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Athan Kaliakmanis was a 4 starThere is a story to be written about why offensive skill position players will not come to play in the West. The trend in the last five years is astonishing. The decline in talent is precipitous and division wide.
We'd get our second shot of the year against OSU.They would slot in another team like they did in the leaders and legends era. I think wisconsin came in 3rd in whichever one, but went to the B10 CG because the teams in front of them were ineligible.
If we win other than OSU all we need is Iowa to lose one.I agree. Gophers could take the west but many things would have to go right.
Iowa is in the driver’s seat only because they had only one of the East Big Three on their schedule. Minnesota and Whisky both drew two. But odds are good that Hogs take another knockout punch, most likely from Rutgers. And don’t sleep on the Mildcats this week. They are feeling some juice after stealing one from the Gophers.Here is my thinking (could be missing something!) on Wisconsin et al.: Wisconsin is currently 3-1 in B1G play with 5 games remaining. In scenario in which Gophers win out except for OSU (i.e., we beat Badgers in final season game), this means the Badgers beat Indiana, Northwestern and Nebraska and lose to OSU and Gophers, resulting in a final B1G record of 6-3. Also in this scenario, the Gophers, who currently sit at 2-2 in the B1G with five games remaining, beat Michigan State, Illinois, Purdue and Wisconsin, and lose to OSU, resulting in a final B1G record of 6-3, tied with Wisconsin—but we have the tie-breaker, having beaten Wisconsin.
Iowa is nominally in the driver’s seat, sitting at 3-2 in the B1G with only four games remaining: Northwestern, Rutgers, Illinois and Nebraska. If Iowa wins three and losses one of the remaining, its final B1G record will be 6-3, tied with us and Wisconsin (in this scenario), but we win, having the tie-breaker over Iowa. I personally think Iowa’s offense is so broken that it will lose at least two of its remaining four games, which, in this Gophers-win-out scenario, would drop Iowa out of contention, leaving the West to Wisconsin and Minnesota.
(BTW, I have ignored Nebraska, but it sits at 2-2 in the B1G with 5 games left. In my scenario above, if Nebraska wins all five of its games, it would win the West at 7-2. If Nebraska wins 4 and losses one, it finishes 6-3, but we hold the tie-breaker over Nebraska as well. If Nebraska goes 3-2 in its final games, it is probably out of contention. This is the Wild West at the moment!)
I’m going out on a limb and picking Nebraska to beat Iowa, as well. Nebraska’s defense is pretty good this year; should stifle Iowa’s pathetic death-spiral offense (as we would have but for a series of weird and/or stupid penalties on a single “drive” by Iowa). And the Nebbie QB, Harburg, isn’t much of a passer (though he has a better QB efficiency rating than AK!) but he is a big, mobile, athletic dude. Nebraska is running QB option now and scoring some TDs.Iowa is in the driver’s seat only because they had only one of the East Big Three on their schedule. Minnesota and Whisky both drew two. But odds are good that Hogs take another knockout punch, most likely from Rutgers. And don’t sleep on the Mildcats this week. They are feeling some juice after stealing one from the Gophers.
I know it silly to say this, but Nebraska needs to lose one more also.If we win other than OSU all we need is Iowa to lose one.
Bucky only drew one of the East Big Three, OSU. Their other two crossover games are Rutgers and Indiana.Iowa is in the driver’s seat only because they had only one of the East Big Three on their schedule. Minnesota and Whisky both drew two. But odds are good that Hogs take another knockout punch, most likely from Rutgers. And don’t sleep on the Mildcats this week. They are feeling some juice after stealing one from the Gophers.
And you are right. My mistake.Bucky only drew one of the East Big Three, OSU. Their other two crossover games are Rutgers and Indiana.
Yeah I get that but doubt they go 4-1 just based on what we have seen so far this year. Not impossible and they are not a bad team but 4-1 seems like a stretch to me. Last chance to win the west so what the hell, maybe it’s their turn.If we win other than OSU all we need is Iowa to lose one.
Will be very annoying if that game ends up being the game that keeps us from winning the West but there is a long way to go still and with how mediocre all the teams look it could go any number of ways over the next 5 weeks.All this speculation just makes me pissed even more about that Northwestern meltdown again.
