All things 5-7 - Bowl Game Possibilities Thread

[Pompous Elitist]

Texas Tech beats Texas.

TT is bowl eligible with the same 6-6 record as Texas.


Texas with wins over:

San Jose St
Iowa St
Kansas St
Baylor
Kansas
West Virginia


Losses:
Maryland
USC
Oklahoma
Oklahoma St
TCU
Texas Tech


With the two wins tonight, I think all Bowl sports will be filled with 6-6 or better teams.

<iframe src="https://giphy.com/embed/ZKZiW6GSx8eSA" width="480" height="214" frameBorder="0" class="giphy-embed" allowFullScreen></iframe><p><a href="https://giphy.com/gifs/angry-computer-rage-ZKZiW6GSx8eSA">via GIPHY</a></p>

 

[GopherHusky]

Officially eliminated now, right?

 

[West Fargo Gopher Fan]

Officially eliminated now, right?

Yes

 

[MplsGopher]

Final results:


Friday:
Buffalo - won
Texas Tech - won

Saturday:
Tulane - LOST
Georgia Tech - LOST
Florida St - won (needs to win next week to get to six wins)
Duke - won
Louisiana Monroe - LOST
UNLV - LOST
Vandy - won (APR)
Temple - won
New Mexico St - won (needs to win next week to get to six wins)
Louisiana-Lafayette - LOST (but could still win next week to get to six wins)
Louisiana Tech - won
Air Force - won (APR)



Not even close. Both Air Force and Vandy would've been ahead of us in the APR ranking.

 

[hungan1]

Hard to believe Buffalo who the Gophers defeated may be going bowling while the Gophers are staying home licking their B1G wounds.

 

[MplsGopher]

If the world were fair, Florida St would lose next week -- it only rescheduled a 12th game after it realized that it would need a crappy win in the last week of the season to get to six wins (and on a week when no other ACC teams play a game, except the championship game). But I highly doubt LA-Monroe has it in them to upset the 'Noles in Tallahassee.

LA-Laf has a tough game to get to six. But NM St should make it. So we're at 79 and realistically should get to 81 six win teams. (meaning Vandy and Air Force won't go to a bowl game)


So yeah, it is definitely possible that Buffalo, along with two others, won't even be selected by a bowl.

But as someone else mentioned, I do think NM St would be a good match for the Arizona Bowl.

 

[Iceland12]

We won't have another one of these threads this year.

 

[NotAFanOfBecky]

We won't have another one of these threads this year.

So confident! I like it...or wait your not saying that they will be worse and not even in bowl contention? Half full right?

 

[Iceland12]

1. So confident! I like it...or wait your not saying that they will be worse and not even in bowl contention? Half full right?

1. Yes

2. No. Not with the redshirts they are gonna play and that schedule.

 

[Dano564]

Schedule and percent chance to win:

NMSt - 80%
Fresno St - 80%
Miami - 80%
Maryland - 40%
Iowa - 40%
OSU - 20%
Nebraska - 50%
Indiana - 50%
Illinois - 60%
Purdue - 50%
Northwestern - 40%
Wisconsin 20%

6-6?

 

[GophersInIowa]

Schedule and percent chance to win:

NMSt - 80%
Fresno St - 80%
Miami - 80%
Maryland - 40%
Iowa - 40%
OSU - 20%
Nebraska - 50%
Indiana - 50%
Illinois - 60%
Purdue - 50%
Northwestern - 40%
Wisconsin 20%

6-6?

Fresno St was a very good team last year.

 

[PMWinSTP]

Schedule and percent chance to win:

NMSt - 80%
Fresno St - 80%
Miami - 80%
Maryland - 40%
Iowa - 40%
OSU - 20%
Nebraska - 50%
Indiana - 50%
Illinois - 60%
Purdue - 50%
Northwestern - 40%
Wisconsin 20%

6-6?

Source?

 

[Pompous Elitist]

Source?

A dark and smelly place. To be fair, that’s where a lot of our opinions originate, and there is nothing wrong with that.

 

[Lakeville Goldy]

We won't have another one of these threads this year.

Schedule and percent chance to win:

NMSt - 80%
Fresno St - 80%
Miami - 80%
Maryland - 40%
Iowa - 40%
OSU - 20%
Nebraska - 50%
Indiana - 50%
Illinois - 60%
Purdue - 50%
Northwestern - 40%
Wisconsin 20%

6-6?

If those odds are correct (which is obviously very debatable), the average season would be 6 wins with a 1.5 win standard deviation. I ran a 120,000 season Monte Carlo simulation and came up with a 35% chance they end up at 5-7 or worse, 30% chance they end up at 6-6, 35% chance they end up with 7 wins or more.

Hopefully Iceland is correct, but it is not out of the realm of possibility this thread comes back.

 

[Dano564]

I just pulled those odds out of my butt.

We should probably find a better source.

 

[Dano564]

Updated percentages from ESPN Football Power Index


NMSt - 92%
Fresno St - 67%
Miami - 79%
Maryland - 41%
Iowa - 31%
OSU - 5%
Nebraska - 35%
Indiana - 67%
Illinois - 53%
Purdue - 49%
Northwestern - 38%
Wisconsin 9%