They’re not going to give him a waiver, for going to a school that’s farther from home. They’ll see through the uncle angle too.
It’s a matter of if the NCAA approves the one-time free transfer rule, and if they then allow that to go into effect for 2020-21 school year. Could STILL screw us by saying his transfer was during 2019-20 school year. We’ll see
There is no "close to home" angle, it is a family hardship waiver. It's just that your family tends to usually be clustered near where you grew up. He has two family members with the Gophers, and I could see them conceivably stretch the waiver to apply to the COVID-19 situation.
Family hardship waivers are some of the most common and most controversial waivers decided by the NCAA. The reason it is so controversial is many student-athletes in football and basketball request these waivers, and whether one is granted or denied can seem inconsistent.
The key thing to remember is that a student-athlete is arguing that the best thing for the athlete and his or her family is to allow the athlete to play immediately and that the athlete needs to transfer to assist with an ill or injured family member. The NCAA measures this in three areas.
- Nature of the injury or illness: The injury or illness should be life-threatening and involve an immediate family member (parent, legal guardian, or sibling). Waivers that are denied typically involve an extended family member (aunt, uncle, grandparent, etc.) unless that family member raised the student-athlete.
- Student-athlete’s responsibilities related to the care of the family member: The more involved the student-athlete is in the day-to-day care for the family member, the more likely the waiver is to be granted.
- Chronology of events: Waivers are more likely to be granted if something changed that prompted the student-athlete’s transfer like a diagnosis, the actual injury, or a worsening condition. Waivers are less likely to be granted if a family member has been ill or injured for a while, and nothing changed that require the student-athlete to transfer.
Probably the hardest thing to overcome is that it sounds like Drake is unhappy about this and won't be cooperative (like Pitt with Carr). That is something taken into account as well:
If transferring from an NCAA or NAIA school, the athlete’s previous school states in writing that they have no objection to the athlete using the one-time transfer exception.
That said, it does truly feel like the NCAA is random in the way it grants these things. I couldn't believe it when Quade Green got ruled immediately eligible for Washington this year (and then promptly two months later ineligible for academics), or Justin Fields in football. Who knows.