CurveballJesus
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The worldwide leader continues to speak out of both sides of their mouth. They have on air personalities like Rece Davis and David Pollack pounding the table MN that they are legit, while other "journalists" like Heather here continue to trash them. There is 0 chance that a 1 loss Big Ten Champ doesn't make the playoffs.
Big Ten
Best-case scenario: The selection committee considers Minnesota, Penn State and Ohio State. This could happen if Penn State runs the table and beats an undefeated Minnesota team for the Big Ten title. That would mean Ohio State is sitting there with one loss and no title, Minnesota is a one-loss Big Ten runner-up and Penn State would likely be in the top four as a one-loss Big Ten champ. Minnesota, in spite of losing to PSU in the Big Ten title game, would have beaten the Big Ten champs during the regular season -- and Ohio State would not. The Golden Gophers also would have wins against Iowa and Wisconsin. Would that be enough to overcome an otherwise dreadful schedule? What would the committee do with the one-loss Buckeyes?
The Big Ten also could possibly get two teams in if Ohio State and Minnesota are both undefeated and play for the conference championship game, with the committee taking the winner and considering the loser. The difference here, though, is that if Minnesota loses to Ohio State, it couldn't argue that it had a win over the Big Ten champs.
Worst-case scenario: Minnesota finishes as the one-loss Big Ten champ. The selection committee has made it clear that Minnesota's strength of schedule is holding it back. The Golden Gophers beat South Dakota State, Fresno State and Georgia Southern -- each by a touchdown or less.
"The conversation is when you're looking at Minnesota, their schedule was a concern, particularly their nonconference schedule; and just as it laid out up through Week 10, they had only played one team in their league that had a winning record," Mullens said. "But the added win against Penn State obviously impressed the committee."
Most realistic scenario: Ohio State runs the table and finishes No. 2 as the league's only legitimate playoff contender. According to the Allstate Playoff Predictor, the Buckeyes have an 88.5% chance to make the playoff. ESPN's FPI gives Minnesota less than a 40% chance to beat Iowa and Wisconsin.
https://www.espn.com/college-footba...est-worst-most-realistic-conference-scenarios
Big Ten
Best-case scenario: The selection committee considers Minnesota, Penn State and Ohio State. This could happen if Penn State runs the table and beats an undefeated Minnesota team for the Big Ten title. That would mean Ohio State is sitting there with one loss and no title, Minnesota is a one-loss Big Ten runner-up and Penn State would likely be in the top four as a one-loss Big Ten champ. Minnesota, in spite of losing to PSU in the Big Ten title game, would have beaten the Big Ten champs during the regular season -- and Ohio State would not. The Golden Gophers also would have wins against Iowa and Wisconsin. Would that be enough to overcome an otherwise dreadful schedule? What would the committee do with the one-loss Buckeyes?
The Big Ten also could possibly get two teams in if Ohio State and Minnesota are both undefeated and play for the conference championship game, with the committee taking the winner and considering the loser. The difference here, though, is that if Minnesota loses to Ohio State, it couldn't argue that it had a win over the Big Ten champs.
Worst-case scenario: Minnesota finishes as the one-loss Big Ten champ. The selection committee has made it clear that Minnesota's strength of schedule is holding it back. The Golden Gophers beat South Dakota State, Fresno State and Georgia Southern -- each by a touchdown or less.
"The conversation is when you're looking at Minnesota, their schedule was a concern, particularly their nonconference schedule; and just as it laid out up through Week 10, they had only played one team in their league that had a winning record," Mullens said. "But the added win against Penn State obviously impressed the committee."
Most realistic scenario: Ohio State runs the table and finishes No. 2 as the league's only legitimate playoff contender. According to the Allstate Playoff Predictor, the Buckeyes have an 88.5% chance to make the playoff. ESPN's FPI gives Minnesota less than a 40% chance to beat Iowa and Wisconsin.
https://www.espn.com/college-footba...est-worst-most-realistic-conference-scenarios