An hour to go: What concerns me

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anonymous

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We have a roughly an hour to go until the field is announced and still don't have a good feeling whether the Gophers are in or out.

The events of the last couple of days -- Temple winning the A10, USC winning the Pac 10 and Mississippi State winning the SEC -- have me less convinced that the Gophers are in.

I've looked at RPIs and SOSs and everything. At the end, what worries me about the Gophers chances is pretty simple. This team hasn't won back-to-back games since late January.

I do understand that the team only had consecutive home games once in that stretch, but that kind of eyeball test is a concern to me.

I also understand why people think the Gophers should be in ahead of Wisconsin, but I get caught up on this item:

Gophers were 5-9 for the season vs. Michigan State, Purdue, Illinois, Ohio State, Michigan, Penn State and Wisconsin. That's a .357 winning percentage in those games.

Wisconsin was 6-7 against the other seven Big Ten teams under consideration. .462 winning percentage.

Penn State 6-8 against the other seven Big Ten teams under consideration. .429 winning percentage.

Michigan was also 5-9 against the other seven Big Ten teams under consideration. .357 percentage.


That concerns me. It really does.
 

anonymous said:
Gophers were 5-9 for the season vs. Michigan State, Purdue, Illinois, Ohio State, Michigan, Penn State and Wisconsin. That's a .357 winning percentage in those games.

Wisconsin was 6-7 against the other seven Big Ten teams under consideration. .462 winning percentage.

Penn State 6-8 against the other seven Big Ten teams under consideration. .429 winning percentage.

Michigan was also 5-9 against the other seven Big Ten teams under consideration. .357 percentage.


That concerns me. It really does.
Click to expand...
These percentages against certain teams will not be relevant. It doesn't matter. As the chair of the committee said, they look at everyone's body of work. A few percentage points vs Big 10 opponents is not going to matter. They care much more about things like RPI, Top 50 wins, etc. than winning %'s among each bubble team facing each other.
 

Relax guys. we in the NCAA Tourney. so please relax.
 

ShowinGoldy,

My thing all along is that we don't know exactly what the ultimate hot-button issue is with this committee.

Each committee is difference and you never really know what they truly value when they are splitting hairs between the final few teams.
 

I have the same feeling right now that I had the first time I went to pick a girl up in high school for homecoming and her whole family was standing outside.....i almost told my ride to step on it and never look back!!! I don't know if I can watch this selection show. Too bad my doctor took me off Ritalin when I was 17....I need some!!!! My g/f already knows if Wisconsin gets in over Minnesota that I'm going for a long walk to my neighborhood watering hole and not coming back till.....who knows!
 


It's funny, I felt so confident on Thursday, and I really thought we were in...now I'm really nervous. I still think are chances are over 50%...but anonymous does pose some good points. The middle of the pact BT schools, are all pretty equal, give or take a win in the BT or the NC. Having those schools win their conference tourneys also lessens our chances.

I don't believe this has every been mentioned, probably because it's a ridiculous question - but does the Selection Committee ever take into account how well a team travels. I know it applies to football bowl games - but never hear it mentioned on the bball side. Let's face it, our fan base is not the strongest, especially when looking at how we travel. I'd hope that wouldn't matter.

Either way, my stomach is in knots right now, 5pm can't come soon enough (or should I say 6pm - when the last 8/9 seed is announced).
 

We beat Louisville and beat Ohio State badly and they just got done playing in the Big Ten Championship game.
 

GopherLady said:
It's funny, I felt so confident on Thursday, and I really thought we were in...now I'm really nervous. I still think are chances are over 50%.
Click to expand...

EXACTLY!!! After we won on Thursday I thought we were a LOCK for sure, then after Miss St., and a few others sabotaged my fun on spring break I'm not too sure. AHHH this is killing me!! Almost GO TIME!!
 

John Calipari ... talks out of (both sides) of his mouth .. He's mellow now at 5:55PM, earlier today he was all about how they should be seeded a #1. He's so proud of his team .. etc .. etc ..without the 3 pros that he had on his team last year. Now he says he's be happy with a 2 or 3 seed. I'l like to see the Gophers vs Memphis ...
 



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