You don't understand the difference between the two?
I don't know for certain that OJ killed his wife. I wasn't there. However, common sense would tell you that he probably did.
I don't know for certain that Dilly Bar Dan won't be elected POTUS. However, common sense would tell you that he probably won't be.
So, now that we are done pretending to not know the difference between those two claims.
I don't know that if Kaden Johnson called PJ and wanted to play for the Gophers that we would take him. I don't have any inside information. I haven't talked to PJ or Kaden Johnson. I haven't even become a super star insider for $1.99/month on GI (#1).
However, for me, it's common sense that if Kaden wanted to sign with the Gophers tomorrow or in February, we would find room (#2).
Ryan Burns is using common sense (see #2) and selling it to idiots like you as fact (see #1). Ryan Burns and I just disagree our deductions. His is obviously the safe bet, as I said, I don't expect Kaden to sign here and Burns knows that idiots like you will take as proof that he has inside information.