Bill Connelly's Big Ten West Preview

Donate To GopherHole
Gophers_4life said:
That’s 4-1 against non-conf/Rutgers/Maryland and 4-3 against an entire division of toss-ups plus Penn State.

It’s a 20-25% probability for me.

My wild guess is:
20-25% 6-6
40-45% 7-5
20-25% 8-5



And it behooves people to recall last year’s beat downs at the hands of Maryland and Illinois before cocking off about those games as “should be” wins. Oh right, post Rossi we’re Rose Bowl bound.

Not til he proves it over the long run, bub.
Click to expand...

Your "wild guess"? What happened to logic and reason? What mathematical formula did you use to arrive at your probabilities?
 
Last edited:


Gophers_4life said:
Too bad so many posters here DON’T get it.

Even if you assume the three non-conf plus Rutgers and Maryland are wins (not a good assumption), we have to go 4-3 against what is shaping up to be one of the toughest P5 divisions plus Penn State to get to nine wins regular season.

I don’t see it. I see 6-6 or 7-5 regular season. If latter, then hope for the best in bowl game against a Texas A&M type opponent.
Click to expand...

2018 Gophs were a serviceable DC away from two more conference wins.
 





Gophers_4life said:
At best there are four “should” wins.
Click to expand...

Even by your measure we get to 8. Win the games you should (4) and split your toss-ups (4)
4+4=8.

Which games do you think they should win? Which do you think we have no chance?
 
Last edited:

This is essentially the same schedule Tracy Claeys had. That was nine wins and coulda, shoulda woulda been 11. It's been three years since we fired him to do better.

/ducks
 




Gophers_4life said:
Eight is within the realm of reasonable, in my opinion.
Click to expand...


Huh?

Are you the same guy who posted this:

"Even if you assume the three non-conf plus Rutgers and Maryland are wins (not a good assumption), we have to go 4-3 against what is shaping up to be one of the toughest P5 divisions plus Penn State to get to nine wins regular season.

I don’t see it. I see 6-6 or 7-5 regular season. If latter, then hope for the best in bowl game against a Texas A&M type opponent.
 

Clark W. Griswold said:
Even by your measure we get to 8. Win the games you should (4) and split your toss-ups (4)
4+4=8.

Which games do you think they should win? Which do you think we have no chance?
Click to expand...

Like I said eight not unreasonable. I think more likely 4-0 nc/Rutgers and 3-5 vs the rest, which are not all 50-50 games. But none are no chance.
 





RememberMurray said:
Huh?

Are you the same guy who posted this:

"Even if you assume the three non-conf plus Rutgers and Maryland are wins (not a good assumption), we have to go 4-3 against what is shaping up to be one of the toughest P5 divisions plus Penn State to get to nine wins regular season.

I don’t see it. I see 6-6 or 7-5 regular season. If latter, then hope for the best in bowl game against a Texas A&M type opponent.
Click to expand...

That is funny.
 

Gophers_4life said:
You already quoted another post of mine that perfectly explains it. Not my fault you can’t comprehend how the two posts are perfectly consistent.
Click to expand...


You and I have VASTLY different ideas of perfection, I'm afraid.
 

Gophers_4life said:
Like I said eight not unreasonable. I think more likely 4-0 nc/Rutgers and 3-5 vs the rest, which are not all 50-50 games. But none are no chance.
Click to expand...

I guess that is where we differ. I think Maryland and Illinois @ home are should wins and I would group the rest as toss-ups. Looking at them individually I wouldn't be surprised by a win or a loss. I would be equally surprised if we lost all six or won all six of the toss-ups.
 


Gophers_4life said:
That’s 4-1 against non-conf/Rutgers/Maryland and 4-3 against an entire division of toss-ups plus Penn State.

It’s a 20-25% probability for me.

My wild guess is:
20-25% 6-6
40-45% 7-5
20-25% 8-5



And it behooves people to recall last year’s beat downs at the hands of Maryland and Illinois before cocking off about those games as “should be” wins. Oh right, post Rossi we’re Rose Bowl bound.

Not til he proves it over the long run, bub.
Click to expand...

You have it as a 25% chance at the gophers going 8-5 when they play 12 games and then you call someone who says 9-3 unreasonable?

Here is a prediction for you. I predict you are no fun to be around.
 


Clark W. Griswold said:
I guess that is where we differ. I think Maryland and Illinois @ home are should wins and I would group the rest as toss-ups. Looking at them individually I wouldn't be surprised by a win or a loss. I would be equally surprised if we lost all six or won all six of the toss-ups.
Click to expand...

Agree to disagree.
 


Gophers_4life said:
Typo

Sheesh, get a grip
Click to expand...

For sure. It is me who needs a grip.

Not the guy who demands an explanation from random message board fans for saying the team might win nine games when he himself predicts 6-8
 



Don't know why this popped into my head...:p

<iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/sShMA85pv8M" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen></iframe>
 

PMWinSTP said:
Don't know why this popped into my head...:p
Click to expand...

Really? Now, that's hard to picture: You having "no idea why". You seem like a person who is convinced they always know.

That being said, you're awfully hard to pin down on the question of exactly how you 'know'.
 

RememberMurray said:
Really? Now, that's hard to picture: You having "no idea why". You seem like a person who is convinced they always know.

That being said, you're awfully hard to pin down on the question of exactly how you 'know'.
Click to expand...

Good grief, you aren't even arguing with the right poster now.
 


dpodoll68 said:
He just moved over to ESPN within the last week or so. I don't know for sure, but I assume ESPN wouldn't want him writing for SB Nation anymore.
Click to expand...

I’m sure you’re right DP. If he’s full time ESPN, doubt they would let him do that. Hope he finds a way to get his Podcast up and running. Was a great CFB pod. You do see guys like Frank Isola, who writes at The Athletic, crossover but that’s typically print to video content.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 

e.bigelow said:
I’m sure you’re right DP. If he’s full time ESPN, doubt they would let him do that. Hope he finds a way to get his Podcast up and running. Was a great CFB pod. You do see guys like Frank Isola, who writes at The Athletic, crossover but that’s typically print to video content.

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...

PAPN will live on, but Godfrey will have a new partner. PAPN 2.0 he's calling it.

Not sure what Bill's pod plans are but safe bet he'll have something.
 

You must log in or register to reply here.



Top Bottom