You are correct, jdawghawk. The off-season is definitely time for optimism.
I'm not sure I agree with all of your indicators that lead to success.
2. A winning record the last 6 (second half) of regular season the previous year.
Iowa fans are really excited about this one. But who they played and when they played them is an important factor. Let's look at the last 7 Iowa games from 2008. And let's look at how those opponents finished their last 6 games:
Indiana 1-5
Wisconsin 4-2 (includes a 1-AA team; 3-3 in the B10)
Illinois 2-4
PSU 5-1
Purdue 2-4
Minnesota 1-6
South Carolina 2-4
The Hawkeye internet campaign to let everyone know how strong they finished has been a bit annoying. Yes, they did finish strong but the competition (save PSU) was soft. There's a reason Iowa finished in 5th place in a mediocre B10 conference last year.
I see Iowa at 8-4 this year.
8-4 is a solid prediction........I think they will surprise tho.....just my opinion.
These are not my indicators.....someone smarter than me(doesn't take a lot) correlated these indicators and past national champions.
Also......you say Iowa was Fifth in the big ten........I like to say tied for Fourth....It sounds better.
Football Standings - 2008 Standings Through games of Jan 5, 2009
CONFERENCE OVERALL
School W-L PF PA W-L PF PA STRK
Penn State 7-1 271 109 11-2 506 187 L1
Ohio State 7-1 238 98 10-3 359 181 L1
Michigan State 6-2 201 208 9-4 326 287 L2
Iowa 5-3 238 130 9-4 394 169 W4
Northwestern 5-3 191 187 9-4 317 262 L1
Minnesota 3-5 136 210 7-6 302 322 L5
Wisconsin 3-5 206 227 7-6 357 345 L1
Illinois 3-5 218 206 5-7 344 319 L3
Purdue 2-6 175 196 4-8 296 301 W1
Michigan 2-6 177 268 3-9 243 347 L2
Indiana 1-7 116 328 3-9 246 423 L4
Good luck this year! The stadium looks pretty awesome! I live in Minnesota so hope to see it up close some time.