At the same time that game is proof of how mediocre this gopher team is.Will be very annoying if that game ends up being the game that keeps us from winning the West but there is a long way to go still and with how mediocre all the teams look it could go any number of ways over the next 5 weeks.
None of the future victories are assured for any of the West teams that still have a shot.Will be very annoying if that game ends up being the game that keeps us from winning the West but there is a long way to go still and with how mediocre all the teams look it could go any number of ways over the next 5 weeks.
Unless they play IndianaNone of the future victories are assured for any of the West teams that still have a shot.
You're probably right, but Wisconsin is the only West team in the hunt that plays IU. I wish I could say that it's in the bag.Unless they play Indiana
If we had beaten NW, and got the same result in the Iowa game, we’d be in the driver’s seat. Fleck has at least one weird, inexplicable, against-all-odds, logic defying loss each year. Why? As we approach our final run in 2023, let’s hope we just have one of those games this year, not two. A great final result is still today quite possible. In our control, really, because this is the first year since PJ took over that we own the tie-breaker against the complaining’ Hawkeyes.All this speculation just makes me pissed even more about that Northwestern meltdown again.
Wow. Great plot twist at the end. I'm on boardas others have said, barring a MN upset of OSU, Gophers have to go 4-1. WI has to lose to OSU and MN.
and then it comes down to this: IA has to lose at least one of its remaining 4 games. Yes, IA has a lot of problems on offense, but they still have a very good defense and very good special teams.
Of those games, I would give Rutgers the best chance of beating IA, followed by Illinois. for Neb to beat IA, it would have to be an ugly 12-10 type of game. and I'm not going to count on NW - but that one is being played at Wrigley Field, so something weird could happen.
and if we want to really go into reckless speculation:
Gophers win the West on a tie-breaker. scheduled to play Michigan in conference title game. But the B1G rules Michigan ineligible due to sign-stealing scandal - resulting in MN winning conference title by default. hoist the banner. and ER's in IA admit thousands of fans with severe head injuries from beating their heads against a wall or other solid object.
There is no quitting on this team.Just need to focus on winning the next three. All very winnable.
I don’t think so either. The D guys are going to be sky high the rest of the way. That is going to bring out the best of the offense. They want to pull their weight.There is no quitting on this team.
Maryland is 0-2 against IL and NW, and beat MSU and IN.The Title of the Thread, "Big Ten Mess....I mean West", doesn't require the "West" qualifier.
The conference as a whole seems like a mess. Michigan and Ohio State on the field are head and shoulders above everyone else in the East, but one of those programs is embroiled in daily controversy. Understatement. I guess it's not a mess in terms of standings, if one considers that the whole race will come down to Michigan vs Ohio St, just as it has the past 2 years.
Penn St is no doubt better than every other team in the West, but not by a wide margin. The bottom 4 if the East would just add to the mess if any of them were in the West.
Michigan St and Indiana are both 0-5 and could just as easily be winless if they were playing in the other division. Eventually they have to play head-to-head, so something has to give.
Not a mess at all, just good competition. This is the reason TV execs will not succeed in creating a super conference with the top teams only.The Title of the Thread, "Big Ten Mess....I mean West", doesn't require the "West" qualifier.
The conference as a whole seems like a mess. Michigan and Ohio State on the field are head and shoulders above everyone else in the East, but one of those programs is embroiled in daily controversy. Understatement. I guess it's not a mess in terms of standings, if one considers that the whole race will come down to Michigan vs Ohio St, just as it has the past 2 years.
Penn St is no doubt better than every other team in the West, but not by a wide margin. The bottom 4 if the East would just add to the mess if any of them were in the West.
Michigan St and Indiana are both 0-5 and could just as easily be winless if they were playing in the other division. Eventually they have to play head-to-head, so something has to give.
Not a mess at all, just good competition. This is the reason TV execs will not succeed in creating a super conference with the top teams only.
The West is great with four teams having some kind of chance with four to play. PJ, Bert, and Ferentz are better coaches than Ryan Day.
Too bad it’s the last year for the West