 6. Most bowl projections I have seen have MSU on the outside looking in.

It doesn't necessarily have to be Michigan State - I've seen projections with Nebraska or Wisconsin. I think those are wrong - if Sparty goes 10-2, they will finish ranked in the top 10 and will be assigned an at-large bid. But the point is, as long as the B1G gets two teams into those bowls, it opens a spot in the upper tier games for Minnesota/Maryland/Iowa.
 

It doesn't necessarily have to be Michigan State - I've seen projections with Nebraska or Wisconsin. I think those are wrong - if Sparty goes 10-2, they will finish ranked in the top 10 and will be assigned an at-large bid. But the point is, as long as the B1G gets two teams into those bowls, it opens a spot in the upper tier games for Minnesota/Maryland/Iowa.

Alright, so basically we have to win a game (any game) and hope Maryland and Iowa go 1-2. That makes it simpler and actually makes me more hopeful too.

Iowa will lose to Nebraska and Wisconsin, and Maryland will lose to MSU and hopefully Michigan or Rutgers (fingers crossed).
 

That's what I'm rooting for.

Then it's in the hands of the league office to follow through on its assertions that they will create the best match-ups. As bleedsmaroonandgold has stated, there isn't anything that promises the best teams will be in the best games. We're operating on assumptions based on vague statements. But it's still preferable to the old system, where Minnesota was guaranteed of being screwed every bowl season.
 

If Nebraska wins out they will have 1 loss on the road to Mich State. They have to be a major 6 bowl at that point right? If they can beat Becky this weekend, I see them doing just that.
 

If Nebraska wins out they will have 1 loss on the road to Mich State. They have to be a major 6 bowl at that point right? If they can beat Becky this weekend, I see them doing just that.

Then they'd have to beat OSU too in the championship which would likely begin one of those fun scenarios where Michigan State jumps into a major 6 bowl over OSU because OSU lost in the last week even though OSU stomped on MSU. Then we'd have Nebraska and MSU representing us, and OSU would fall all the way from possible playoff spot to the Capital One Bowl in a split second.

That's always a fun circus to be apart of. I'll be tuning in to that Urban Meyer press conference.
 

If Nebraska wins out they will have 1 loss on the road to Mich State. They have to be a major 6 bowl at that point right? If they can beat Becky this weekend, I see them doing just that.

In that case OSU would have at least two losses.
 




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